Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 71%
$3.3K
-$16.11
Smart Money Signal
18 of 25 top traders (72%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $996.61 | $1.0K | +$10.07 | 74% 102693-36455 (139148) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 73.6¢ | $609.21 | $782.32 | +$173.11 | 55% 15663-13037 (28700) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 76.5¢ | $267.3 | $317.81 | +$50.51 | 55% 8787-7245 (16032) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 88.1¢ | $206.76 | $194.13 | -$12.64 | 54% 8165-6865 (15030) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 67¢ | $147.49 | $217.37 | +$69.88 | 56% 13916-11031 (24947) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 75.7¢ | $161 | $183.29 | +$22.29 | 50% 5420-5490 (10910) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 27.9¢ | $272.29 | — | -$272.29 | 56% 14669-11554 (26223) |
 ohioism | Upavg 80¢ | $120 | $150 | +$30 | 64% 40317-23061 (63378) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 98.4¢ | $179.06 | $99.4 | -$79.66 | 64% 58688-33274 (91962) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $93.32 | $94.47 | +$1.15 | 66% 99292-51478 (150770) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 57.6¢ | $41.89 | $55.9 | +$14.01 | 60% 12392-8220 (20612) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89.7¢ | $31.26 | $34.84 | +$3.58 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $28.73 | $57.27 | +$28.54 | 59% 6915-4856 (11771) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $24.62 | — | -$24.62 | 57% 12630-9701 (22331) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 64.5¢ | $15 | $20.18 | +$5.18 | 55% 7605-6229 (13834) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $14.84 | $15.14 | +$0.3 | 58% 60765-44349 (105114) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $10.1 | $11 | +$0.9 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 14.5¢ | $41.92 | — | -$41.92 | 46% 38341-45284 (83625) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $10.8 | $20 | +$9.2 | 55% 24022-19407 (43429) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 62% 43966-26982 (70948) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $4.8 | $10 | +$5.2 | 58% 51123-37260 (88383) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 0.3¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3662-2839 (6501) |
BoneOhioInvested
$996.61
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10.07
Record
74%
102693-36455 (139148)
Invested
$609.21
Value
$782.32
PnL
+$173.11
Record
55%
15663-13037 (28700)
machinelearnedInvested
$267.3
Value
$317.81
PnL
+$50.51
Record
55%
8787-7245 (16032)
Invested
$206.76
Value
$194.13
PnL
-$12.64
Record
54%
8165-6865 (15030)
Invested
$147.49
Value
$217.37
PnL
+$69.88
Record
56%
13916-11031 (24947)
Invested
$161
Value
$183.29
PnL
+$22.29
Record
50%
5420-5490 (10910)
Invested
$272.29
Value
—
PnL
-$272.29
Record
56%
14669-11554 (26223)
ohioismInvested
$120
Value
$150
PnL
+$30
Record
64%
40317-23061 (63378)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$179.06
Value
$99.4
PnL
-$79.66
Record
64%
58688-33274 (91962)
Invested
$93.32
Value
$94.47
PnL
+$1.15
Record
66%
99292-51478 (150770)
Invested
$41.89
Value
$55.9
PnL
+$14.01
Record
60%
12392-8220 (20612)
Invested
$31.26
Value
$34.84
PnL
+$3.58
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
Invested
$28.73
Value
$57.27
PnL
+$28.54
Record
59%
6915-4856 (11771)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$24.62
Value
—
PnL
-$24.62
Record
57%
12630-9701 (22331)
Invested
$15
Value
$20.18
PnL
+$5.18
Record
55%
7605-6229 (13834)
Invested
$14.84
Value
$15.14
PnL
+$0.3
Record
58%
60765-44349 (105114)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$10.1
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.9
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$41.92
Value
—
PnL
-$41.92
Record
46%
38341-45284 (83625)
Invested
$10.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.2
Record
55%
24022-19407 (43429)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
62%
43966-26982 (70948)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.2
Record
58%
51123-37260 (88383)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3662-2839 (6501)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Up — $1.0K
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $782.32
machinelearned
Up — $317.81
sfkjbsr457
Up — $194.13
GoodFallen
Up — $217.37
ply-pm0
Up — $183.29
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $150
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $99.4
Bonereaper
Up — $94.47