Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 93%

Total Value

$8.1K

Combined PnL

$618.97

Smart Money Signal

26 of 29 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up26 traders

Total Value$8.1K

Total Shares8,095

Combined PnL+$644.78

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,130

Combined PnL-$25.81

Up — 90%Down — 10%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	+$3.02	59% 62455-43604 (106059)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 86.2¢	$1.2K	$1.4K	+$196.81	57% 71206-54306 (125512)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 89.6¢	$514.61	$563.29	+$48.68	56% 14669-11554 (26223)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Upavg 84.2¢	$266.39	$316.42	+$50.03	55% 18044-14641 (32685)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 92.9¢	$299.38	$268.59	-$30.79	64% 58688-33274 (91962)
pspspsps5	Upavg 98¢	$244.66	$249.65	+$4.99	46% 38341-45284 (83625)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 77.9¢	$206.07	$247.46	+$41.39	50% 5420-5490 (10910)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 95.2¢	$168.35	$176.76	+$8.41	55% 45398-37789 (83187)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 77.3¢	$140.53	$168	+$27.47	54% 8165-6865 (15030)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 71.7¢	$132.94	$153.17	+$20.23	55% 15663-13037 (28700)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 76.8¢	$137.2	$139.14	+$1.94	56% 13916-11031 (24947)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 81.3¢	$121.71	$132	+$10.29	55% 7605-6229 (13834)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 80.5¢	$110.29	$129.35	+$19.06	66% 99292-51478 (150770)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 60.5¢	$140.56	$232.32	+$91.76	58% 38135-27322 (65457)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 79.5¢	$162.59	$199.99	+$37.4	57% 12630-9701 (22331)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 73¢	$82.51	$88.89	+$6.39	60% 12392-8220 (20612)
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700<$100	Upavg 81.9¢	$82.29	$96.44	+$17.39	63% 1771-1034 (2805)
SE seeeeeeb<$100	Upavg 89¢	$83.4	$93.71	+$10.31	51% 746-706 (1452)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98.9¢	$81.09	$82	+$0.91	93% 23943-1796 (25739)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 72.7¢	$45.54	$55.29	+$9.81	64% 23991-13230 (37221)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 79¢	$47.4	$60	+$12.6	55% 24022-19407 (43429)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$24.74	—	-$24.74	35% 18938-35934 (54872)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 88.6¢	$50.24	$56.68	+$6.44	66% 126396-65094 (191490)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 54.7¢	$29	$53	+$24	59% 6915-4856 (11771)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 73.2¢	$32.29	$44.13	+$11.84	52% 90788-85318 (176106)

0x50f7

Invested

$3,004.99

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$3.02

Record

59%

62455-43604 (106059)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$1,228.93

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$196.81

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$514.61

Value

$563.29

PnL

+$48.68

Record

56%

14669-11554 (26223)

Kathod-Shi-14

Invested

$266.39

Value

$316.42

PnL

+$50.03

Record

55%

18044-14641 (32685)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$299.38

Value

$268.59

PnL

-$30.79

Record

64%

58688-33274 (91962)

pspspsps5

Invested

$244.66

Value

$249.65

PnL

+$4.99

Record

46%

38341-45284 (83625)

ply-pm0

Invested

$206.07

Value

$247.46

PnL

+$41.39

Record

50%

5420-5490 (10910)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$168.35

Value

$176.76

PnL

+$8.41

Record

55%

45398-37789 (83187)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$140.53

Value

$168

PnL

+$27.47

Record

54%

8165-6865 (15030)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$132.94

Value

$153.17

PnL

+$20.23

Record

55%

15663-13037 (28700)

GoodFallen

Invested

$137.2

Value

$139.14

PnL

+$1.94

Record

56%

13916-11031 (24947)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$121.71

Value

$132

PnL

+$10.29

Record

55%

7605-6229 (13834)

Bonereaper

Invested

$110.29

Value

$129.35

PnL

+$19.06

Record

66%

99292-51478 (150770)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$140.56

Value

$232.32

PnL

+$91.76

Record

58%

38135-27322 (65457)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$162.59

Value

$199.99

PnL

+$37.4

Record

57%

12630-9701 (22331)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$82.51

Value

$88.89

PnL

+$6.39

Record

60%

12392-8220 (20612)

0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700<$100

Invested

$82.29

Value

$96.44

PnL

+$17.39

Record

63%

1771-1034 (2805)

seeeeeeb<$100

Invested

$83.4

Value

$93.71

PnL

+$10.31

Record

51%

746-706 (1452)

hoodquant<$100

Invested

$81.09

Value

$82

PnL

+$0.91

Record

93%

23943-1796 (25739)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$45.54

Value

$55.29

PnL

+$9.81

Record

64%

23991-13230 (37221)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$47.4

Value

$60

PnL

+$12.6

Record

55%

24022-19407 (43429)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$24.74

Value

—

PnL

-$24.74

Record

35%

18938-35934 (54872)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$50.24

Value

$56.68

PnL

+$6.44

Record

66%

126396-65094 (191490)

13897651<$100

Invested

$29

Value

$53

PnL

+$24

Record

59%

6915-4856 (11771)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$32.29

Value

$44.13

PnL

+$11.84

Record

52%

90788-85318 (176106)

Smart Money Signal

26 of 29 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x77f91caf...25dc36

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793454000

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $3.0K

+$3.02

uninformedfloww

Up — $1.4K

+$196.81

CrouchPredictions

Up — $563.29

+$48.68

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $316.42

+$50.03

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $268.59

-$30.79

pspspsps5

Up — $249.65

+$4.99

ply-pm0

Up — $247.46

+$41.39

MayorMamdani

Up — $176.76

+$8.41

sfkjbsr457

Up — $168

+$27.47

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $153.17

+$20.23

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