Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 21% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Down 50%
$955.6
$386.66
Smart Money Signal
7 of 33 top traders (21%)26 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 68.2¢ | $191.98 | $276.34 | +$88.16 | 60% 12443-8250 (20693) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 71.2¢ | $238.97 | $249.29 | +$259.61 | 55% 8826-7287 (16113) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $225.68 | $193.59 | +$161.5 | 54% 8217-6898 (15115) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 82.5¢ | $175.2 | $117.85 | -$57.35 | 55% 7655-6261 (13916) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $52.9 | $64.3 | +$11.4 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $35.04 | $44.23 | +$9.19 | 55% 24060-19438 (43498) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $5.5 | $10 | +$4.5 | 35% 18983-35988 (54971) |
SE seeeeeebCTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $89.1 | — | -$89.1 | 52% 764-713 (1477) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.9¢ | $11.1 | — | -$11.1 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $4.76 | — | -$4.76 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.3¢ | $6.26 | — | -$6.26 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
0X 0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5ghCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 58% 1347-974 (2321) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15701-13072 (28773) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13954-11066 (25020) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3666-2839 (6505) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 99391-51542 (150933) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 45.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12667-9734 (22401) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8168-6307 (14475) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4171-2279 (6450) |
 NIULAI4CTR | Upavg 9.1¢ | $164.49 | — | -$15.02 | 76% 9506-2936 (12442) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5470-5516 (10986) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.4¢ | $9.24 | — | +$37.97 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
Invested
$191.98
Value
$276.34
PnL
+$88.16
Record
60%
12443-8250 (20693)
machinelearnedInvested
$238.97
Value
$249.29
PnL
+$259.61
Record
55%
8826-7287 (16113)
Invested
$225.68
Value
$193.59
PnL
+$161.5
Record
54%
8217-6898 (15115)
Invested
$175.2
Value
$117.85
PnL
-$57.35
Record
55%
7655-6261 (13916)
Invested
$52.9
Value
$64.3
PnL
+$11.4
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
Invested
$35.04
Value
$44.23
PnL
+$9.19
Record
55%
24060-19438 (43498)
Invested
$5.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.5
Record
35%
18983-35988 (54971)
Invested
$89.1
Value
—
PnL
-$89.1
Record
52%
764-713 (1477)
Invested
$11.1
Value
—
PnL
-$11.1
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
—
PnL
-$4.76
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
Invested
$6.26
Value
—
PnL
-$6.26
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
58%
1347-974 (2321)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15701-13072 (28773)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13954-11066 (25020)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3666-2839 (6505)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
99391-51542 (150933)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12667-9734 (22401)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8168-6307 (14475)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4171-2279 (6450)
NIULAI4CTRInvested
$164.49
Value
—
PnL
-$15.02
Record
76%
9506-2936 (12442)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5470-5516 (10986)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$9.24
Value
—
PnL
+$37.97
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $276.34
machinelearned
Down — $249.29
sfkjbsr457
Down — $193.59
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $117.85
aaa221
Down — $64.3
sir-upalot
Down — $44.23
Little-big
Down — $10
seeeeeeb
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0