Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 83%
$4.2K
$191.16
Smart Money Signal
19 of 24 top traders (79%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 80.7¢ | $1.4K | $1.6K | +$135.79 | 56% 14626-11513 (26139) |
TE TelawinCTR | Downavg 50.4¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 51% 347-340 (687) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 71.9¢ | $328.75 | $450 | +$121.25 | 55% 8763-7228 (15991) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 69.6¢ | $304.26 | $437.04 | +$132.77 | 58% 38095-27304 (65399) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 69¢ | $235.67 | $307.1 | +$71.43 | 50% 5401-5468 (10869) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 74.3¢ | $213.7 | $269.79 | +$56.09 | 55% 15635-13029 (28664) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 78.4¢ | $219.24 | $252.82 | +$33.58 | 54% 8142-6847 (14989) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 76.9¢ | $160.54 | $197.5 | +$36.96 | 55% 45212-37592 (82804) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 76¢ | $188 | $247.23 | +$59.23 | 35% 18921-35912 (54833) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 74.7¢ | $94.24 | $108.41 | +$14.17 | 60% 12368-8204 (20572) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 86.7¢ | $108.23 | $96.52 | -$11.71 | 55% 7579-6214 (13793) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $58.88 | $72.26 | +$13.38 | 56% 13891-11019 (24910) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $53.12 | $69.46 | +$16.34 | 64% 23872-13164 (37036) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $43.1 | $49.24 | +$6.14 | 61% 95344-60180 (155524) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 77.2¢ | $32.05 | $41.49 | +$9.44 | 66% 126299-65048 (191347) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $26.66 | $30 | +$3.34 | 57% 12608-9686 (22294) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $19.4 | $20 | +$0.6 | 53% 27346-24289 (51635) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $14.58 | $17.78 | +$3.2 | 55% 23998-19397 (43395) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 48.3¢ | $7.25 | $15 | +$7.75 | 59% 6897-4838 (11735) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.5¢ | $9.39 | — | -$9.39 | 49% 78161-81667 (159828) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $4.52 | $5 | +$0.48 | 58% 60731-44338 (105069) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.3¢ | $8.67 | — | -$8.67 | 46% 38299-45230 (83529) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 52% 90722-85259 (175981) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3658-2838 (6496) |
Invested
$1,418.39
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$135.79
Record
56%
14626-11513 (26139)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
51%
347-340 (687)
machinelearnedInvested
$328.75
Value
$450
PnL
+$121.25
Record
55%
8763-7228 (15991)
Invested
$304.26
Value
$437.04
PnL
+$132.77
Record
58%
38095-27304 (65399)
Invested
$235.67
Value
$307.1
PnL
+$71.43
Record
50%
5401-5468 (10869)
Invested
$213.7
Value
$269.79
PnL
+$56.09
Record
55%
15635-13029 (28664)
Invested
$219.24
Value
$252.82
PnL
+$33.58
Record
54%
8142-6847 (14989)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$160.54
Value
$197.5
PnL
+$36.96
Record
55%
45212-37592 (82804)
Invested
$188
Value
$247.23
PnL
+$59.23
Record
35%
18921-35912 (54833)
Invested
$94.24
Value
$108.41
PnL
+$14.17
Record
60%
12368-8204 (20572)
Invested
$108.23
Value
$96.52
PnL
-$11.71
Record
55%
7579-6214 (13793)
Invested
$58.88
Value
$72.26
PnL
+$13.38
Record
56%
13891-11019 (24910)
Invested
$53.12
Value
$69.46
PnL
+$16.34
Record
64%
23872-13164 (37036)
Invested
$43.1
Value
$49.24
PnL
+$6.14
Record
61%
95344-60180 (155524)
Invested
$32.05
Value
$41.49
PnL
+$9.44
Record
66%
126299-65048 (191347)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$26.66
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.34
Record
57%
12608-9686 (22294)
Invested
$19.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.6
Record
53%
27346-24289 (51635)
Invested
$14.58
Value
$17.78
PnL
+$3.2
Record
55%
23998-19397 (43395)
Invested
$7.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$7.75
Record
59%
6897-4838 (11735)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$9.39
Value
—
PnL
-$9.39
Record
49%
78161-81667 (159828)
Invested
$4.52
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.48
Record
58%
60731-44338 (105069)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$8.67
Value
—
PnL
-$8.67
Record
46%
38299-45230 (83529)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
90722-85259 (175981)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3658-2838 (6496)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.6K
Telawin
CTRDown — $0
machinelearned
Up — $450
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $437.04
ply-pm0
Up — $307.1
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $269.79
sfkjbsr457
Up — $252.82
MayorMamdani
Up — $197.5
Little-big
Up — $247.23
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $108.41