Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
27
Up 38%
$547.92
-$27.26
Smart Money Signal
16 of 27 top traders (59%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 80.3Β’ | $181.45 | $206.96 | +$25.51 | 55% 7655-6261 (13916) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 71.6Β’ | $210.91 | $199.7 | -$8.26 | 60% 12443-8250 (20693) |
![]() machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 67.7Β’ | $78.44 | $75 | -$3.44 | 55% 8826-7287 (16113) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 61.2Β’ | $30.25 | $45.26 | +$15.01 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 86.1Β’ | $20.33 | $21 | +$0.67 | 55% 24060-19438 (43498) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.7Β’ | $20.1 | β | -$20.1 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $8.82 | β | -$8.82 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.7Β’ | $18 | β | -$18 | 55% 18125-14708 (32833) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Downavg 30.6Β’ | $389.06 | β | +$34.57 | 54% 8217-6898 (15115) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.1Β’ | $12 | β | -$12 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 44Β’ | $2.2 | β | -$2.2 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Upavg 61.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 15701-13072 (28773) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 67.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 13954-11066 (25020) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3666-2839 (6505) |
![]() FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 69.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 12667-9734 (22401) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 67.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
![]() AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 65% 4171-2279 (6450) |
![]() NIULAI4<$100 | Upavg 92.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 76% 9506-2936 (12442) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 73.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 5470-5516 (10986) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 73.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 93% 24031-1800 (25831) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 54.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.1Β’ | $28.86 | β | -$11 | 64% 40407-23120 (63527) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 62.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 6957-4888 (11845) |
Invested
$181.45
Value
$206.96
PnL
+$25.51
Record
55%
7655-6261 (13916)
Invested
$210.91
Value
$199.7
PnL
-$8.26
Record
60%
12443-8250 (20693)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$78.44
Value
$75
PnL
-$3.44
Record
55%
8826-7287 (16113)
Invested
$30.25
Value
$45.26
PnL
+$15.01
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
Invested
$20.33
Value
$21
PnL
+$0.67
Record
55%
24060-19438 (43498)
Invested
$20.1
Value
β
PnL
-$20.1
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.82
Value
β
PnL
-$8.82
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
Invested
$18
Value
β
PnL
-$18
Record
55%
18125-14708 (32833)
Invested
$389.06
Value
β
PnL
+$34.57
Record
54%
8217-6898 (15115)
Invested
$12
Value
β
PnL
-$12
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
Invested
$2.2
Value
β
PnL
-$2.2
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15701-13072 (28773)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13954-11066 (25020)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3666-2839 (6505)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12667-9734 (22401)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4171-2279 (6450)
NIULAI4<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
9506-2936 (12442)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5470-5516 (10986)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
93%
24031-1800 (25831)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$28.86
Value
β
PnL
-$11
Record
64%
40407-23120 (63527)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
6957-4888 (11845)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up β $206.96
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up β $199.7

machinelearned
Up β $75
aaa221
Up β $45.26
sir-upalot
Up β $21
PBot-6
CTRDown β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown β $0
sfkjbsr457
CTRDown β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown β $0