Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 69%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

$48.02

Smart Money Signal

18 of 27 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up18 traders

Total Value$2.0K

Total Shares1,964

Combined PnL+$245.36

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares598

Combined PnL-$197.34

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 51.7¢	$269.46	$303.63	+$34.18	55% 15605-13002 (28607)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 66.6¢	$294.7	$295.31	+$0.61	50% 5364-5445 (10809)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 55.4¢	$153.61	$199.61	+$46	54% 8118-6811 (14929)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$188.3	$188.49	+$0.19	59% 62390-43552 (105942)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 67¢	$113.81	$131	+$17.19	59% 23290-16364 (39654)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 83.6¢	$128.24	$111.36	-$16.89	66% 126157-64992 (191149)
DV dvasdkasodk	Upavg 95.8¢	$107.89	$109	+$1.11	52% 90624-85193 (175817)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 82¢	$90.54	$106.27	+$15.73	55% 7547-6187 (13734)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 45.8¢	$52.38	$109.99	+$57.62	57% 12576-9663 (22239)
machinelearnedARB<$100	Upavg 50.3¢	$101.7	$122	+$20.3	55% 8733-7198 (15931)
└ Down leg	Downavg 56¢	$40.32	—	-$40.32
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.3¢	$61.38	$122	+$60.62
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 49.5¢	$70.84	$130	+$59.16	57% 8039-6181 (14220)
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100	Downavg 43¢	$42.55	—	-$42.55	60% 12334-8178 (20512)
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100	Downavg 30.5¢	$98.07	—	-$98.07	56% 13859-10996 (24855)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 99.8¢	$48.97	$48.1	-$0.87	55% 48555-40104 (88659)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 94.5¢	$49.67	$42.19	-$6.49	61% 95227-60115 (155342)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 57.6¢	$51.12	$42.43	+$8.41	64% 23717-13072 (36789)
SP spartacray<$100	Upavg 49.5¢	$23.6	$39.99	+$16.4	53% 27286-24253 (51539)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$34.29	$34.64	+$0.35	93% 23822-1789 (25611)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$16.88	—	-$16.88	65% 125540-67211 (192751)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 58¢	$31.32	—	-$31.32	58% 38054-27274 (65328)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 84¢	$27.06	$32.22	+$5.16	55% 50600-41206 (91806)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 47.3¢	$27.49	$30	+$2.51	57% 12125-9105 (21230)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$2.65	—	-$2.65	46% 38235-45168 (83403)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 49¢	$4.8	$9.8	+$5	58% 51066-37207 (88273)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 55¢	$3.75	—	-$3.75	59% 6862-4815 (11677)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$269.46

Value

$303.63

PnL

+$34.18

Record

55%

15605-13002 (28607)

ply-pm0

Invested

$294.7

Value

$295.31

PnL

+$0.61

Record

50%

5364-5445 (10809)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$153.61

Value

$199.61

PnL

+$46

Record

54%

8118-6811 (14929)

0x50f7

Invested

$188.3

Value

$188.49

PnL

+$0.19

Record

59%

62390-43552 (105942)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$113.81

Value

$131

PnL

+$17.19

Record

59%

23290-16364 (39654)

asdaefef

Invested

$128.24

Value

$111.36

PnL

-$16.89

Record

66%

126157-64992 (191149)

dvasdkasodk

Invested

$107.89

Value

$109

PnL

+$1.11

Record

52%

90624-85193 (175817)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$90.54

Value

$106.27

PnL

+$15.73

Record

55%

7547-6187 (13734)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$52.38

Value

$109.99

PnL

+$57.62

Record

57%

12576-9663 (22239)

machinelearnedARB<$100

Invested

$101.7

Value

$122

PnL

+$20.3

Record

55%

8733-7198 (15931)

Both legs:

Down$40.3256¢-$40.32

Up$61.3850.3¢+$60.62

wzbbb

Invested

$70.84

Value

$130

PnL

+$59.16

Record

57%

8039-6181 (14220)

Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$42.55

Value

—

PnL

-$42.55

Record

60%

12334-8178 (20512)

GoodFallenCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$98.07

Value

—

PnL

-$98.07

Record

56%

13859-10996 (24855)

almach<$100

Invested

$48.97

Value

$48.1

PnL

-$0.87

Record

55%

48555-40104 (88659)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$49.67

Value

$42.19

PnL

-$6.49

Record

61%

95227-60115 (155342)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$51.12

Value

$42.43

PnL

+$8.41

Record

64%

23717-13072 (36789)

spartacray<$100

Invested

$23.6

Value

$39.99

PnL

+$16.4

Record

53%

27286-24253 (51539)

hoodquant<$100

Invested

$34.29

Value

$34.64

PnL

+$0.35

Record

93%

23822-1789 (25611)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$16.88

Value

—

PnL

-$16.88

Record

65%

125540-67211 (192751)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$31.32

Value

—

PnL

-$31.32

Record

58%

38054-27274 (65328)

mo-money<$100

Invested

$27.06

Value

$32.22

PnL

+$5.16

Record

55%

50600-41206 (91806)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$27.49

Value

$30

PnL

+$2.51

Record

57%

12125-9105 (21230)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$2.65

Value

—

PnL

-$2.65

Record

46%

38235-45168 (83403)

PBot-6<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$9.8

PnL

+$5

Record

58%

51066-37207 (88273)

13897651CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$3.75

Value

—

PnL

-$3.75

Record

59%

6862-4815 (11677)

Smart Money Signal

18 of 27 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xef5a2751...47bd71

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793423700

Traders in this Market

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $303.63

+$34.18

ply-pm0

Up — $295.31

+$0.61

sfkjbsr457

Up — $199.61

+$46

0x50f7

Up — $188.49

+$0.19

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Up — $131

+$17.19

asdaefef

Up — $111.36

-$16.89

dvasdkasodk

Up — $109

+$1.11

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $106.27

+$15.73

FairValueMachine

Up — $109.99

machinelearned

Arbitrage — excluded