Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 85%

Total Value

$4.7K

Combined PnL

$577.31

Smart Money Signal

Down

26 of 30 top traders (87%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down26 traders

Total Value$4.7K

Total Shares4,706

Combined PnL+$840.04

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares772

Combined PnL-$262.73

Down — 87%Up — 13%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 88.2¢	$645.44	$705.33	+$59.89	57% 71318-54356 (125674)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 82.8¢	$558.37	$524.6	-$33.77	50% 5459-5511 (10970)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 66.8¢	$346.98	$519.07	+$172.08	58% 38198-27356 (65554)
BoneOhio	Downavg 96.2¢	$382.01	$396.95	+$14.94	74% 102835-36488 (139323)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 49.1¢	$150.83	$307	+$156.17	56% 8153-6296 (14449)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 80.5¢	$244.66	$263.03	+$18.92	60% 12433-8243 (20676)
LI Little-big	Downavg 55.7¢	$130.57	$234.58	+$104.02	35% 18977-35980 (54957)
machinelearned	Downavg 81.4¢	$219.61	$233	+$13.39	55% 8816-7280 (16096)
SF sfkjbsr457	Downavg 84.8¢	$237.88	$224.86	+$211.83	54% 8204-6894 (15098)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 77.8¢	$178.25	$209.18	+$30.93	66% 99378-51538 (150916)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 83.5¢	$161.42	$193.28	+$31.86	59% 23335-16402 (39737)
pspspsps5	Downavg 98.2¢	$173.95	$177.12	+$3.17	46% 38408-45370 (83778)
13 13897651CTR	Upavg 54.3¢	$237.91	—	-$237.91	59% 6948-4880 (11828)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$126.72	$128	+$1.28	93% 24008-1800 (25808)
ohioism	Downavg 81.2¢	$106.5	$125.88	+$19.38	64% 40387-23103 (63490)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 89¢	$89.6	$90.62	+$1.02	66% 126538-65157 (191695)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Downavg 81¢	$82.5	$88	+$5.5	55% 7645-6254 (13899)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 95.2¢	$85.7	$83.32	-$2.38	52% 90876-85429 (176305)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 47.7¢	$25.6	$53.7	+$28.1	58% 51183-37311 (88494)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 83.4¢	$60.5	$47.64	+$8.77	64% 24172-13343 (37515)
FairValueMachine<$100	Downavg 65.5¢	$38.09	$44.23	+$6.14	57% 12658-9728 (22386)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 86¢	$29.48	$25.29	-$4.19	56% 58383-45054 (103437)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 89¢	$30.5	$25.28	-$5.22	62% 44015-27038 (71053)
Atomforge<$100	Downavg 93¢	$7.92	$6.13	-$1.79	65% 4158-2273 (6431)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$18.2	—	-$18.2	55% 18106-14696 (32802)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$645.44

Value

$705.33

PnL

+$59.89

Record

57%

71318-54356 (125674)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$558.37

Value

$524.6

PnL

-$33.77

Record

50%

5459-5511 (10970)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$346.98

Value

$519.07

PnL

+$172.08

Record

58%

38198-27356 (65554)

BoneOhio

Down

Invested

$382.01

Value

$396.95

PnL

+$14.94

Record

74%

102835-36488 (139323)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$150.83

Value

$307

PnL

+$156.17

Record

56%

8153-6296 (14449)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$244.66

Value

$263.03

PnL

+$18.92

Record

60%

12433-8243 (20676)

Little-big

Down

Invested

$130.57

Value

$234.58

PnL

+$104.02

Record

35%

18977-35980 (54957)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$219.61

Value

$233

PnL

+$13.39

Record

55%

8816-7280 (16096)

sfkjbsr457

Down

Invested

$237.88

Value

$224.86

PnL

+$211.83

Record

54%

8204-6894 (15098)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$178.25

Value

$209.18

PnL

+$30.93

Record

66%

99378-51538 (150916)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$161.42

Value

$193.28

PnL

+$31.86

Record

59%

23335-16402 (39737)

pspspsps5

Down

Invested

$173.95

Value

$177.12

PnL

+$3.17

Record

46%

38408-45370 (83778)

13897651CTR

Invested

$237.91

Value

—

PnL

-$237.91

Record

59%

6948-4880 (11828)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$126.72

Value

$128

PnL

+$1.28

Record

93%

24008-1800 (25808)

ohioism

Down

Invested

$106.5

Value

$125.88

PnL

+$19.38

Record

64%

40387-23103 (63490)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$89.6

Value

$90.62

PnL

+$1.02

Record

66%

126538-65157 (191695)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Down

Invested

$82.5

Value

$88

PnL

+$5.5

Record

55%

7645-6254 (13899)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Down

Invested

$85.7

Value

$83.32

PnL

-$2.38

Record

52%

90876-85429 (176305)

PBot-6<$100

Down

Invested

$25.6

Value

$53.7

PnL

+$28.1

Record

58%

51183-37311 (88494)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$60.5

Value

$47.64

PnL

+$8.77

Record

64%

24172-13343 (37515)

FairValueMachine<$100

Down

Invested

$38.09

Value

$44.23

PnL

+$6.14

Record

57%

12658-9728 (22386)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Down

Invested

$29.48

Value

$25.29

PnL

-$4.19

Record

56%

58383-45054 (103437)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Down

Invested

$30.5

Value

$25.28

PnL

-$5.22

Record

62%

44015-27038 (71053)

Atomforge<$100

Down

Invested

$7.92

Value

$6.13

PnL

-$1.79

Record

65%

4158-2273 (6431)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$18.2

Value

—

PnL

-$18.2

Record

55%

18106-14696 (32802)

Smart Money Signal

Down

26 of 30 top traders (87%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x2a442ac5...c5b9cf

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793466000

Traders in this Market

uninformedfloww

Down — $705.33

+$59.89

ply-pm0

Down — $524.6

-$33.77

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $519.07

+$172.08

BoneOhio

Down — $396.95

+$14.94

wzbbb

Down — $307

+$156.17

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $263.03

+$18.92

Little-big

Down — $234.58

+$104.02

machinelearned

Down — $233

+$13.39

sfkjbsr457

Down — $224.86

+$211.83

Bonereaper

Down — $209.18

+$30.93

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