Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
37
Down 69%
$2.5K
-$737.06
Smart Money Signal
16 of 37 top traders (43%)21 hold an outcome priced under 50%30 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO borderlocket | Downavg 89.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$145.67 | 49% 76-79 (155) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 59.5¢ | $331.98 | — | -$331.98 | 55% 8826-7287 (16113) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 67.9¢ | $220.89 | $300.06 | +$79.17 | 55% 7655-6261 (13916) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 84.7¢ | $271.27 | $238.88 | -$32.39 | 60% 12443-8250 (20693) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 81.6¢ | $485.63 | $177.46 | +$147.83 | 54% 8217-6898 (15115) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 62.9¢ | $67.83 | $64.79 | -$3.04 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a<$100 | Downavg 92.4¢ | $58.59 | $58.19 | -$0.4 | 53% 2028-1826 (3854) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $95.75 | $50.91 | -$14.59 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $25.1 | $50 | +$24.9 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 38.5¢ | $18.93 | $47.19 | +$28.26 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $5.6 | $20 | +$14.4 | 55% 24060-19438 (43498) |
0X 0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5gh<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $4.4 | $5.06 | +$0.66 | 58% 1347-974 (2321) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.1¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 73.7¢ | $7.85 | — | -$7.85 | 55% 18125-14708 (32833) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15701-13072 (28773) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13954-11066 (25020) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3666-2839 (6505) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR | Upavg 7¢ | $636.92 | — | -$44.56 | 53% 429-386 (815) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12667-9734 (22401) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 62520-43633 (106153) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4171-2279 (6450) |
 NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 9506-2936 (12442) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5470-5516 (10986) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 93% 24031-1800 (25831) |
Invested
$1,298.12
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$145.67
Record
49%
76-79 (155)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$331.98
Value
—
PnL
-$331.98
Record
55%
8826-7287 (16113)
Invested
$220.89
Value
$300.06
PnL
+$79.17
Record
55%
7655-6261 (13916)
Invested
$271.27
Value
$238.88
PnL
-$32.39
Record
60%
12443-8250 (20693)
Invested
$485.63
Value
$177.46
PnL
+$147.83
Record
54%
8217-6898 (15115)
Invested
$67.83
Value
$64.79
PnL
-$3.04
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
Invested
$58.59
Value
$58.19
PnL
-$0.4
Record
53%
2028-1826 (3854)
Invested
$95.75
Value
$50.91
PnL
-$14.59
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
Invested
$25.1
Value
$50
PnL
+$24.9
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
Invested
$18.93
Value
$47.19
PnL
+$28.26
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$14.4
Record
55%
24060-19438 (43498)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.66
Record
58%
1347-974 (2321)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
Invested
$7.85
Value
—
PnL
-$7.85
Record
55%
18125-14708 (32833)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15701-13072 (28773)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13954-11066 (25020)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3666-2839 (6505)
Invested
$636.92
Value
—
PnL
-$44.56
Record
53%
429-386 (815)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12667-9734 (22401)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
62520-43633 (106153)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4171-2279 (6450)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
9506-2936 (12442)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5470-5516 (10986)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
93%
24031-1800 (25831)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
borderlocket
Down — $1.4K
machinelearned
CTRUp — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $300.06
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $238.88
sfkjbsr457
Down — $177.46
dvasdkasodk
Down — $64.79
0xdc27...afdd9a
Down — $58.19
aaa221
Down — $50.91
PBot-6
Down — $50
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $47.19