Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Down 69%
$8.1K
-$518.84
Smart Money Signal
23 of 33 top traders (70%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.9K | $3.9K | +$3.86 | 59% 62489-43624 (106113) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 74¢ | $680.27 | $714.15 | +$33.89 | 50% 5445-5505 (10950) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 80.3¢ | $531.82 | $602.26 | +$70.44 | 56% 14697-11576 (26273) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 63.9¢ | $673.09 | $533.66 | -$139.43 | 55% 15683-13056 (28739) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 77.6¢ | $456.86 | $400.55 | -$56.31 | 55% 8806-7268 (16074) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 75.9¢ | $359.34 | $371.51 | +$12.17 | 60% 12418-8236 (20654) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 59¢ | $214.7 | $277.74 | +$63.04 | 56% 13935-11051 (24986) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 56.2¢ | $174.64 | $265 | +$90.35 | 57% 12653-9717 (22370) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 80.2¢ | $245.09 | $262.52 | +$17.43 | 66% 99369-51530 (150899) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 46.4¢ | $115.94 | $250 | +$134.06 | 35% 18964-35964 (54928) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 79.2¢ | $251 | $215.05 | -$31.95 | 55% 7631-6246 (13877) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 46.7¢ | $40.16 | $86 | +$45.84 | 56% 8145-6288 (14433) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 47.8¢ | $28.68 | $59.96 | +$31.28 | 58% 51165-37295 (88460) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72.6¢ | $72.35 | $51.09 | -$7.56 | 64% 24117-13303 (37420) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $49.92 | $40.13 | -$9.79 | 59% 22574-15937 (38511) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $19.5 | $26.35 | +$6.85 | 58% 60798-44388 (105186) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $20.25 | $25.96 | +$5.71 | 64% 40361-23086 (63447) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $19 | $25.68 | +$6.68 | 56% 58367-45027 (103394) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.8¢ | $31.66 | — | -$31.66 | 55% 24044-19423 (43467) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $12.3 | $15.7 | +$3.4 | 55% 18070-14671 (32741) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $7.83 | $9.55 | +$1.72 | 46% 38388-45341 (83729) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $6.16 | $8.21 | +$2.05 | 66% 126492-65134 (191626) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $5.82 | $6 | +$0.18 | 93% 23988-1799 (25787) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 53.5¢ | $635.28 | — | -$635.28 | 58% 38177-27343 (65520) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.2¢ | $4.51 | — | -$4.51 | 55% 45485-37868 (83353) |
Invested
$3,854.15
Value
$3.9K
PnL
+$3.86
Record
59%
62489-43624 (106113)
Invested
$680.27
Value
$714.15
PnL
+$33.89
Record
50%
5445-5505 (10950)
Invested
$531.82
Value
$602.26
PnL
+$70.44
Record
56%
14697-11576 (26273)
Invested
$673.09
Value
$533.66
PnL
-$139.43
Record
55%
15683-13056 (28739)
machinelearnedInvested
$456.86
Value
$400.55
PnL
-$56.31
Record
55%
8806-7268 (16074)
Invested
$359.34
Value
$371.51
PnL
+$12.17
Record
60%
12418-8236 (20654)
Invested
$214.7
Value
$277.74
PnL
+$63.04
Record
56%
13935-11051 (24986)
FairValueMachineInvested
$174.64
Value
$265
PnL
+$90.35
Record
57%
12653-9717 (22370)
Invested
$245.09
Value
$262.52
PnL
+$17.43
Record
66%
99369-51530 (150899)
Invested
$115.94
Value
$250
PnL
+$134.06
Record
35%
18964-35964 (54928)
Invested
$251
Value
$215.05
PnL
-$31.95
Record
55%
7631-6246 (13877)
Invested
$40.16
Value
$86
PnL
+$45.84
Record
56%
8145-6288 (14433)
Invested
$28.68
Value
$59.96
PnL
+$31.28
Record
58%
51165-37295 (88460)
Invested
$72.35
Value
$51.09
PnL
-$7.56
Record
64%
24117-13303 (37420)
Invested
$49.92
Value
$40.13
PnL
-$9.79
Record
59%
22574-15937 (38511)
Invested
$19.5
Value
$26.35
PnL
+$6.85
Record
58%
60798-44388 (105186)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.25
Value
$25.96
PnL
+$5.71
Record
64%
40361-23086 (63447)
Invested
$19
Value
$25.68
PnL
+$6.68
Record
56%
58367-45027 (103394)
Invested
$31.66
Value
—
PnL
-$31.66
Record
55%
24044-19423 (43467)
Invested
$12.3
Value
$15.7
PnL
+$3.4
Record
55%
18070-14671 (32741)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$7.83
Value
$9.55
PnL
+$1.72
Record
46%
38388-45341 (83729)
Invested
$6.16
Value
$8.21
PnL
+$2.05
Record
66%
126492-65134 (191626)
Invested
$5.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
93%
23988-1799 (25787)
Invested
$635.28
Value
—
PnL
-$635.28
Record
58%
38177-27343 (65520)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.51
Value
—
PnL
-$4.51
Record
55%
45485-37868 (83353)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.9K
ply-pm0
Down — $714.15
CrouchPredictions
Down — $602.26
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $533.66
machinelearned
Down — $400.55
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $371.51
GoodFallen
Down — $277.74
FairValueMachine
Down — $265
Bonereaper
Down — $262.52
Little-big
Down — $250