Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 84%

Total Value

$8.7K

Combined PnL

$347.48

Smart Money Signal

Down

27 of 33 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down27 traders

Total Value$8.7K

Total Shares8,730

Combined PnL+$808.91

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares995

Combined PnL-$461.43

Down — 82%Up — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$4.2K	$4.2K	+$4.21	59% 62455-43604 (106059)
TE Telawin	Downavg 58.1¢	$500	$860.68	+$360.68	50% 347-343 (690)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 71.3¢	$601.47	$625.49	+$24.02	56% 14669-11554 (26223)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 65.1¢	$586.25	$560.31	-$25.94	55% 15663-13037 (28700)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 67.6¢	$474.88	$499.9	+$25.02	50% 5420-5490 (10910)
machinelearned	Downavg 69.1¢	$220.86	$285	+$64.14	55% 8787-7245 (16032)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 52.2¢	$285.9	$265.75	+$5.07	64% 58688-33274 (91962)
SF sfkjbsr457	Downavg 66¢	$229.42	$231.11	+$232.79	54% 8165-6865 (15030)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 55¢	$107.79	$195.98	+$88.19	58% 38135-27322 (65457)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 85.4¢	$204.27	$193.83	-$10.44	66% 99292-51478 (150770)
GO GoodFallenCTR	Upavg 40.7¢	$267.64	—	-$267.64	56% 13916-11031 (24947)
LI Little-big	Downavg 50.8¢	$106.74	$150	+$43.26	35% 18938-35934 (54872)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 87.3¢	$126.27	$132	+$5.73	55% 7605-6229 (13834)
BoneOhio	Downavg 66.1¢	$109.95	$89.17	-$20.78	74% 102693-36455 (139148)
FairValueMachineCTR	Upavg 42.7¢	$164.52	—	-$164.52	57% 12630-9701 (22331)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 93.7¢	$78.25	$77.33	-$0.92	52% 90788-85318 (176106)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 88.1¢	$47.14	$50.32	+$3.18	66% 126396-65094 (191490)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 85.5¢	$68	$50.3	-$17.7	62% 43966-26982 (70948)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 43.7¢	$20.9	$41.18	+$20.28	58% 60765-44349 (105114)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 62.6¢	$27.72	$36.99	+$9.27	46% 38341-45284 (83625)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 80.4¢	$74.35	$35.31	-$18.22	64% 23991-13230 (37221)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 53.9¢	$31.14	$34.44	+$3.3	59% 6915-4856 (11771)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 63¢	$12.8	$20.32	+$7.52	57% 71206-54306 (125512)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Downavg 84¢	$24.2	$20	-$4.2	55% 24022-19407 (43429)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Downavg 50.8¢	$15.25	$30	+$14.75	56% 8113-6259 (14372)

0x50f7

Down

Invested

$4,204.2

Value

$4.2K

PnL

+$4.21

Record

59%

62455-43604 (106059)

Telawin

Down

Invested

$500

Value

$860.68

PnL

+$360.68

Record

50%

347-343 (690)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$601.47

Value

$625.49

PnL

+$24.02

Record

56%

14669-11554 (26223)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$586.25

Value

$560.31

PnL

-$25.94

Record

55%

15663-13037 (28700)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$474.88

Value

$499.9

PnL

+$25.02

Record

50%

5420-5490 (10910)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$220.86

Value

$285

PnL

+$64.14

Record

55%

8787-7245 (16032)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$285.9

Value

$265.75

PnL

+$5.07

Record

64%

58688-33274 (91962)

sfkjbsr457

Down

Invested

$229.42

Value

$231.11

PnL

+$232.79

Record

54%

8165-6865 (15030)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$107.79

Value

$195.98

PnL

+$88.19

Record

58%

38135-27322 (65457)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$204.27

Value

$193.83

PnL

-$10.44

Record

66%

99292-51478 (150770)

GoodFallenCTR

Invested

$267.64

Value

—

PnL

-$267.64

Record

56%

13916-11031 (24947)

Little-big

Down

Invested

$106.74

Value

$150

PnL

+$43.26

Record

35%

18938-35934 (54872)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$126.27

Value

$132

PnL

+$5.73

Record

55%

7605-6229 (13834)

BoneOhio

Down

Invested

$109.95

Value

$89.17

PnL

-$20.78

Record

74%

102693-36455 (139148)

FairValueMachineCTR

Invested

$164.52

Value

—

PnL

-$164.52

Record

57%

12630-9701 (22331)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Down

Invested

$78.25

Value

$77.33

PnL

-$0.92

Record

52%

90788-85318 (176106)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$47.14

Value

$50.32

PnL

+$3.18

Record

66%

126396-65094 (191490)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Down

Invested

$68

Value

$50.3

PnL

-$17.7

Record

62%

43966-26982 (70948)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Down

Invested

$20.9

Value

$41.18

PnL

+$20.28

Record

58%

60765-44349 (105114)

pspspsps5<$100

Down

Invested

$27.72

Value

$36.99

PnL

+$9.27

Record

46%

38341-45284 (83625)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$74.35

Value

$35.31

PnL

-$18.22

Record

64%

23991-13230 (37221)

13897651<$100

Down

Invested

$31.14

Value

$34.44

PnL

+$3.3

Record

59%

6915-4856 (11771)

uninformedfloww<$100

Down

Invested

$12.8

Value

$20.32

PnL

+$7.52

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

sir-upalot<$100

Down

Invested

$24.2

Value

$20

PnL

-$4.2

Record

55%

24022-19407 (43429)

wzbbb<$100

Down

Invested

$15.25

Value

$30

PnL

+$14.75

Record

56%

8113-6259 (14372)

Smart Money Signal

Down

27 of 33 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x6ca356d8...ff20f0

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793454600

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Down — $4.2K

+$4.21

Telawin

Down — $860.68

+$360.68

CrouchPredictions

Down — $625.49

+$24.02

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $560.31

-$25.94

ply-pm0

Down — $499.9

+$25.02

machinelearned

Down — $285

+$64.14

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $265.75

+$5.07

sfkjbsr457

Down — $231.11

+$232.79

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $195.98

+$88.19

Bonereaper

Down — $193.83

-$10.44

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