Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 26% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 38%
$736.48
-$154.32
Smart Money Signal
7 of 27 top traders (26%)20 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 65.3¢ | $381.03 | $513.34 | +$132.31 | 60% 12443-8250 (20693) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 67.1¢ | $105.59 | $140 | +$34.41 | 55% 24060-19438 (43498) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Downavg 31.8¢ | $170 | — | -$170 | 55% 7655-6261 (13916) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73.8¢ | $62.18 | $83.14 | +$20.96 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $7.62 | — | -$7.62 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 37.9¢ | $117.76 | — | -$8.76 | 55% 8826-7287 (16113) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 33.7¢ | $23.6 | — | -$23.6 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15701-13072 (28773) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13954-11066 (25020) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3666-2839 (6505) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 99391-51542 (150933) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12667-9734 (22401) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 69.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4171-2279 (6450) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5470-5516 (10986) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 74% 102858-36493 (139351) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
 pspspsps5CTR | Downavg 25.6¢ | $509.74 | — | -$130.62 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 40407-23120 (63527) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 44041-27052 (71093) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 93.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 60841-44423 (105264) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Downavg 34.7¢ | $327.99 | — | -$1.4 | 54% 8217-6898 (15115) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 18125-14708 (32833) |
Invested
$381.03
Value
$513.34
PnL
+$132.31
Record
60%
12443-8250 (20693)
Invested
$105.59
Value
$140
PnL
+$34.41
Record
55%
24060-19438 (43498)
Invested
$170
Value
—
PnL
-$170
Record
55%
7655-6261 (13916)
Invested
$62.18
Value
$83.14
PnL
+$20.96
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.62
Value
—
PnL
-$7.62
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$117.76
Value
—
PnL
-$8.76
Record
55%
8826-7287 (16113)
Invested
$23.6
Value
—
PnL
-$23.6
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15701-13072 (28773)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13954-11066 (25020)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3666-2839 (6505)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
99391-51542 (150933)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12667-9734 (22401)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4171-2279 (6450)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5470-5516 (10986)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
74%
102858-36493 (139351)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
pspspsps5CTRInvested
$509.74
Value
—
PnL
-$130.62
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
40407-23120 (63527)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
44041-27052 (71093)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
60841-44423 (105264)
Invested
$327.99
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
54%
8217-6898 (15115)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
18125-14708 (32833)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $513.34
sir-upalot
Up — $140
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $83.14
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown — $0
machinelearned
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown — $0
GoodFallen
CTRDown — $0
arcsine-barrister
CTRDown — $0