Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 76%
$4.8K
-$94.38
Smart Money Signal
19 of 26 top traders (73%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30 | 74% 102692-36455 (139147) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 86.8¢ | $698.45 | $680.75 | -$17.7 | 56% 14628-11513 (26141) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Upavg 39¢ | $120.19 | — | -$120.19 | 56% 8103-6239 (14342) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 70.9¢ | $112.2 | $118.25 | +$6.05 | 55% 15645-13034 (28679) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 90.6¢ | $120.63 | $100.79 | -$19.84 | 64% 58676-33266 (91942) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 96¢ | $119.41 | $100 | -$19.41 | 51% 17184-16687 (33871) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $78.95 | $98.11 | +$19.16 | 66% 99292-51478 (150770) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 87.2¢ | $101.77 | $94.89 | -$6.88 | 54% 8152-6857 (15009) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 87¢ | $102.02 | $102.28 | +$0.26 | 60% 12381-8210 (20591) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 96.7¢ | $117.72 | $90 | -$27.72 | 50% 5409-5480 (10889) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 65¢ | $73.95 | $113.77 | +$39.82 | 58% 38113-27312 (65425) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $66.43 | $93.5 | +$27.07 | 59% 6908-4845 (11753) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $33.25 | $35.37 | +$2.12 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $36 | $25 | -$11 | 55% 8774-7237 (16011) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $24.3 | $30 | +$5.7 | 57% 12618-9693 (22311) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $26.25 | $50 | +$23.75 | 58% 51106-37241 (88347) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $17.37 | $21.67 | +$4.3 | 55% 7593-6220 (13813) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.1¢ | $15.84 | — | -$15.84 | 56% 13903-11024 (24927) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $15.84 | $16 | +$0.16 | 93% 23917-1795 (25712) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $2.74 | — | -$2.74 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $9.8 | $10.32 | +$0.52 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $4.52 | — | -$4.52 | 55% 50677-41281 (91958) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $6.3 | $5.23 | -$1.07 | 65% 4122-2245 (6367) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.2¢ | $3.63 | — | -$3.63 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
BoneOhioInvested
$2,970
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30
Record
74%
102692-36455 (139147)
Invested
$698.45
Value
$680.75
PnL
-$17.7
Record
56%
14628-11513 (26141)
Invested
$120.19
Value
—
PnL
-$120.19
Record
56%
8103-6239 (14342)
Invested
$112.2
Value
$118.25
PnL
+$6.05
Record
55%
15645-13034 (28679)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$120.63
Value
$100.79
PnL
-$19.84
Record
64%
58676-33266 (91942)
Invested
$119.41
Value
$100
PnL
-$19.41
Record
51%
17184-16687 (33871)
Invested
$78.95
Value
$98.11
PnL
+$19.16
Record
66%
99292-51478 (150770)
Invested
$101.77
Value
$94.89
PnL
-$6.88
Record
54%
8152-6857 (15009)
Invested
$102.02
Value
$102.28
PnL
+$0.26
Record
60%
12381-8210 (20591)
Invested
$117.72
Value
$90
PnL
-$27.72
Record
50%
5409-5480 (10889)
Invested
$73.95
Value
$113.77
PnL
+$39.82
Record
58%
38113-27312 (65425)
Invested
$66.43
Value
$93.5
PnL
+$27.07
Record
59%
6908-4845 (11753)
Invested
$33.25
Value
$35.37
PnL
+$2.12
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$36
Value
$25
PnL
-$11
Record
55%
8774-7237 (16011)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$24.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.7
Record
57%
12618-9693 (22311)
Invested
$26.25
Value
$50
PnL
+$23.75
Record
58%
51106-37241 (88347)
Invested
$17.37
Value
$21.67
PnL
+$4.3
Record
55%
7593-6220 (13813)
Invested
$15.84
Value
—
PnL
-$15.84
Record
56%
13903-11024 (24927)
Invested
$15.84
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.16
Record
93%
23917-1795 (25712)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.74
Value
—
PnL
-$2.74
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$10.32
PnL
+$0.52
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
Invested
$4.52
Value
—
PnL
-$4.52
Record
55%
50677-41281 (91958)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
$5.23
PnL
-$1.07
Record
65%
4122-2245 (6367)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$3.63
Value
—
PnL
-$3.63
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $3.0K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $680.75
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $118.25
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $100.79
gansinimen
Down — $100
Bonereaper
Down — $98.11
sfkjbsr457
Down — $94.89
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $102.28
ply-pm0
Down — $90