Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 89%

Total Value

$15.8K

Combined PnL

$3.6K

Smart Money Signal

34 of 38 top traders (89%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up34 traders

Total Value$15.8K

Total Shares15,769

Combined PnL+$4.2K

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,131

Combined PnL-$597.65

Up — 89%Down — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RO Rock.San	Upavg 99.9¢	$5.2K	$5.2K	+$5.23	89% 11982-1415 (13397)
AL almach	Upavg 44.1¢	$607.03	$1.4K	+$768.42	55% 48556-40105 (88661)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 59.2¢	$834.01	$1.0K	+$208.48	64% 58572-33178 (91750)
BO bosona	Upavg 41¢	$615	$1.5K	+$885	55% 49831-40051 (89882)
MO mo-money	Upavg 41¢	$615	$1.5K	+$884.99	55% 50645-41244 (91889)
machinelearned	Upavg 34.7¢	$384.73	$640.46	+$255.73	55% 8745-7207 (15952)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 61.9¢	$484.19	$570.61	+$86.42	55% 15615-13009 (28624)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 64.1¢	$495.87	$557.32	+$61.44	50% 5376-5454 (10830)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 62.8¢	$560.48	—	-$560.48	58% 38071-27285 (65356)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 65¢	$259.93	$346.88	+$86.95	60% 12347-8186 (20533)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 67.9¢	$306.54	$407.91	+$101.36	56% 13871-11000 (24871)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 31¢	$183.55	$300	+$116.45	51% 17178-16683 (33861)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 55.2¢	$194.98	$246.78	+$51.8	54% 8130-6820 (14950)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 91.7¢	$274.96	$300	+$25.04	48% 23429-25738 (49167)
PB PBot-6	Upavg 42.8¢	$143.88	$335.92	+$192.04	58% 51074-37214 (88288)
LI Little-big	Upavg 40.6¢	$100.73	$247.97	+$147.24	34% 18905-35897 (54802)
pspspsps5	Upavg 73.2¢	$86.93	$115.78	+$28.84	46% 38260-45186 (83446)
ohioism	Upavg 85¢	$127.5	$150	+$22.5	64% 40258-23030 (63288)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 53.7¢	$72.11	$116.87	+$44.76	57% 12588-9667 (22255)
NIULAI4<$100	Upavg 91¢	$86.44	$94.99	+$8.55	77% 9482-2876 (12358)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 38.3¢	$63.98	$167	+$103.02	57% 8058-6195 (14253)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 69.3¢	$70.08	$101.15	+$31.07	56% 58251-44962 (103213)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 71.5¢	$52.69	$61.41	+$8.72	55% 7558-6197 (13755)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 91¢	$68.25	$75	+$6.75	58% 60707-44323 (105030)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 73.4¢	$43.06	$54.91	+$11.85	66% 126202-65005 (191207)

Rock.San

Invested

$5,229.53

Value

$5.2K

PnL

+$5.23

Record

89%

11982-1415 (13397)

almach

Invested

$607.03

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$768.42

Record

55%

48556-40105 (88661)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$834.01

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$208.48

Record

64%

58572-33178 (91750)

bosona

Invested

$615

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$885

Record

55%

49831-40051 (89882)

mo-money

Invested

$615

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$884.99

Record

55%

50645-41244 (91889)

machinelearned

Invested

$384.73

Value

$640.46

PnL

+$255.73

Record

55%

8745-7207 (15952)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$484.19

Value

$570.61

PnL

+$86.42

Record

55%

15615-13009 (28624)

ply-pm0

Invested

$495.87

Value

$557.32

PnL

+$61.44

Record

50%

5376-5454 (10830)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$560.48

Value

—

PnL

-$560.48

Record

58%

38071-27285 (65356)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$259.93

Value

$346.88

PnL

+$86.95

Record

60%

12347-8186 (20533)

GoodFallen

Invested

$306.54

Value

$407.91

PnL

+$101.36

Record

56%

13871-11000 (24871)

gansinimen

Invested

$183.55

Value

$300

PnL

+$116.45

Record

51%

17178-16683 (33861)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$194.98

Value

$246.78

PnL

+$51.8

Record

54%

8130-6820 (14950)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$274.96

Value

$300

PnL

+$25.04

Record

48%

23429-25738 (49167)

PBot-6

Invested

$143.88

Value

$335.92

PnL

+$192.04

Record

58%

51074-37214 (88288)

Little-big

Invested

$100.73

Value

$247.97

PnL

+$147.24

Record

34%

18905-35897 (54802)

pspspsps5

Invested

$86.93

Value

$115.78

PnL

+$28.84

Record

46%

38260-45186 (83446)

ohioism

Invested

$127.5

Value

$150

PnL

+$22.5

Record

64%

40258-23030 (63288)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$72.11

Value

$116.87

PnL

+$44.76

Record

57%

12588-9667 (22255)

NIULAI4<$100

Invested

$86.44

Value

$94.99

PnL

+$8.55

Record

77%

9482-2876 (12358)

wzbbb

Invested

$63.98

Value

$167

PnL

+$103.02

Record

57%

8058-6195 (14253)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$70.08

Value

$101.15

PnL

+$31.07

Record

56%

58251-44962 (103213)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$52.69

Value

$61.41

PnL

+$8.72

Record

55%

7558-6197 (13755)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$68.25

Value

$75

PnL

+$6.75

Record

58%

60707-44323 (105030)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$43.06

Value

$54.91

PnL

+$11.85

Record

66%

126202-65005 (191207)

Smart Money Signal

34 of 38 top traders (89%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x28132afe...fbf03e

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793429400

Traders in this Market

Rock.San

Up — $5.2K

+$5.23

almach

Up — $1.4K

+$768.42

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $1.0K

+$208.48

bosona

Up — $1.5K

+$885

mo-money

Up — $1.5K

+$884.99

machinelearned

Up — $640.46

+$255.73

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $570.61

+$86.42

ply-pm0

Up — $557.32

+$61.44

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$560.48

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $346.88

+$86.95

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