Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 74%

Total Value

$9.3K

Combined PnL

$693.05

Smart Money Signal

Down

30 of 40 top traders (75%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down30 traders

Total Value$9.3K

Total Shares9,289

Combined PnL+$1.0K

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,144

Combined PnL-$321.19

Down — 75%Up — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio	Downavg 98.6¢	$3.0K	$3.1K	+$41.78	74% 102628-36442 (139070)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.1¢	$901.48	$918.99	+$17.51	93% 23707-1785 (25492)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 71.5¢	$587.72	$697.37	+$109.65	56% 13825-10973 (24798)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 67.8¢	$522.26	$567.42	+$45.16	55% 15568-12982 (28550)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Downavg 71.4¢	$385.94	$535.49	+$149.55	55% 17960-14549 (32509)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 73.6¢	$378.16	$334.41	-$43.75	50% 5330-5421 (10751)
NIULAI4	Downavg 88.6¢	$277.64	$313.24	+$35.6	77% 9464-2855 (12319)
FairValueMachine	Downavg 70.8¢	$210.41	$247.14	+$36.73	57% 12538-9643 (22181)
GA gansinimen	Downavg 99¢	$327.73	$212.9	-$114.83	51% 17149-16668 (33817)
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700	Downavg 55.2¢	$261.12	$473.34	+$212.22	63% 1764-1028 (2792)
0X 0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324	Downavg 46.4¢	$208.12	$448.42	+$240.3	51% 876-850 (1726)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 81.9¢	$179.1	$196.59	+$17.49	60% 12308-8144 (20452)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 69.2¢	$158.12	$176.25	+$18.13	59% 23251-16346 (39597)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 63.6¢	$163.25	$165.24	+$2	55% 7508-6166 (13674)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 55.6¢	$184.66	$332.25	+$147.59	58% 37996-27224 (65220)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 76¢	$138.42	$125.47	-$12.95	66% 99251-51446 (150697)
Atomforge	Downavg 46.7¢	$58.81	$112.11	+$53.3	65% 4082-2215 (6297)
ohioismCTR	Upavg 34.4¢	$151.49	—	-$151.49	64% 40197-22999 (63196)
machinelearned<$100	Downavg 57¢	$42.51	$49.98	+$7.48	55% 8705-7167 (15872)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Upavg 39.7¢	$75.31	—	-$75.31	57% 12094-9077 (21171)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 88¢	$44.44	$34.09	-$10.35	66% 112280-58767 (171047)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 86.8¢	$49.33	$48.09	-$1.24	66% 126030-64913 (190943)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 73¢	$52.55	$41.5	-$11.05	62% 43883-26903 (70786)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 70.8¢	$30.27	$29.01	-$1.26	46% 38184-45085 (83269)
wowitsamazing<$100	Downavg 47¢	$27.6	$58.72	+$31.12	57% 12702-9403 (22105)

BoneOhio

Down

Invested

$3,022.71

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$41.78

Record

74%

102628-36442 (139070)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$901.48

Value

$918.99

PnL

+$17.51

Record

93%

23707-1785 (25492)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$587.72

Value

$697.37

PnL

+$109.65

Record

56%

13825-10973 (24798)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$522.26

Value

$567.42

PnL

+$45.16

Record

55%

15568-12982 (28550)

Kathod-Shi-14

Down

Invested

$385.94

Value

$535.49

PnL

+$149.55

Record

55%

17960-14549 (32509)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$378.16

Value

$334.41

PnL

-$43.75

Record

50%

5330-5421 (10751)

NIULAI4

Down

Invested

$277.64

Value

$313.24

PnL

+$35.6

Record

77%

9464-2855 (12319)

FairValueMachine

Down

Invested

$210.41

Value

$247.14

PnL

+$36.73

Record

57%

12538-9643 (22181)

gansinimen

Down

Invested

$327.73

Value

$212.9

PnL

-$114.83

Record

51%

17149-16668 (33817)

0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700

Down

Invested

$261.12

Value

$473.34

PnL

+$212.22

Record

63%

1764-1028 (2792)

0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324

Down

Invested

$208.12

Value

$448.42

PnL

+$240.3

Record

51%

876-850 (1726)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$179.1

Value

$196.59

PnL

+$17.49

Record

60%

12308-8144 (20452)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$158.12

Value

$176.25

PnL

+$18.13

Record

59%

23251-16346 (39597)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$163.25

Value

$165.24

PnL

+$2

Record

55%

7508-6166 (13674)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$184.66

Value

$332.25

PnL

+$147.59

Record

58%

37996-27224 (65220)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$138.42

Value

$125.47

PnL

-$12.95

Record

66%

99251-51446 (150697)

Atomforge

Down

Invested

$58.81

Value

$112.11

PnL

+$53.3

Record

65%

4082-2215 (6297)

ohioismCTR

Invested

$151.49

Value

—

PnL

-$151.49

Record

64%

40197-22999 (63196)

machinelearned<$100

Down

Invested

$42.51

Value

$49.98

PnL

+$7.48

Record

55%

8705-7167 (15872)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Invested

$75.31

Value

—

PnL

-$75.31

Record

57%

12094-9077 (21171)

antsaslyku<$100

Down

Invested

$44.44

Value

$34.09

PnL

-$10.35

Record

66%

112280-58767 (171047)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$49.33

Value

$48.09

PnL

-$1.24

Record

66%

126030-64913 (190943)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Down

Invested

$52.55

Value

$41.5

PnL

-$11.05

Record

62%

43883-26903 (70786)

pspspsps5<$100

Down

Invested

$30.27

Value

$29.01

PnL

-$1.26

Record

46%

38184-45085 (83269)

wowitsamazing<$100

Down

Invested

$27.6

Value

$58.72

PnL

+$31.12

Record

57%

12702-9403 (22105)

Smart Money Signal

Down

30 of 40 top traders (75%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x03db2bc2...f61889

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793406300

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Down — $3.1K

+$41.78

hoodquant

Down — $918.99

+$17.51

GoodFallen

Down — $697.37

+$109.65

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $567.42

+$45.16

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $535.49

+$149.55

ply-pm0

Down — $334.41

-$43.75

NIULAI4

Down — $313.24

+$35.6

FairValueMachine

Down — $247.14

+$36.73

gansinimen

Down — $212.9

-$114.83

0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700

Down — $473.34

+$212.22

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