Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 59%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

$160.25

Smart Money Signal

17 of 28 top traders (61%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up17 traders

Total Value$3.8K

Total Shares3,795

Combined PnL+$816.54

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,156

Combined PnL-$656.29

Up — 61%Down — 39%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 59.4¢	$774.53	$886.93	+$112.39	56% 14686-11561 (26247)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 42.4¢	$491.33	$758.72	+$267.39	55% 15670-13048 (28718)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 61.4¢	$500.54	$510.35	+$9.81	50% 5432-5497 (10929)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 53.9¢	$348.37	$378.57	+$33.6	55% 7618-6237 (13855)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 61.7¢	$220.08	$240.83	+$20.75	60% 12403-8229 (20632)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 54.3¢	$229.31	$422.16	+$192.85	58% 38145-27331 (65476)
machinelearned	Upavg 33.6¢	$88.1	$214.37	+$126.27	55% 8802-7251 (16053)
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Downavg 41.9¢	$142.93	$143.6	+$0.67	56% 13926-11039 (24965)
└ Up leg	Upavg 35.3¢	$50.74	$143.6	+$92.86
└ Down leg	Downavg 41.9¢	$92.2	—	-$92.2
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Downavg 74¢	$379.63	—	-$379.63	57% 71206-54306 (125512)
LI Little-bigARB<$100	Downavg 69.9¢	$145.42	$114.73	-$30.68	35% 18950-35949 (54899)
└ Up leg	Upavg 56.3¢	$64.54	$114.73	+$50.19
└ Down leg	Downavg 69.9¢	$80.88	—	-$80.88
BO BonereaperARB<$100	Downavg 52.2¢	$83.67	$68.96	-$14.71	66% 99355-51517 (150872)
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.9¢	$30.25	$68.96	+$38.71
└ Down leg	Downavg 52.2¢	$53.42	—	-$53.42
FairValueMachineCTR<$100	Downavg 58.5¢	$60.03	—	-$60.03	57% 12641-9708 (22349)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 88.1¢	$92.17	$63.83	-$28.34	52% 90814-85344 (176158)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 59.1¢	$33.66	—	-$33.66	59% 22517-15896 (38413)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 75.9¢	$46.91	$52	+$5.09	55% 45436-37823 (83259)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$45.28	$73.98	+$28.7	59% 6923-4865 (11788)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 62.8¢	$37.69	$60	+$22.3	64% 24039-13275 (37314)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 80.5¢	$53.8	$40	-$13.8	55% 24032-19415 (43447)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 78.3¢	$36.72	—	-$36.72	66% 126437-65111 (191548)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 4¢	$9.78	—	-$9.78	63% 52187-31091 (83278)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 47.9¢	$19.6	—	-$19.6	56% 58346-45004 (103350)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$18.4	—	-$18.4	64% 40342-23071 (63413)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 54.2¢	$28.55	$30.43	+$1.88	55% 18044-14641 (32685)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 67.5¢	$89.57	—	-$89.57	46% 38360-45313 (83673)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 41¢	$17.6	$42.93	+$25.33	62% 43985-26997 (70982)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$774.53

Value

$886.93

PnL

+$112.39

Record

56%

14686-11561 (26247)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$491.33

Value

$758.72

PnL

+$267.39

Record

55%

15670-13048 (28718)

ply-pm0

Invested

$500.54

Value

$510.35

PnL

+$9.81

Record

50%

5432-5497 (10929)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$348.37

Value

$378.57

PnL

+$33.6

Record

55%

7618-6237 (13855)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$220.08

Value

$240.83

PnL

+$20.75

Record

60%

12403-8229 (20632)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$229.31

Value

$422.16

PnL

+$192.85

Record

58%

38145-27331 (65476)

machinelearned

Invested

$88.1

Value

$214.37

PnL

+$126.27

Record

55%

8802-7251 (16053)

GoodFallenARB<$100

Down

Invested

$142.93

Value

$143.6

PnL

+$0.67

Record

56%

13926-11039 (24965)

Both legs:

Invested

$379.63

Value

—

PnL

-$379.63

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

Little-bigARB<$100

Down

Invested

$145.42

Value

$114.73

PnL

-$30.68

Record

35%

18950-35949 (54899)

Both legs:

Up$64.5456.3¢+$50.19

Down$80.8869.9¢-$80.88

BonereaperARB<$100

Down

Invested

$83.67

Value

$68.96

PnL

-$14.71

Record

66%

99355-51517 (150872)

Both legs:

Up$30.2543.9¢+$38.71

Down$53.4252.2¢-$53.42

FairValueMachineCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$60.03

Value

—

PnL

-$60.03

Record

57%

12641-9708 (22349)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$92.17

Value

$63.83

PnL

-$28.34

Record

52%

90814-85344 (176158)

rabadabadooCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$33.66

Value

—

PnL

-$33.66

Record

59%

22517-15896 (38413)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$46.91

Value

$52

PnL

+$5.09

Record

55%

45436-37823 (83259)

13897651<$100

Invested

$45.28

Value

$73.98

PnL

+$28.7

Record

59%

6923-4865 (11788)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$37.69

Value

$60

PnL

+$22.3

Record

64%

24039-13275 (37314)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$53.8

Value

$40

PnL

-$13.8

Record

55%

24032-19415 (43447)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$36.72

Value

—

PnL

-$36.72

Record

66%

126437-65111 (191548)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$9.78

Value

—

PnL

-$9.78

Record

63%

52187-31091 (83278)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$19.6

Value

—

PnL

-$19.6

Record

56%

58346-45004 (103350)

ohioismCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$18.4

Value

—

PnL

-$18.4

Record

64%

40342-23071 (63413)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$28.55

Value

$30.43

PnL

+$1.88

Record

55%

18044-14641 (32685)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$89.57

Value

—

PnL

-$89.57

Record

46%

38360-45313 (83673)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$17.6

Value

$42.93

PnL

+$25.33

Record

62%

43985-26997 (70982)

Smart Money Signal

17 of 28 top traders (61%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x6a9c8164...4bbbbc

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793462400

Traders in this Market

CrouchPredictions

Up — $886.93

+$112.39

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $758.72

+$267.39

ply-pm0

Up — $510.35

+$9.81

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $378.57

+$33.6

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $240.83

+$20.75

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $422.16

+$192.85

machinelearned

Up — $214.37

GoodFallen

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

Little-big

Arbitrage — excluded