Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 74%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$8.3K

Combined PnL

$1.2K

Smart Money Signal

23 of 32 top traders (72%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up23 traders

Total Value$8.0K

Total Shares7,989

Combined PnL+$1.3K

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares887

Combined PnL-$123.72

Up — 72%Down — 28%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 69.5¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	-$45.71	56% 14628-11513 (26141)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 64.8¢	$796.88	$828.58	+$31.7	55% 15645-13034 (28679)
BoneOhio	Upavg 97.4¢	$817.25	$839.09	+$21.84	74% 102692-36455 (139147)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 65.1¢	$538.04	$506.88	-$31.16	56% 13903-11024 (24927)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 63.3¢	$482.92	$506.25	+$23.33	66% 99292-51478 (150770)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 49.3¢	$438.59	$471.21	+$32.62	50% 5409-5480 (10889)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 68.8¢	$408.82	$460.16	+$51.34	57% 12618-9693 (22311)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 57.4¢	$430.52	$749.94	+$319.43	58% 38113-27312 (65425)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 39.2¢	$271.78	$693	+$421.22	56% 8103-6239 (14342)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 55.1¢	$206.16	$267.9	+$61.74	54% 8152-6857 (15009)
GA gansinimenARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$156.99	$199.99	+$43.01	51% 17184-16687 (33871)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$100	$199.99	+$100
└ Down leg	Downavg 28.5¢	$56.99	—	-$56.99
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 48¢	$122.1	$220	+$97.9	60% 12381-8210 (20591)
RO Rock.San	Upavg 99.9¢	$195.85	$196.05	+$0.2	89% 11994-1415 (13409)
ohioism	Upavg 65.2¢	$183.85	$255.08	+$71.23	64% 40299-23045 (63344)
machinelearned	Upavg 62.6¢	$130.99	$181.07	+$50.08	55% 8774-7237 (16011)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 70¢	$138.24	$155.75	+$17.51	64% 58676-33266 (91942)
LI Little-big	Upavg 49.3¢	$114.18	$183	+$68.82	35% 18929-35926 (54855)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 60.3¢	$104.48	$105	+$2.57	55% 7593-6220 (13813)
AS asdaefefARB<$100	Upavg 70.9¢	$69.2	$77.31	+$8.11	66% 126346-65068 (191414)
└ Up leg	Upavg 70.9¢	$54.83	$77.31	+$22.48
└ Down leg	Downavg 5.9¢	$14.37	—	-$14.37
MO mo-money	Upavg 66¢	$111.98	$169.66	+$57.69	55% 50677-41281 (91958)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 70.2¢	$61.1	$87.07	+$25.97	64% 23928-13193 (37121)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$5.97	—	-$5.97	63% 52154-31006 (83160)
DV dvasdkasodkARB<$100	Upavg 78.3¢	$38.06	$45.82	+$7.76	52% 90753-85289 (176042)
└ Up leg	Upavg 78.3¢	$35.9	$45.82	+$9.92
└ Down leg	Downavg 1¢	$2.16	—	-$2.16
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 52.5¢	$37.32	—	-$37.32	58% 51106-37241 (88347)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 58¢	$23.2	$40	+$16.8	55% 24009-19403 (43412)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,092.22

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$45.71

Record

56%

14628-11513 (26141)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$796.88

Value

$828.58

PnL

+$31.7

Record

55%

15645-13034 (28679)

BoneOhio

Invested

$817.25

Value

$839.09

PnL

+$21.84

Record

74%

102692-36455 (139147)

GoodFallen

Invested

$538.04

Value

$506.88

PnL

-$31.16

Record

56%

13903-11024 (24927)

Bonereaper

Invested

$482.92

Value

$506.25

PnL

+$23.33

Record

66%

99292-51478 (150770)

ply-pm0

Invested

$438.59

Value

$471.21

PnL

+$32.62

Record

50%

5409-5480 (10889)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$408.82

Value

$460.16

PnL

+$51.34

Record

57%

12618-9693 (22311)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$430.52

Value

$749.94

PnL

+$319.43

Record

58%

38113-27312 (65425)

wzbbb

Invested

$271.78

Value

$693

PnL

+$421.22

Record

56%

8103-6239 (14342)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$206.16

Value

$267.9

PnL

+$61.74

Record

54%

8152-6857 (15009)

gansinimenARB<$100

Invested

$156.99

Value

$199.99

PnL

+$43.01

Record

51%

17184-16687 (33871)

Both legs:

Up$10050¢+$100

Down$56.9928.5¢-$56.99

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$122.1

Value

$220

PnL

+$97.9

Record

60%

12381-8210 (20591)

Rock.San

Invested

$195.85

Value

$196.05

PnL

+$0.2

Record

89%

11994-1415 (13409)

ohioism

Invested

$183.85

Value

$255.08

PnL

+$71.23

Record

64%

40299-23045 (63344)

machinelearned

Invested

$130.99

Value

$181.07

PnL

+$50.08

Record

55%

8774-7237 (16011)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$138.24

Value

$155.75

PnL

+$17.51

Record

64%

58676-33266 (91942)

Little-big

Invested

$114.18

Value

$183

PnL

+$68.82

Record

35%

18929-35926 (54855)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$104.48

Value

$105

PnL

+$2.57

Record

55%

7593-6220 (13813)

asdaefefARB<$100

Invested

$69.2

Value

$77.31

PnL

+$8.11

Record

66%

126346-65068 (191414)

Both legs:

Up$54.8370.9¢+$22.48

Down$14.375.9¢-$14.37

mo-money

Invested

$111.98

Value

$169.66

PnL

+$57.69

Record

55%

50677-41281 (91958)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$61.1

Value

$87.07

PnL

+$25.97

Record

64%

23928-13193 (37121)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$5.97

Value

—

PnL

-$5.97

Record

63%

52154-31006 (83160)

dvasdkasodkARB<$100

Invested

$38.06

Value

$45.82

PnL

+$7.76

Record

52%

90753-85289 (176042)

Both legs:

Invested

$37.32

Value

—

PnL

-$37.32

Record

58%

51106-37241 (88347)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$23.2

Value

$40

PnL

+$16.8

Record

55%

24009-19403 (43412)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 32 top traders (72%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x37c8b43e...992d3f

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793447400

Traders in this Market

CrouchPredictions

Up — $1.0K

-$45.71

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $828.58

+$31.7

BoneOhio

Up — $839.09

+$21.84

GoodFallen

Up — $506.88

-$31.16

Bonereaper

Up — $506.25

+$23.33

ply-pm0

Up — $471.21

+$32.62

FairValueMachine

Up — $460.16

+$51.34

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $749.94

+$319.43

wzbbb

Up — $693

+$421.22

sfkjbsr457

Up — $267.9

+$61.74

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