Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 91%
$6.5K
$200.55
Smart Money Signal
20 of 23 top traders (87%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $4.6K | $4.6K | +$4.64 | 59% 62390-43552 (105942) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 96.7¢ | $262.37 | $271.43 | +$9.05 | 46% 38235-45168 (83403) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 88.7¢ | $436.17 | $491.76 | +$55.59 | 55% 8733-7198 (15931) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 87.5¢ | $215.22 | $245.98 | +$30.76 | 58% 38054-27274 (65328) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 97.6¢ | $108.71 | $99.43 | -$9.29 | 54% 8118-6811 (14929) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 78.5¢ | $135.9 | $170 | +$34.1 | 55% 15605-13002 (28607) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 53.3¢ | $58.47 | $109.73 | +$51.26 | 34% 18894-35886 (54780) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 95.7¢ | $47.86 | $50 | +$2.14 | 60% 12334-8178 (20512) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 94.4¢ | $50.6 | $49.77 | -$0.83 | 50% 5364-5445 (10809) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $52.8 | $44 | -$8.8 | 55% 7547-6187 (13734) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 93.2¢ | $31.73 | $32.5 | +$0.77 | 53% 27286-24253 (51539) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $50.4 | $60 | +$9.6 | 56% 13859-10996 (24855) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $51.94 | $58.36 | +$6.42 | 66% 126157-64992 (191149) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $22.67 | $27 | +$4.33 | 59% 6862-4815 (11677) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $32.76 | $36.81 | +$4.05 | 61% 95227-60115 (155342) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $27.67 | $35.63 | +$7.95 | 57% 12576-9663 (22239) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 52.1¢ | $14.7 | $19 | +$4.3 | 57% 8039-6181 (14220) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 59% 23290-16364 (39654) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 | 49% 78112-81629 (159741) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90.8¢ | $13.62 | $15 | +$1.38 | 52% 90624-85193 (175817) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $5.58 | — | -$5.58 | 55% 48555-40104 (88659) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 93% 23822-1789 (25611) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3655-2838 (6493) |
Invested
$4,631.38
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$4.64
Record
59%
62390-43552 (105942)
pspspsps5Invested
$262.37
Value
$271.43
PnL
+$9.05
Record
46%
38235-45168 (83403)
machinelearnedInvested
$436.17
Value
$491.76
PnL
+$55.59
Record
55%
8733-7198 (15931)
Invested
$215.22
Value
$245.98
PnL
+$30.76
Record
58%
38054-27274 (65328)
Invested
$108.71
Value
$99.43
PnL
-$9.29
Record
54%
8118-6811 (14929)
Invested
$135.9
Value
$170
PnL
+$34.1
Record
55%
15605-13002 (28607)
Invested
$58.47
Value
$109.73
PnL
+$51.26
Record
34%
18894-35886 (54780)
Invested
$47.86
Value
$50
PnL
+$2.14
Record
60%
12334-8178 (20512)
Invested
$50.6
Value
$49.77
PnL
-$0.83
Record
50%
5364-5445 (10809)
Invested
$52.8
Value
$44
PnL
-$8.8
Record
55%
7547-6187 (13734)
Invested
$31.73
Value
$32.5
PnL
+$0.77
Record
53%
27286-24253 (51539)
Invested
$50.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$9.6
Record
56%
13859-10996 (24855)
Invested
$51.94
Value
$58.36
PnL
+$6.42
Record
66%
126157-64992 (191149)
Invested
$22.67
Value
$27
PnL
+$4.33
Record
59%
6862-4815 (11677)
Invested
$32.76
Value
$36.81
PnL
+$4.05
Record
61%
95227-60115 (155342)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$27.67
Value
$35.63
PnL
+$7.95
Record
57%
12576-9663 (22239)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$19
PnL
+$4.3
Record
57%
8039-6181 (14220)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
59%
23290-16364 (39654)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$19
Value
$20
PnL
+$1
Record
49%
78112-81629 (159741)
Invested
$13.62
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.38
Record
52%
90624-85193 (175817)
Invested
$5.58
Value
—
PnL
-$5.58
Record
55%
48555-40104 (88659)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
93%
23822-1789 (25611)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3655-2838 (6493)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $4.6K
pspspsps5
Down — $271.43
machinelearned
Down — $491.76
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $245.98
sfkjbsr457
Down — $99.43
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $170
Little-big
Down — $109.73
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $50
ply-pm0
Down — $49.77
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $44