Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Down 47%
$3.8K
$195.28
Smart Money Signal
16 of 35 top traders (46%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AU authfeez | Downavg 62.9¢ | $1.4K | $2.2K | +$825.2 | 64% 36-20 (56) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 76.5¢ | $285.67 | $254.99 | -$30.68 | 55% 15615-13009 (28624) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 92.3¢ | $188.84 | $203.2 | +$14.36 | 55% 7558-6197 (13755) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Upavg 41.8¢ | $155.61 | — | -$155.61 | 58% 51074-37214 (88288) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 67.6¢ | $182.69 | $270.32 | +$87.62 | 58% 38071-27285 (65356) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 94¢ | $193.75 | $172.5 | -$21.25 | 55% 50645-41244 (91889) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 91.2¢ | $159.84 | $150 | -$9.84 | 64% 58572-33178 (91750) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 91¢ | $168.01 | $154.37 | -$13.64 | 50% 5376-5454 (10830) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.6¢ | $96.5 | — | -$96.5 | 34% 18905-35897 (54802) |
SP spartacray | Downavg 81.5¢ | $99.94 | $121.81 | +$21.86 | 53% 27286-24253 (51539) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 82.7¢ | $113.76 | $95.99 | -$17.77 | 54% 8130-6820 (14950) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.8¢ | $83.22 | — | -$83.22 | 57% 8058-6195 (14253) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.8¢ | $78.62 | — | -$78.62 | 55% 48556-40105 (88661) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79.5¢ | $52.68 | $64.16 | +$11.48 | 65% 125573-67230 (192803) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.5¢ | $56.59 | — | -$56.59 | 56% 13871-11000 (24871) |
GA gansinimenCTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $65.99 | — | -$65.99 | 51% 17178-16683 (33861) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.5¢ | $55.09 | — | -$55.09 | 55% 8745-7207 (15952) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.8¢ | $32.75 | $36.5 | +$3.75 | 66% 126202-65005 (191207) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 97.7¢ | $38.96 | $29.1 | -$9.86 | 65% 4106-2235 (6341) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $25.99 | $41.25 | +$15.26 | 59% 6873-4823 (11696) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.7¢ | $7.24 | — | -$7.24 | 46% 38260-45186 (83446) |
 BossgirlCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $11.2 | — | -$11.2 | 54% 4640-3942 (8582) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 57% 12588-9667 (22255) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $11.84 | $10 | -$1.84 | 55% 49831-40051 (89882) |
0X 0x9f672c31cb41362e30558eee9202e<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 54% 1615-1372 (2987) |
Invested
$1,400
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$825.2
Record
64%
36-20 (56)
Invested
$285.67
Value
$254.99
PnL
-$30.68
Record
55%
15615-13009 (28624)
Invested
$188.84
Value
$203.2
PnL
+$14.36
Record
55%
7558-6197 (13755)
Invested
$155.61
Value
—
PnL
-$155.61
Record
58%
51074-37214 (88288)
Invested
$182.69
Value
$270.32
PnL
+$87.62
Record
58%
38071-27285 (65356)
Invested
$193.75
Value
$172.5
PnL
-$21.25
Record
55%
50645-41244 (91889)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$159.84
Value
$150
PnL
-$9.84
Record
64%
58572-33178 (91750)
Invested
$168.01
Value
$154.37
PnL
-$13.64
Record
50%
5376-5454 (10830)
Invested
$96.5
Value
—
PnL
-$96.5
Record
34%
18905-35897 (54802)
Invested
$99.94
Value
$121.81
PnL
+$21.86
Record
53%
27286-24253 (51539)
Invested
$113.76
Value
$95.99
PnL
-$17.77
Record
54%
8130-6820 (14950)
Invested
$83.22
Value
—
PnL
-$83.22
Record
57%
8058-6195 (14253)
Invested
$78.62
Value
—
PnL
-$78.62
Record
55%
48556-40105 (88661)
Invested
$52.68
Value
$64.16
PnL
+$11.48
Record
65%
125573-67230 (192803)
Invested
$56.59
Value
—
PnL
-$56.59
Record
56%
13871-11000 (24871)
Invested
$65.99
Value
—
PnL
-$65.99
Record
51%
17178-16683 (33861)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$55.09
Value
—
PnL
-$55.09
Record
55%
8745-7207 (15952)
Invested
$32.75
Value
$36.5
PnL
+$3.75
Record
66%
126202-65005 (191207)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$38.96
Value
$29.1
PnL
-$9.86
Record
65%
4106-2235 (6341)
Invested
$25.99
Value
$41.25
PnL
+$15.26
Record
59%
6873-4823 (11696)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.24
Value
—
PnL
-$7.24
Record
46%
38260-45186 (83446)
BossgirlCTR<$100Invested
$11.2
Value
—
PnL
-$11.2
Record
54%
4640-3942 (8582)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
57%
12588-9667 (22255)
Invested
$11.84
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.84
Record
55%
49831-40051 (89882)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
54%
1615-1372 (2987)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
authfeez
Down — $2.2K
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $254.99
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $203.2
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $270.32
mo-money
Down — $172.5
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $150
ply-pm0
Down — $154.37
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
spartacray
Down — $121.81