Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Up 89%
$3.7K
$188.65
Smart Money Signal
24 of 28 top traders (86%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 83.5¢ | $965.16 | $1.0K | +$39.15 | 64% 58572-33180 (91752) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 83.1¢ | $455.88 | $516.92 | +$61.04 | 55% 8753-7219 (15972) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 77¢ | $323.19 | $343.09 | +$19.91 | 55% 15624-13020 (28644) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 83.6¢ | $254.66 | $263.94 | +$9.28 | 50% 5387-5463 (10850) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 84.1¢ | $218.63 | $235.04 | +$16.41 | 54% 8135-6835 (14970) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 86¢ | $180.15 | $195.32 | +$15.17 | 55% 45212-37590 (82802) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 73.2¢ | $152.4 | $154.24 | +$1.84 | 60% 12354-8199 (20553) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 67¢ | $113.52 | $132 | +$18.48 | 55% 7569-6206 (13775) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $97.2 | $120.94 | +$23.74 | 46% 38281-45205 (83486) |
SP spartacray | Upavg 82.3¢ | $86.85 | $103.85 | +$17 | 53% 27334-24284 (51618) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 74.3¢ | $94.03 | $100.78 | +$6.75 | 56% 13880-11011 (24891) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $93.06 | $94 | +$0.94 | 93% 23873-1792 (25665) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $88.08 | — | -$88.08 | 58% 38081-27294 (65375) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72.3¢ | $44.03 | $59.99 | +$15.96 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $55.41 | $53.81 | -$1.6 | 57% 12598-9677 (22275) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.8¢ | $51.54 | $60.08 | +$8.54 | 66% 126252-65031 (191283) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 79.9¢ | $41.5 | $50.06 | +$8.56 | 64% 40270-23036 (63306) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89.8¢ | $42.97 | $47.87 | +$4.9 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97.9¢ | $40.14 | $41 | +$0.86 | 52% 90691-85227 (175918) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 73.8¢ | $45 | $60.96 | +$15.96 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 48.4¢ | $16.01 | $23 | +$6.99 | 58% 60720-44332 (105052) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $23.75 | $25 | +$1.25 | 56% 58267-44968 (103235) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $21.25 | $25 | +$3.75 | 62% 43934-26954 (70888) |
PA Parad0XCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $19.8 | — | -$19.8 | 56% 2240-1748 (3988) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 88.6¢ | $12.19 | $13.75 | +$1.56 | 65% 4108-2237 (6345) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$965.16
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$39.15
Record
64%
58572-33180 (91752)
machinelearnedInvested
$455.88
Value
$516.92
PnL
+$61.04
Record
55%
8753-7219 (15972)
Invested
$323.19
Value
$343.09
PnL
+$19.91
Record
55%
15624-13020 (28644)
Invested
$254.66
Value
$263.94
PnL
+$9.28
Record
50%
5387-5463 (10850)
Invested
$218.63
Value
$235.04
PnL
+$16.41
Record
54%
8135-6835 (14970)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$180.15
Value
$195.32
PnL
+$15.17
Record
55%
45212-37590 (82802)
Invested
$152.4
Value
$154.24
PnL
+$1.84
Record
60%
12354-8199 (20553)
Invested
$113.52
Value
$132
PnL
+$18.48
Record
55%
7569-6206 (13775)
pspspsps5Invested
$97.2
Value
$120.94
PnL
+$23.74
Record
46%
38281-45205 (83486)
Invested
$86.85
Value
$103.85
PnL
+$17
Record
53%
27334-24284 (51618)
Invested
$94.03
Value
$100.78
PnL
+$6.75
Record
56%
13880-11011 (24891)
Invested
$93.06
Value
$94
PnL
+$0.94
Record
93%
23873-1792 (25665)
Invested
$88.08
Value
—
PnL
-$88.08
Record
58%
38081-27294 (65375)
Invested
$44.03
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$15.96
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$55.41
Value
$53.81
PnL
-$1.6
Record
57%
12598-9677 (22275)
Invested
$51.54
Value
$60.08
PnL
+$8.54
Record
66%
126252-65031 (191283)
ohioism<$100Invested
$41.5
Value
$50.06
PnL
+$8.56
Record
64%
40270-23036 (63306)
Invested
$42.97
Value
$47.87
PnL
+$4.9
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
Invested
$40.14
Value
$41
PnL
+$0.86
Record
52%
90691-85227 (175918)
Invested
$45
Value
$60.96
PnL
+$15.96
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
Invested
$16.01
Value
$23
PnL
+$6.99
Record
58%
60720-44332 (105052)
Invested
$23.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.25
Record
56%
58267-44968 (103235)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$21.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.75
Record
62%
43934-26954 (70888)
Invested
$19.8
Value
—
PnL
-$19.8
Record
56%
2240-1748 (3988)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$12.19
Value
$13.75
PnL
+$1.56
Record
65%
4108-2237 (6345)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $1.0K
machinelearned
Up — $516.92
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $343.09
ply-pm0
Up — $263.94
sfkjbsr457
Up — $235.04
MayorMamdani
Up — $195.32
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $154.24
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $132
pspspsps5
Up — $120.94
spartacray
Up — $103.85