Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 81%
$5.7K
$291.94
Smart Money Signal
21 of 27 top traders (78%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 88.4¢ | $944.02 | $972.78 | +$28.76 | 56% 14686-11561 (26247) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $794.39 | $802.41 | +$8.02 | 74% 102799-36473 (139272) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 85.6¢ | $528.4 | $617.26 | +$88.86 | 55% 8802-7251 (16053) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 84.6¢ | $544.57 | $644.03 | +$99.46 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $442.84 | $440.53 | -$2.3 | 50% 5432-5497 (10929) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 70.7¢ | $351.07 | $441.44 | +$90.37 | 55% 15670-13048 (28718) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 90.1¢ | $437.46 | $411.76 | -$25.7 | 64% 58692-33276 (91968) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 82.2¢ | $306.16 | $335.92 | +$29.76 | 54% 8178-6875 (15053) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 86¢ | $232 | $224.44 | -$7.56 | 66% 99355-51517 (150872) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 72.2¢ | $167.07 | $206.47 | +$39.4 | 55% 7618-6237 (13855) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 72.9¢ | $155.85 | $189.99 | +$34.14 | 56% 13926-11039 (24965) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 65.7¢ | $109.02 | $132 | +$23.43 | 60% 12403-8229 (20632) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $57.53 | $57 | -$0.53 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
CO CongoleseBoratCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.4¢ | $89.03 | — | -$89.03 | 56% 49-39 (88) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79.8¢ | $45.4 | $56.67 | +$11.27 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $53.34 | $50 | -$3.34 | 35% 18950-35949 (54899) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91.7¢ | $42.53 | $46.37 | +$3.84 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 78.7¢ | $38.65 | $35 | -$3.65 | 57% 12641-9708 (22349) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $32.63 | $35 | +$2.37 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $12.3 | — | -$12.3 | 56% 8126-6271 (14397) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.7¢ | $9.11 | — | -$9.11 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $13.05 | — | -$13.05 | 55% 24032-19415 (43447) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $5.88 | $6.26 | +$0.38 | 65% 4143-2256 (6399) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 59% 6923-4865 (11788) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $4.05 | $5 | +$0.95 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
Invested
$944.02
Value
$972.78
PnL
+$28.76
Record
56%
14686-11561 (26247)
BoneOhioInvested
$794.39
Value
$802.41
PnL
+$8.02
Record
74%
102799-36473 (139272)
machinelearnedInvested
$528.4
Value
$617.26
PnL
+$88.86
Record
55%
8802-7251 (16053)
Invested
$544.57
Value
$644.03
PnL
+$99.46
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$442.84
Value
$440.53
PnL
-$2.3
Record
50%
5432-5497 (10929)
Invested
$351.07
Value
$441.44
PnL
+$90.37
Record
55%
15670-13048 (28718)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$437.46
Value
$411.76
PnL
-$25.7
Record
64%
58692-33276 (91968)
Invested
$306.16
Value
$335.92
PnL
+$29.76
Record
54%
8178-6875 (15053)
Invested
$232
Value
$224.44
PnL
-$7.56
Record
66%
99355-51517 (150872)
Invested
$167.07
Value
$206.47
PnL
+$39.4
Record
55%
7618-6237 (13855)
Invested
$155.85
Value
$189.99
PnL
+$34.14
Record
56%
13926-11039 (24965)
Invested
$109.02
Value
$132
PnL
+$23.43
Record
60%
12403-8229 (20632)
Invested
$57.53
Value
$57
PnL
-$0.53
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
Invested
$89.03
Value
—
PnL
-$89.03
Record
56%
49-39 (88)
Invested
$45.4
Value
$56.67
PnL
+$11.27
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$53.34
Value
$50
PnL
-$3.34
Record
35%
18950-35949 (54899)
Invested
$42.53
Value
$46.37
PnL
+$3.84
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$38.65
Value
$35
PnL
-$3.65
Record
57%
12641-9708 (22349)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$32.63
Value
$35
PnL
+$2.37
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
$12.3
Value
—
PnL
-$12.3
Record
56%
8126-6271 (14397)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.11
Value
—
PnL
-$9.11
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
Invested
$13.05
Value
—
PnL
-$13.05
Record
55%
24032-19415 (43447)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$5.88
Value
$6.26
PnL
+$0.38
Record
65%
4143-2256 (6399)
Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
59%
6923-4865 (11788)
Invested
$4.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.95
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $972.78
BoneOhio
Up — $802.41
machinelearned
Up — $617.26
uninformedfloww
Up — $644.03
ply-pm0
Up — $440.53
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $441.44
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $411.76
sfkjbsr457
Up — $335.92
Bonereaper
Up — $224.44
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $206.47