Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 73%
$3.0K
$206.62
Smart Money Signal
20 of 27 top traders (74%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 80¢ | $432.57 | $523.77 | +$91.2 | 56% 14686-11561 (26247) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 65¢ | $323.06 | $497.09 | +$174.03 | 58% 38145-27331 (65476) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 83.5¢ | $331.61 | $397.24 | +$65.63 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 71¢ | $230.5 | $214.58 | -$15.92 | 55% 15670-13048 (28718) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 85¢ | $210.86 | $206.74 | -$4.12 | 50% 5432-5497 (10929) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 82.9¢ | $168.79 | $178.72 | +$9.92 | 60% 12403-8229 (20632) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 77.8¢ | $172.96 | $163.63 | -$9.33 | 56% 13926-11039 (24965) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Downavg 37.6¢ | $127.48 | — | -$127.48 | 56% 8126-6271 (14397) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 83.2¢ | $165.6 | $163.77 | -$1.83 | 66% 99355-51517 (150872) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 83.4¢ | $108.8 | $105.38 | -$3.43 | 54% 8178-6875 (15053) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 76.9¢ | $91.46 | $119 | +$27.54 | 55% 8802-7251 (16053) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 76.8¢ | $87.48 | $93.42 | +$5.94 | 55% 7618-6237 (13855) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 73.9¢ | $74.05 | $100.22 | +$26.17 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 83.5¢ | $82.1 | $60 | -$22.1 | 57% 12641-9708 (22349) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.4¢ | $45.85 | $60 | +$14.15 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 72.5¢ | $38.09 | $46 | +$7.91 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.2¢ | $33.5 | — | -$33.5 | 35% 18950-35949 (54899) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $13.65 | $16.06 | +$2.41 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $12.09 | $20.15 | +$8.06 | 59% 6923-4865 (11788) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $13 | $20 | +$7 | 55% 24032-19415 (43447) |
SE seeeeeeb<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $8.54 | $10.17 | +$1.63 | 51% 751-709 (1460) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 64% 40342-23071 (63413) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 65% 4143-2256 (6399) |
Invested
$432.57
Value
$523.77
PnL
+$91.2
Record
56%
14686-11561 (26247)
Invested
$323.06
Value
$497.09
PnL
+$174.03
Record
58%
38145-27331 (65476)
Invested
$331.61
Value
$397.24
PnL
+$65.63
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$230.5
Value
$214.58
PnL
-$15.92
Record
55%
15670-13048 (28718)
Invested
$210.86
Value
$206.74
PnL
-$4.12
Record
50%
5432-5497 (10929)
Invested
$168.79
Value
$178.72
PnL
+$9.92
Record
60%
12403-8229 (20632)
Invested
$172.96
Value
$163.63
PnL
-$9.33
Record
56%
13926-11039 (24965)
Invested
$127.48
Value
—
PnL
-$127.48
Record
56%
8126-6271 (14397)
Invested
$165.6
Value
$163.77
PnL
-$1.83
Record
66%
99355-51517 (150872)
Invested
$108.8
Value
$105.38
PnL
-$3.43
Record
54%
8178-6875 (15053)
machinelearnedInvested
$91.46
Value
$119
PnL
+$27.54
Record
55%
8802-7251 (16053)
Invested
$87.48
Value
$93.42
PnL
+$5.94
Record
55%
7618-6237 (13855)
Invested
$74.05
Value
$100.22
PnL
+$26.17
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$82.1
Value
$60
PnL
-$22.1
Record
57%
12641-9708 (22349)
Invested
$45.85
Value
$60
PnL
+$14.15
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$38.09
Value
$46
PnL
+$7.91
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
$33.5
Value
—
PnL
-$33.5
Record
35%
18950-35949 (54899)
Invested
$13.65
Value
$16.06
PnL
+$2.41
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
Invested
$12.09
Value
$20.15
PnL
+$8.06
Record
59%
6923-4865 (11788)
Invested
$13
Value
$20
PnL
+$7
Record
55%
24032-19415 (43447)
Invested
$8.54
Value
$10.17
PnL
+$1.63
Record
51%
751-709 (1460)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
64%
40342-23071 (63413)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
65%
4143-2256 (6399)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $523.77
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $497.09
uninformedfloww
Up — $397.24
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $214.58
ply-pm0
Up — $206.74
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $178.72
GoodFallen
Up — $163.63
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
Up — $163.77
sfkjbsr457
Up — $105.38