Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 70%

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

$18.03

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 29 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down20 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares2,103

Combined PnL+$418.61

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,814

Combined PnL-$400.58

Down — 69%Up — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 70.6¢	$263.87	$354.88	+$91.01	55% 15605-13002 (28607)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Downavg 77.4¢	$309.64	$400	+$90.36	56% 58238-44953 (103191)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 70.5¢	$145.86	$207	+$61.14	56% 13859-10996 (24855)
AL almachCTR<$100	Upavg 16.9¢	$87.11	—	-$87.11	55% 48555-40104 (88659)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 80.5¢	$137.67	$134.21	-$3.46	50% 5364-5445 (10809)
LI Little-bigCTR	Upavg 44¢	$110	—	-$110	34% 18894-35886 (54780)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 79.8¢	$96.2	$119.98	+$23.78	59% 23290-16364 (39654)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Downavg 71¢	$106.5	$150	+$43.5	58% 60701-44311 (105012)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Downavg 73.7¢	$61.86	$83.48	+$21.62	60% 12334-8178 (20512)
SP spartacray<$100	Downavg 91¢	$74	$78.92	+$4.92	53% 27286-24253 (51539)
FairValueMachine<$100	Downavg 76¢	$75.99	$99.99	+$24	57% 12576-9663 (22239)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Downavg 69.7¢	$49.89	$69.99	+$20.1	57% 12125-9105 (21230)
RO Rock.San<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$63.69	$63.75	+$0.06	89% 11981-1415 (13396)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Upavg 29¢	$64.78	—	-$64.78	55% 8733-7198 (15931)
SF sfkjbsr457<$100	Downavg 79.5¢	$62.16	$48	-$14.16	54% 8118-6811 (14929)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 77.4¢	$52.43	$67.77	+$15.34	66% 126157-64992 (191149)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Downavg 93¢	$52.95	$44	-$8.96	55% 7547-6187 (13734)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 66.6¢	$40.03	$60.08	+$20.05	65% 125540-67211 (192751)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 79¢	$46.81	$52.35	+$7.31	61% 95227-60115 (155342)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Upavg 27.8¢	$99.84	—	-$99.84	55% 50600-41206 (91806)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 3.6¢	$11.18	—	-$11.18	46% 38235-45168 (83403)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 78.5¢	$17.97	$22.88	+$4.91	64% 40250-23024 (63274)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 88¢	$22.84	$16.07	-$3.87	64% 23717-13072 (36789)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 50¢	$15	$30	+$15	58% 38054-27274 (65328)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$11.75	—	-$11.75	58% 51066-37207 (88273)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$263.87

Value

$354.88

PnL

+$91.01

Record

55%

15605-13002 (28607)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down

Invested

$309.64

Value

$400

PnL

+$90.36

Record

56%

58238-44953 (103191)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$145.86

Value

$207

PnL

+$61.14

Record

56%

13859-10996 (24855)

almachCTR<$100

Invested

$87.11

Value

—

PnL

-$87.11

Record

55%

48555-40104 (88659)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$137.67

Value

$134.21

PnL

-$3.46

Record

50%

5364-5445 (10809)

Little-bigCTR

Invested

$110

Value

—

PnL

-$110

Record

34%

18894-35886 (54780)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$96.2

Value

$119.98

PnL

+$23.78

Record

59%

23290-16364 (39654)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down

Invested

$106.5

Value

$150

PnL

+$43.5

Record

58%

60701-44311 (105012)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Down

Invested

$61.86

Value

$83.48

PnL

+$21.62

Record

60%

12334-8178 (20512)

spartacray<$100

Down

Invested

$74

Value

$78.92

PnL

+$4.92

Record

53%

27286-24253 (51539)

FairValueMachine<$100

Down

Invested

$75.99

Value

$99.99

PnL

+$24

Record

57%

12576-9663 (22239)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Down

Invested

$49.89

Value

$69.99

PnL

+$20.1

Record

57%

12125-9105 (21230)

Rock.San<$100

Down

Invested

$63.69

Value

$63.75

PnL

+$0.06

Record

89%

11981-1415 (13396)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Invested

$64.78

Value

—

PnL

-$64.78

Record

55%

8733-7198 (15931)

sfkjbsr457<$100

Down

Invested

$62.16

Value

$48

PnL

-$14.16

Record

54%

8118-6811 (14929)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$52.43

Value

$67.77

PnL

+$15.34

Record

66%

126157-64992 (191149)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Down

Invested

$52.95

Value

$44

PnL

-$8.96

Record

55%

7547-6187 (13734)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$40.03

Value

$60.08

PnL

+$20.05

Record

65%

125540-67211 (192751)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$46.81

Value

$52.35

PnL

+$7.31

Record

61%

95227-60115 (155342)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$99.84

Value

—

PnL

-$99.84

Record

55%

50600-41206 (91806)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$11.18

Value

—

PnL

-$11.18

Record

46%

38235-45168 (83403)

ohioism<$100

Down

Invested

$17.97

Value

$22.88

PnL

+$4.91

Record

64%

40250-23024 (63274)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$22.84

Value

$16.07

PnL

-$3.87

Record

64%

23717-13072 (36789)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Down

Invested

$15

Value

$30

PnL

+$15

Record

58%

38054-27274 (65328)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Invested

$11.75

Value

—

PnL

-$11.75

Record

58%

51066-37207 (88273)

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 29 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xdaf21f3d...37f767

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793423400

Traders in this Market

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $354.88

+$91.01

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $400

+$90.36

GoodFallen

Down — $207

+$61.14

almach

CTR

Up — $0

-$87.11

ply-pm0

Down — $134.21

-$3.46

Little-big

CTR

Up — $0

-$110

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down — $119.98

+$23.78

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $150

+$43.5

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $83.48

+$21.62

spartacray

Down — $78.92

+$4.92

Trade on Polymarket