Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 43%
$2.3K
$76.05
Smart Money Signal
13 of 30 top traders (43%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 53.4¢ | $643.26 | $1.2K | +$560.63 | 58% 38081-27294 (65375) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 55.4¢ | $156.07 | $193.66 | +$37.59 | 55% 15624-13020 (28644) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $187.08 | $190.9 | +$3.82 | 93% 23873-1792 (25665) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 70.4¢ | $203.92 | $174.41 | -$29.52 | 50% 5387-5463 (10850) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 54.6¢ | $314.3 | — | -$146.86 | 48% 23453-25767 (49220) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Upavg 43¢ | $126.28 | — | -$126.28 | 55% 50652-41257 (91909) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 62.8¢ | $75.67 | $101.72 | +$26.05 | 56% 13880-11011 (24891) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $80.97 | — | -$80.97 | 57% 8076-6209 (14285) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 74.7¢ | $64.85 | $86.87 | +$22.02 | 64% 40270-23036 (63306) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $91.17 | $68 | -$23.17 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $64.5 | $75 | +$10.5 | 58% 60720-44332 (105052) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $77.96 | $65.63 | -$12.33 | 66% 126252-65031 (191283) |
SP spartacrayCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $39.17 | — | -$39.17 | 53% 27334-24284 (51618) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $29.35 | $43.99 | +$14.64 | 55% 7569-6206 (13775) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 43.8¢ | $28.2 | $64.39 | +$36.19 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.8¢ | $34.77 | — | -$34.77 | 55% 49831-40052 (89883) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.2¢ | $12.71 | — | -$12.71 | 46% 38281-45205 (83486) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $22 | — | -$22 | 56% 58267-44968 (103235) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $42.35 | — | -$42.35 | 64% 58572-33180 (91752) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $16.2 | $31.15 | +$14.95 | 35% 18914-35904 (54818) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $25.05 | — | -$25.05 | 59% 62419-43575 (105994) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $9.95 | — | -$9.95 | 59% 6885-4832 (11717) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $16.08 | — | -$16.08 | 57% 12598-9677 (22275) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.5¢ | $19.92 | — | -$19.92 | 54% 8135-6835 (14970) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.2¢ | $6.28 | — | -$6.28 | 49% 78145-81653 (159798) |
Invested
$643.26
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$560.63
Record
58%
38081-27294 (65375)
Invested
$156.07
Value
$193.66
PnL
+$37.59
Record
55%
15624-13020 (28644)
Invested
$187.08
Value
$190.9
PnL
+$3.82
Record
93%
23873-1792 (25665)
Invested
$203.92
Value
$174.41
PnL
-$29.52
Record
50%
5387-5463 (10850)
Invested
$314.3
Value
—
PnL
-$146.86
Record
48%
23453-25767 (49220)
Invested
$126.28
Value
—
PnL
-$126.28
Record
55%
50652-41257 (91909)
Invested
$75.67
Value
$101.72
PnL
+$26.05
Record
56%
13880-11011 (24891)
Invested
$80.97
Value
—
PnL
-$80.97
Record
57%
8076-6209 (14285)
ohioism<$100Invested
$64.85
Value
$86.87
PnL
+$22.02
Record
64%
40270-23036 (63306)
Invested
$91.17
Value
$68
PnL
-$23.17
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
Invested
$64.5
Value
$75
PnL
+$10.5
Record
58%
60720-44332 (105052)
Invested
$77.96
Value
$65.63
PnL
-$12.33
Record
66%
126252-65031 (191283)
Invested
$39.17
Value
—
PnL
-$39.17
Record
53%
27334-24284 (51618)
Invested
$29.35
Value
$43.99
PnL
+$14.64
Record
55%
7569-6206 (13775)
Invested
$28.2
Value
$64.39
PnL
+$36.19
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
Invested
$34.77
Value
—
PnL
-$34.77
Record
55%
49831-40052 (89883)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$12.71
Value
—
PnL
-$12.71
Record
46%
38281-45205 (83486)
Invested
$22
Value
—
PnL
-$22
Record
56%
58267-44968 (103235)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$42.35
Value
—
PnL
-$42.35
Record
64%
58572-33180 (91752)
Invested
$16.2
Value
$31.15
PnL
+$14.95
Record
35%
18914-35904 (54818)
Invested
$25.05
Value
—
PnL
-$25.05
Record
59%
62419-43575 (105994)
Invested
$9.95
Value
—
PnL
-$9.95
Record
59%
6885-4832 (11717)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$16.08
Value
—
PnL
-$16.08
Record
57%
12598-9677 (22275)
Invested
$19.92
Value
—
PnL
-$19.92
Record
54%
8135-6835 (14970)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.28
Value
—
PnL
-$6.28
Record
49%
78145-81653 (159798)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $1.2K
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $193.66
hoodquant
Down — $190.9
ply-pm0
Down — $174.41
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
mo-money
CTRUp — $0
GoodFallen
Down — $101.72
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $86.87
asidjasiodja
Down — $68