Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 54%
$1.8K
-$560.4
Smart Money Signal
13 of 25 top traders (52%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 82.2¢ | $613.88 | $696.61 | +$82.73 | 56% 14628-11513 (26141) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 64¢ | $538.57 | — | -$538.57 | 58% 38113-27312 (65425) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 90.4¢ | $293.46 | $261.51 | -$2.54 | 64% 58676-33266 (91942) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $190.82 | $215.39 | +$24.57 | 50% 5409-5480 (10889) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 69.1¢ | $140.8 | $179.86 | +$39.06 | 66% 99292-51478 (150770) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 61.2¢ | $115.8 | $119.99 | +$4.18 | 55% 15645-13034 (28679) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 58.8¢ | $95.31 | — | -$95.31 | 35% 18929-35926 (54855) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 67.7¢ | $92.72 | $132 | +$39.28 | 60% 12381-8210 (20591) |
SF sfkjbsr457<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $63.84 | $48 | -$15.84 | 54% 8152-6857 (15009) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $50.18 | $44 | -$6.18 | 55% 7593-6220 (13813) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $42.61 | — | -$42.61 | 56% 13903-11024 (24927) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82.8¢ | $52.52 | $63.44 | +$10.92 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82.2¢ | $24.57 | $29.88 | +$5.31 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 65.6¢ | $26.4 | $21.25 | -$5.15 | 57% 12618-9693 (22311) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.9¢ | $20.45 | — | -$20.45 | 59% 6908-4845 (11753) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $15.3 | $17 | +$1.7 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $12.5 | — | -$12.5 | 58% 51106-37241 (88347) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $11.6 | $20 | +$8.4 | 55% 24009-19403 (43412) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $13.45 | — | -$13.45 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $10.02 | — | -$10.02 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 15.5¢ | $5.05 | — | -$5.05 | 55% 18043-14638 (32681) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.2¢ | $2.76 | — | -$2.76 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.87 | — | -$1.87 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.2¢ | $4.26 | — | -$4.26 | 65% 4122-2245 (6367) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3659-2838 (6497) |
Invested
$613.88
Value
$696.61
PnL
+$82.73
Record
56%
14628-11513 (26141)
Invested
$538.57
Value
—
PnL
-$538.57
Record
58%
38113-27312 (65425)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$293.46
Value
$261.51
PnL
-$2.54
Record
64%
58676-33266 (91942)
Invested
$190.82
Value
$215.39
PnL
+$24.57
Record
50%
5409-5480 (10889)
Invested
$140.8
Value
$179.86
PnL
+$39.06
Record
66%
99292-51478 (150770)
Invested
$115.8
Value
$119.99
PnL
+$4.18
Record
55%
15645-13034 (28679)
Invested
$95.31
Value
—
PnL
-$95.31
Record
35%
18929-35926 (54855)
Invested
$92.72
Value
$132
PnL
+$39.28
Record
60%
12381-8210 (20591)
Invested
$63.84
Value
$48
PnL
-$15.84
Record
54%
8152-6857 (15009)
Invested
$50.18
Value
$44
PnL
-$6.18
Record
55%
7593-6220 (13813)
Invested
$42.61
Value
—
PnL
-$42.61
Record
56%
13903-11024 (24927)
Invested
$52.52
Value
$63.44
PnL
+$10.92
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
Invested
$24.57
Value
$29.88
PnL
+$5.31
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$26.4
Value
$21.25
PnL
-$5.15
Record
57%
12618-9693 (22311)
Invested
$20.45
Value
—
PnL
-$20.45
Record
59%
6908-4845 (11753)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15.3
Value
$17
PnL
+$1.7
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$12.5
Value
—
PnL
-$12.5
Record
58%
51106-37241 (88347)
Invested
$11.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.4
Record
55%
24009-19403 (43412)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$13.45
Value
—
PnL
-$13.45
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$10.02
Value
—
PnL
-$10.02
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
Invested
$5.05
Value
—
PnL
-$5.05
Record
55%
18043-14638 (32681)
Invested
$2.76
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.87
Value
—
PnL
-$1.87
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$4.26
Value
—
PnL
-$4.26
Record
65%
4122-2245 (6367)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3659-2838 (6497)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $696.61
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $261.51
ply-pm0
Up — $215.39
Bonereaper
Up — $179.86
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $119.99
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $132
sfkjbsr457
Up — $48
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $44