Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 80%

Total Value

$12.6K

Combined PnL

$961.01

Smart Money Signal

24 of 30 top traders (80%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up24 traders

Total Value$12.6K

Total Shares12,564

Combined PnL+$1.0K

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares909

Combined PnL-$81.71

Up — 80%Down — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AR arcsine-barrister	Up	$8.0K	$8.0K	+$216.29	56% 3664-2839 (6503)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 67¢	$538.42	$803.99	+$265.57	58% 38145-27331 (65476)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 75¢	$405.97	$537.97	+$132	56% 14686-11561 (26247)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 70¢	$355.19	$418.41	+$63.22	55% 15670-13048 (28718)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 79.9¢	$361.65	$415.17	+$53.52	57% 71206-54306 (125512)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 73.4¢	$286.65	$332.97	+$46.31	50% 5432-5497 (10929)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 82.6¢	$279.43	$305.38	+$25.95	54% 8178-6875 (15053)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 85.3¢	$277.58	$286.6	+$9.02	66% 99355-51517 (150872)
pspspsps5	Upavg 95.9¢	$186.48	$194.39	+$7.91	46% 38360-45313 (83673)
machinelearned	Upavg 72.7¢	$120.12	$154.02	+$33.89	55% 8802-7251 (16053)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 82.3¢	$148.34	$164.52	+$16.19	56% 13926-11039 (24965)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 76.3¢	$104.32	$118.34	+$14.02	57% 12641-9708 (22349)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 65.4¢	$73.64	$98	+$26.06	55% 7618-6237 (13855)
13 13897651	Upavg 57.3¢	$102.74	$144.27	+$41.53	59% 6923-4865 (11788)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 75¢	$75	$100	+$25	56% 58346-45004 (103350)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 72¢	$74.65	$88	+$13.35	60% 12403-8229 (20632)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 97.1¢	$70.87	$73	+$2.13	93% 23963-1799 (25762)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 92.8¢	$77.99	$84.01	+$6.02	58% 60787-44362 (105149)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 37¢	$50.08	—	-$50.08	56% 8126-6271 (14397)
0X 0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324CTR<$100	Downavg 6.3¢	$17.35	—	-$17.35	51% 881-856 (1737)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 70.9¢	$46.68	$65.88	+$19.2	55% 24032-19415 (43447)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 68.4¢	$44.67	$65.34	+$20.67	55% 45436-37823 (83259)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 75.9¢	$51.84	$35.26	+$12.54	64% 24039-13275 (37314)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 90¢	$40.41	$31.12	-$9.29	62% 43985-26997 (70982)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 86¢	$32.64	$37.95	+$5.31	66% 126437-65111 (191548)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$7,994.6

Value

$8.0K

PnL

+$216.29

Record

56%

3664-2839 (6503)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$538.42

Value

$803.99

PnL

+$265.57

Record

58%

38145-27331 (65476)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$405.97

Value

$537.97

PnL

+$132

Record

56%

14686-11561 (26247)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$355.19

Value

$418.41

PnL

+$63.22

Record

55%

15670-13048 (28718)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$361.65

Value

$415.17

PnL

+$53.52

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

ply-pm0

Invested

$286.65

Value

$332.97

PnL

+$46.31

Record

50%

5432-5497 (10929)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$279.43

Value

$305.38

PnL

+$25.95

Record

54%

8178-6875 (15053)

Bonereaper

Invested

$277.58

Value

$286.6

PnL

+$9.02

Record

66%

99355-51517 (150872)

pspspsps5

Invested

$186.48

Value

$194.39

PnL

+$7.91

Record

46%

38360-45313 (83673)

machinelearned

Invested

$120.12

Value

$154.02

PnL

+$33.89

Record

55%

8802-7251 (16053)

GoodFallen

Invested

$148.34

Value

$164.52

PnL

+$16.19

Record

56%

13926-11039 (24965)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$104.32

Value

$118.34

PnL

+$14.02

Record

57%

12641-9708 (22349)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$73.64

Value

$98

PnL

+$26.06

Record

55%

7618-6237 (13855)

13897651

Invested

$102.74

Value

$144.27

PnL

+$41.53

Record

59%

6923-4865 (11788)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$75

Value

$100

PnL

+$25

Record

56%

58346-45004 (103350)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$74.65

Value

$88

PnL

+$13.35

Record

60%

12403-8229 (20632)

hoodquant<$100

Invested

$70.87

Value

$73

PnL

+$2.13

Record

93%

23963-1799 (25762)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$77.99

Value

$84.01

PnL

+$6.02

Record

58%

60787-44362 (105149)

wzbbbCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$50.08

Value

—

PnL

-$50.08

Record

56%

8126-6271 (14397)

0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$17.35

Value

—

PnL

-$17.35

Record

51%

881-856 (1737)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$46.68

Value

$65.88

PnL

+$19.2

Record

55%

24032-19415 (43447)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$44.67

Value

$65.34

PnL

+$20.67

Record

55%

45436-37823 (83259)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$51.84

Value

$35.26

PnL

+$12.54

Record

64%

24039-13275 (37314)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$40.41

Value

$31.12

PnL

-$9.29

Record

62%

43985-26997 (70982)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$32.64

Value

$37.95

PnL

+$5.31

Record

66%

126437-65111 (191548)

Smart Money Signal

24 of 30 top traders (80%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x8c1d8b49...b8fba7

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793460300

Traders in this Market

arcsine-barrister

Up — $8.0K

+$216.29

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $803.99

+$265.57

CrouchPredictions

Up — $537.97

+$132

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $418.41

+$63.22

uninformedfloww

Up — $415.17

+$53.52

ply-pm0

Up — $332.97

+$46.31

sfkjbsr457

Up — $305.38

+$25.95

Bonereaper

Up — $286.6

+$9.02

pspspsps5

Up — $194.39

+$7.91

machinelearned

Up — $154.02

+$33.89

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