Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 65%
$3.0K
$360.08
Smart Money Signal
15 of 27 top traders (56%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 48.1¢ | $832.05 | $1.2K | +$400.88 | 50% 5459-5511 (10970) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 52.6¢ | $266.08 | $504.48 | +$238.4 | 46% 38408-45370 (83778) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 50.8¢ | $176.32 | $314.83 | +$138.51 | 55% 8816-7280 (16096) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR | Downavg 45.4¢ | $333.72 | — | -$333.72 | 60% 12433-8243 (20676) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 57¢ | $186.6 | $235.74 | +$49.14 | 59% 23335-16402 (39737) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 71.3¢ | $146.63 | $201.89 | +$55.26 | 55% 7645-6254 (13899) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 53.3¢ | $117.05 | $127.45 | +$10.4 | 66% 99378-51538 (150916) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR | Downavg 42.8¢ | $133.35 | — | -$133.35 | 55% 18106-14696 (32802) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.6¢ | $65.34 | $74.57 | +$9.23 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 60.9¢ | $67.79 | $64.99 | -$2.8 | 57% 12658-9728 (22386) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 90.6¢ | $60.44 | $66.73 | +$6.29 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
 NIULAI4<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $43.45 | $38 | -$5.45 | 76% 9504-2927 (12431) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 56.6¢ | $19.14 | $31.35 | +$12.21 | 55% 24051-19433 (43484) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 73.1¢ | $19.75 | $27.03 | +$7.28 | 64% 40387-23103 (63490) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $18.37 | $18.2 | -$0.17 | 58% 60824-44408 (105232) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $12.35 | $16.04 | +$3.69 | 74% 102835-36488 (139323) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $17.08 | — | -$17.08 | 59% 6948-4880 (11828) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.2¢ | $8.37 | — | -$8.37 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $16.43 | $7.26 | +$6.49 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $71.85 | — | -$71.85 | 35% 18977-35980 (54957) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $22.5 | — | -$22.5 | 56% 8153-6296 (14449) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.9¢ | $13 | — | -$13 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $3.99 | — | -$3.99 | 65% 4158-2273 (6431) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15691-13067 (28758) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13945-11059 (25004) |
Invested
$832.05
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$400.88
Record
50%
5459-5511 (10970)
pspspsps5Invested
$266.08
Value
$504.48
PnL
+$238.4
Record
46%
38408-45370 (83778)
machinelearnedInvested
$176.32
Value
$314.83
PnL
+$138.51
Record
55%
8816-7280 (16096)
Invested
$333.72
Value
—
PnL
-$333.72
Record
60%
12433-8243 (20676)
Invested
$186.6
Value
$235.74
PnL
+$49.14
Record
59%
23335-16402 (39737)
Invested
$146.63
Value
$201.89
PnL
+$55.26
Record
55%
7645-6254 (13899)
Invested
$117.05
Value
$127.45
PnL
+$10.4
Record
66%
99378-51538 (150916)
Invested
$133.35
Value
—
PnL
-$133.35
Record
55%
18106-14696 (32802)
Invested
$65.34
Value
$74.57
PnL
+$9.23
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$67.79
Value
$64.99
PnL
-$2.8
Record
57%
12658-9728 (22386)
Invested
$60.44
Value
$66.73
PnL
+$6.29
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
NIULAI4<$100Invested
$43.45
Value
$38
PnL
-$5.45
Record
76%
9504-2927 (12431)
Invested
$19.14
Value
$31.35
PnL
+$12.21
Record
55%
24051-19433 (43484)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.75
Value
$27.03
PnL
+$7.28
Record
64%
40387-23103 (63490)
Invested
$18.37
Value
$18.2
PnL
-$0.17
Record
58%
60824-44408 (105232)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$12.35
Value
$16.04
PnL
+$3.69
Record
74%
102835-36488 (139323)
Invested
$17.08
Value
—
PnL
-$17.08
Record
59%
6948-4880 (11828)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.37
Value
—
PnL
-$8.37
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
Invested
$16.43
Value
$7.26
PnL
+$6.49
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
Invested
$71.85
Value
—
PnL
-$71.85
Record
35%
18977-35980 (54957)
Invested
$22.5
Value
—
PnL
-$22.5
Record
56%
8153-6296 (14449)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$13
Value
—
PnL
-$13
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$3.99
Value
—
PnL
-$3.99
Record
65%
4158-2273 (6431)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15691-13067 (28758)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13945-11059 (25004)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $1.2K
pspspsps5
Up — $504.48
machinelearned
Up — $314.83
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
CTRDown — $0
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $235.74
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $201.89
Bonereaper
Up — $127.45
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $74.57
FairValueMachine
Up — $64.99