Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 93% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 96%

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

-$426.31

Smart Money Signal

25 of 27 top traders (93%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,923

Combined PnL$-1.0K

Up25 traders

Total Value$4.1K

Total Shares4,090

Combined PnL+$573.69

Down — 7%Up — 93%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TE TelawinCTR	Downavg 52¢	$1.0K	—	$-1.0K	51% 347-340 (687)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 74.8¢	$522.27	$618.5	+$96.23	56% 14626-11513 (26139)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 67.7¢	$524.68	$556.97	+$32.29	55% 15635-13029 (28664)
machinelearned	Upavg 67.4¢	$273.46	$390.81	+$117.35	55% 8763-7228 (15991)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 58.6¢	$257.02	$331.58	+$74.56	56% 13891-11019 (24910)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 67.6¢	$271.54	$300.28	+$28.74	50% 5401-5468 (10869)
RO Rock.San	Upavg 99.9¢	$287.9	$288.19	+$0.29	89% 11989-1415 (13404)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 64.7¢	$210.95	$289.98	+$79.04	57% 12608-9686 (22294)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 75.4¢	$199.78	$194.13	-$4.2	55% 7579-6214 (13793)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 69.2¢	$151.33	$192.27	+$40.94	54% 8142-6847 (14989)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 77.3¢	$246.12	$176.7	-$69.42	60% 12368-8204 (20572)
DV dvasdkasodk	Upavg 87.3¢	$107.2	$116.63	+$9.43	52% 90722-85259 (175981)
ohioism	Upavg 66.8¢	$103.6	$155	+$51.4	64% 40280-23040 (63320)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 65¢	$57.11	$78.61	+$21.49	46% 38299-45230 (83529)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 72.7¢	$52.43	$54.87	+$2.44	64% 23872-13164 (37036)
LI Little-big<$100	Upavg 73.5¢	$53.66	$72.98	+$19.32	35% 18921-35912 (54833)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 84.1¢	$42.92	$51.05	+$8.13	61% 95344-60180 (155524)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 73.8¢	$32.42	$43.91	+$11.49	66% 126299-65048 (191347)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 52.8¢	$31.54	$54.79	+$23.25	59% 6897-4838 (11735)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 65.6¢	$22.38	$28.03	+$5.65	55% 23998-19397 (43395)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 67¢	$17	$25.37	+$8.37	56% 58279-44978 (103257)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 47¢	$15.26	$21	+$5.74	57% 8090-6223 (14313)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 66¢	$11.7	$13	+$1.3	49% 78161-81667 (159828)
SP spartacray<$100	Upavg 70¢	$14	$20	+$6	53% 27346-24289 (51635)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 68.5¢	$6.85	$10	+$3.15	55% 45212-37592 (82804)

TelawinCTR

Down

Invested

$1,000

Value

—

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

51%

347-340 (687)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$522.27

Value

$618.5

PnL

+$96.23

Record

56%

14626-11513 (26139)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$524.68

Value

$556.97

PnL

+$32.29

Record

55%

15635-13029 (28664)

machinelearned

Invested

$273.46

Value

$390.81

PnL

+$117.35

Record

55%

8763-7228 (15991)

GoodFallen

Invested

$257.02

Value

$331.58

PnL

+$74.56

Record

56%

13891-11019 (24910)

ply-pm0

Invested

$271.54

Value

$300.28

PnL

+$28.74

Record

50%

5401-5468 (10869)

Rock.San

Invested

$287.9

Value

$288.19

PnL

+$0.29

Record

89%

11989-1415 (13404)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$210.95

Value

$289.98

PnL

+$79.04

Record

57%

12608-9686 (22294)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$199.78

Value

$194.13

PnL

-$4.2

Record

55%

7579-6214 (13793)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$151.33

Value

$192.27

PnL

+$40.94

Record

54%

8142-6847 (14989)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$246.12

Value

$176.7

PnL

-$69.42

Record

60%

12368-8204 (20572)

dvasdkasodk

Invested

$107.2

Value

$116.63

PnL

+$9.43

Record

52%

90722-85259 (175981)

ohioism

Invested

$103.6

Value

$155

PnL

+$51.4

Record

64%

40280-23040 (63320)

pspspsps5<$100

Invested

$57.11

Value

$78.61

PnL

+$21.49

Record

46%

38299-45230 (83529)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$52.43

Value

$54.87

PnL

+$2.44

Record

64%

23872-13164 (37036)

Little-big<$100

Invested

$53.66

Value

$72.98

PnL

+$19.32

Record

35%

18921-35912 (54833)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$42.92

Value

$51.05

PnL

+$8.13

Record

61%

95344-60180 (155524)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$32.42

Value

$43.91

PnL

+$11.49

Record

66%

126299-65048 (191347)

13897651<$100

Invested

$31.54

Value

$54.79

PnL

+$23.25

Record

59%

6897-4838 (11735)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$22.38

Value

$28.03

PnL

+$5.65

Record

55%

23998-19397 (43395)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$17

Value

$25.37

PnL

+$8.37

Record

56%

58279-44978 (103257)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$15.26

Value

$21

PnL

+$5.74

Record

57%

8090-6223 (14313)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$11.7

Value

$13

PnL

+$1.3

Record

49%

78161-81667 (159828)

spartacray<$100

Invested

$14

Value

$20

PnL

+$6

Record

53%

27346-24289 (51635)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$6.85

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.15

Record

55%

45212-37592 (82804)

Smart Money Signal

25 of 27 top traders (93%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc7503e2d...2f212a

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793437500

Traders in this Market

Telawin

CTR

Down — $0

$-1.0K

CrouchPredictions

Up — $618.5

+$96.23

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $556.97

+$32.29

machinelearned

Up — $390.81

+$117.35

GoodFallen

Up — $331.58

+$74.56

ply-pm0

Up — $300.28

+$28.74

Rock.San

Up — $288.19

+$0.29

FairValueMachine

Up — $289.98

+$79.04

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $194.13

-$4.2

sfkjbsr457

Up — $192.27

+$40.94

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