Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 80%
$1.0K
$296.44
Smart Money Signal
15 of 25 top traders (60%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 machinelearned | Downavg 73.7¢ | $280.62 | $332.23 | +$51.61 | 55% 8826-7287 (16113) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 78.8¢ | $211 | $204.3 | +$197.6 | 54% 8217-6898 (15115) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 81.4¢ | $169.79 | $180.96 | +$11.61 | 60% 12443-8250 (20693) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 86.5¢ | $129.08 | $88 | -$41.08 | 55% 7655-6261 (13916) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $36.1 | $78.47 | +$42.37 | 35% 18983-35988 (54971) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 46.3¢ | $32.4 | $70 | +$37.6 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $38.97 | $44.25 | +$5.28 | 55% 24060-19438 (43498) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $28.79 | $29.2 | +$0.41 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $6.47 | — | -$6.47 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15701-13072 (28773) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13954-11066 (25020) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3666-2839 (6505) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 60.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12667-9734 (22401) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8168-6307 (14475) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5470-5516 (10986) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | — | — | +$0 | 74% 102858-36493 (139351) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 93.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 40407-23120 (63527) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 6957-4888 (11845) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 44041-27052 (71093) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 60841-44423 (105264) |
machinelearnedInvested
$280.62
Value
$332.23
PnL
+$51.61
Record
55%
8826-7287 (16113)
Invested
$211
Value
$204.3
PnL
+$197.6
Record
54%
8217-6898 (15115)
Invested
$169.79
Value
$180.96
PnL
+$11.61
Record
60%
12443-8250 (20693)
Invested
$129.08
Value
$88
PnL
-$41.08
Record
55%
7655-6261 (13916)
Invested
$36.1
Value
$78.47
PnL
+$42.37
Record
35%
18983-35988 (54971)
Invested
$32.4
Value
$70
PnL
+$37.6
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
Invested
$38.97
Value
$44.25
PnL
+$5.28
Record
55%
24060-19438 (43498)
Invested
$28.79
Value
$29.2
PnL
+$0.41
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.47
Value
—
PnL
-$6.47
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15701-13072 (28773)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13954-11066 (25020)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3666-2839 (6505)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12667-9734 (22401)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8168-6307 (14475)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5470-5516 (10986)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
74%
102858-36493 (139351)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
40407-23120 (63527)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
6957-4888 (11845)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
44041-27052 (71093)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
60841-44423 (105264)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
machinelearned
Down — $332.23
sfkjbsr457
Down — $204.3
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $180.96
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $88
Little-big
Down — $78.47
PBot-6
Down — $70
sir-upalot
Down — $44.25
aaa221
Down — $29.2
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0