Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 87%

Total Value

$12.8K

Combined PnL

$424.86

Smart Money Signal

27 of 32 top traders (84%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up27 traders

Total Value$12.8K

Total Shares12,798

Combined PnL+$456.57

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,171

Combined PnL-$31.71

Up — 84%Down — 16%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.3¢	$4.4K	$4.4K	+$31.51	59% 62464-43615 (106079)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	74% 102799-36473 (139272)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.9¢	$726.1	$734	+$7.9	93% 23963-1799 (25762)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 87.3¢	$565.16	$633.63	+$68.47	56% 14686-11561 (26247)
machinelearned	Upavg 86.1¢	$444.31	$420.61	-$23.7	55% 8802-7251 (16053)
pspspsps5	Upavg 90.6¢	$360.93	$398.37	+$37.44	46% 38360-45313 (83673)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 86.6¢	$351.27	$363.8	+$12.52	50% 5432-5497 (10929)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 82.1¢	$253.1	$246.69	-$6.41	66% 99355-51517 (150872)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 88.2¢	$237.39	$251.16	+$13.77	55% 7618-6237 (13855)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 88.6¢	$219.39	$231.13	+$11.74	54% 8178-6875 (15053)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 84¢	$323.35	$384.98	+$61.63	58% 38145-27331 (65476)
ohioism	Upavg 76.5¢	$145.3	$190	+$44.7	64% 40342-23071 (63413)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 69.4¢	$157.56	$227	+$69.44	56% 8126-6271 (14397)
G-Penis-Monster	Upavg 82¢	$102.51	$125	+$22.49	62% 43985-26997 (70982)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 83.3¢	$115.6	$96.79	-$18.81	60% 12403-8229 (20632)
LI Little-big<$100	Upavg 74.8¢	$69.11	$73.33	+$4.22	35% 18950-35949 (54899)
13 13897651	Upavg 65.9¢	$76.52	$116.11	+$39.59	59% 6923-4865 (11788)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 76¢	$61.69	$43.68	-$18	56% 58346-45004 (103350)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 94.7¢	$49.23	$52	+$2.77	55% 45436-37823 (83259)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 87.7¢	$69.6	$52.61	+$8.25	64% 24039-13275 (37314)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 82¢	$33.6	$40.98	+$7.38	58% 60787-44362 (105149)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 87¢	$34.8	$40	+$5.2	55% 24032-19415 (43447)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 84.1¢	$32.23	$38.33	+$6.1	52% 90814-85344 (176158)
FL FluffyMD2026<$100	Upavg 50¢	$25	$50	+$25	—
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 85¢	$32.34	$38.03	+$5.69	66% 126437-65111 (191548)

0x50f7

Invested

$4,402.01

Value

$4.4K

PnL

+$31.51

Record

59%

62464-43615 (106079)

BoneOhio

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

74%

102799-36473 (139272)

hoodquant

Invested

$726.1

Value

$734

PnL

+$7.9

Record

93%

23963-1799 (25762)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$565.16

Value

$633.63

PnL

+$68.47

Record

56%

14686-11561 (26247)

machinelearned

Invested

$444.31

Value

$420.61

PnL

-$23.7

Record

55%

8802-7251 (16053)

pspspsps5

Invested

$360.93

Value

$398.37

PnL

+$37.44

Record

46%

38360-45313 (83673)

ply-pm0

Invested

$351.27

Value

$363.8

PnL

+$12.52

Record

50%

5432-5497 (10929)

Bonereaper

Invested

$253.1

Value

$246.69

PnL

-$6.41

Record

66%

99355-51517 (150872)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$237.39

Value

$251.16

PnL

+$13.77

Record

55%

7618-6237 (13855)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$219.39

Value

$231.13

PnL

+$11.74

Record

54%

8178-6875 (15053)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$323.35

Value

$384.98

PnL

+$61.63

Record

58%

38145-27331 (65476)

ohioism

Invested

$145.3

Value

$190

PnL

+$44.7

Record

64%

40342-23071 (63413)

wzbbb

Invested

$157.56

Value

$227

PnL

+$69.44

Record

56%

8126-6271 (14397)

G-Penis-Monster

Invested

$102.51

Value

$125

PnL

+$22.49

Record

62%

43985-26997 (70982)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$115.6

Value

$96.79

PnL

-$18.81

Record

60%

12403-8229 (20632)

Little-big<$100

Invested

$69.11

Value

$73.33

PnL

+$4.22

Record

35%

18950-35949 (54899)

13897651

Invested

$76.52

Value

$116.11

PnL

+$39.59

Record

59%

6923-4865 (11788)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$61.69

Value

$43.68

PnL

-$18

Record

56%

58346-45004 (103350)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$49.23

Value

$52

PnL

+$2.77

Record

55%

45436-37823 (83259)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$69.6

Value

$52.61

PnL

+$8.25

Record

64%

24039-13275 (37314)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$33.6

Value

$40.98

PnL

+$7.38

Record

58%

60787-44362 (105149)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$34.8

Value

$40

PnL

+$5.2

Record

55%

24032-19415 (43447)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$32.23

Value

$38.33

PnL

+$6.1

Record

52%

90814-85344 (176158)

FluffyMD2026<$100

Invested

$25

Value

$50

PnL

+$25

Record

—

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$32.34

Value

$38.03

PnL

+$5.69

Record

66%

126437-65111 (191548)

Smart Money Signal

27 of 32 top traders (84%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb0aef711...b9a2b1

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793460900

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $4.4K

+$31.51

BoneOhio

Up — $3.5K

+$35

hoodquant

Up — $734

+$7.9

CrouchPredictions

Up — $633.63

+$68.47

machinelearned

Up — $420.61

-$23.7

pspspsps5

Up — $398.37

+$37.44

ply-pm0

Up — $363.8

+$12.52

Bonereaper

Up — $246.69

-$6.41

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $251.16

+$13.77

sfkjbsr457

Up — $231.13

+$11.74

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