Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 63%
$3.7K
$261.91
Smart Money Signal
15 of 27 top traders (56%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 65.9¢ | $742.04 | $1.1K | +$384.09 | 58% 38198-27356 (65554) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 72.5¢ | $597.03 | $560.4 | -$36.63 | 50% 5459-5511 (10970) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 63.9¢ | $466.87 | $446.14 | -$20.73 | 59% 6948-4880 (11828) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 74.4¢ | $353.08 | $353.21 | +$0.13 | 55% 7645-6254 (13899) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 69¢ | $185.23 | $252.32 | +$67.09 | 59% 23335-16402 (39737) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 62.6¢ | $158.58 | $229.54 | +$70.96 | 35% 18977-35980 (54957) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 76.2¢ | $230.24 | $201.64 | -$27.25 | 60% 12433-8243 (20676) |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 73.6¢ | $176.98 | $176 | -$0.98 | 55% 8816-7280 (16096) |
![]() FairValueMachine | Upavg 69.1¢ | $97.99 | $141.87 | +$43.89 | 57% 12658-9728 (22386) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 88.2¢ | $55.48 | $55.74 | +$0.25 | 66% 99378-51538 (150916) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62.3¢ | $43.98 | $53.06 | +$10.08 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $31.84 | $41.42 | +$9.58 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $39.26 | $39.04 | -$0.22 | 55% 24051-19433 (43484) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 94.4¢ | $34.26 | $36.28 | +$2.02 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR | Downavg 46.3¢ | $119.94 | — | -$119.94 | 46% 38408-45370 (83778) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $18.19 | $21.66 | +$3.47 | 74% 102835-36488 (139323) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $14.06 | — | -$14.06 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Downavg 32.2¢ | $254.58 | — | -$16.36 | 54% 8204-6894 (15098) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $60 | — | -$60 | 56% 8153-6296 (14449) |
![]() NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $2.91 | — | -$2.91 | 76% 9504-2927 (12431) |
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $20.72 | — | -$20.72 | 63% 1776-1034 (2810) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.3¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.3¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 55% 18106-14696 (32802) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 50% 7907-7935 (15842) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15691-13067 (28758) |
Invested
$742.04
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$384.09
Record
58%
38198-27356 (65554)
Invested
$597.03
Value
$560.4
PnL
-$36.63
Record
50%
5459-5511 (10970)
Invested
$466.87
Value
$446.14
PnL
-$20.73
Record
59%
6948-4880 (11828)
Invested
$353.08
Value
$353.21
PnL
+$0.13
Record
55%
7645-6254 (13899)
Invested
$185.23
Value
$252.32
PnL
+$67.09
Record
59%
23335-16402 (39737)
Invested
$158.58
Value
$229.54
PnL
+$70.96
Record
35%
18977-35980 (54957)
Invested
$230.24
Value
$201.64
PnL
-$27.25
Record
60%
12433-8243 (20676)
machinelearnedInvested
$176.98
Value
$176
PnL
-$0.98
Record
55%
8816-7280 (16096)
FairValueMachineInvested
$97.99
Value
$141.87
PnL
+$43.89
Record
57%
12658-9728 (22386)
Invested
$55.48
Value
$55.74
PnL
+$0.25
Record
66%
99378-51538 (150916)
Invested
$43.98
Value
$53.06
PnL
+$10.08
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
Invested
$31.84
Value
$41.42
PnL
+$9.58
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
Invested
$39.26
Value
$39.04
PnL
-$0.22
Record
55%
24051-19433 (43484)
Invested
$34.26
Value
$36.28
PnL
+$2.02
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
pspspsps5CTRInvested
$119.94
Value
—
PnL
-$119.94
Record
46%
38408-45370 (83778)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$18.19
Value
$21.66
PnL
+$3.47
Record
74%
102835-36488 (139323)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$14.06
Value
—
PnL
-$14.06
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
Invested
$254.58
Value
—
PnL
-$16.36
Record
54%
8204-6894 (15098)
Invested
$60
Value
—
PnL
-$60
Record
56%
8153-6296 (14449)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
$2.91
Value
—
PnL
-$2.91
Record
76%
9504-2927 (12431)
Invested
$20.72
Value
—
PnL
-$20.72
Record
63%
1776-1034 (2810)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
55%
18106-14696 (32802)
Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
50%
7907-7935 (15842)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15691-13067 (28758)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $1.1K
ply-pm0
Up — $560.4
13897651
Up — $446.14
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $353.21
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $252.32
Little-big
Up — $229.54
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $201.64

machinelearned
Up — $176

FairValueMachine
Up — $141.87
Bonereaper
Up — $55.74