Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 81%

Total Value

$5.2K

Combined PnL

$271.62

Smart Money Signal

23 of 28 top traders (82%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up23 traders

Total Value$5.2K

Total Shares5,151

Combined PnL+$432.86

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,209

Combined PnL-$161.24

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489	Upavg 99.8¢	$1.9K	$1.9K	+$3.91	78% 180-50 (230)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.2¢	$990.94	$1.0K	+$18.23	93% 23707-1785 (25492)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$510.98	$516.14	+$5.16	74% 102628-36442 (139070)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 75.8¢	$264.9	$349.35	+$84.45	55% 15568-12982 (28550)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 68.3¢	$132.44	$188.52	+$56.08	57% 12538-9643 (22181)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 72.6¢	$118.4	$163.13	+$44.73	56% 13825-10973 (24798)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 79.1¢	$133.09	$139.92	+$6.83	50% 5330-5421 (10751)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 39.5¢	$122.98	—	-$122.98	58% 37996-27224 (65220)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 61¢	$54.4	$87.98	+$33.58	55% 7508-6166 (13674)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 86.5¢	$76.12	$88	+$11.88	60% 12308-8144 (20452)
BO Bonereaper<$100	Upavg 67.2¢	$59.49	$80.11	+$20.62	66% 99251-51446 (150697)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 50.5¢	$75.81	$150	+$74.19	57% 7978-6132 (14110)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 80.3¢	$55.58	$69.25	+$13.67	57% 12094-9077 (21171)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 78.5¢	$60.17	$76.67	+$16.5	64% 23528-12966 (36494)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 97.4¢	$62.71	$59	-$3.71	52% 90518-85062 (175580)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Upavg 81.7¢	$54.02	$60	+$5.98	59% 23251-16346 (39597)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 71.6¢	$45.26	$63.25	+$17.99	55% 23956-19344 (43300)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 84.3¢	$42.53	$50.47	+$7.94	66% 126030-64913 (190943)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 90.1¢	$27.32	$30.33	+$3.01	61% 95112-60031 (155143)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 90.8¢	$22.75	$25.06	+$2.31	55% 17960-14549 (32509)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 81¢	$21.32	$26.32	+$5	64% 40197-22999 (63196)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Downavg 11.6¢	$11.65	—	-$11.65	55% 8705-7167 (15872)
GA gansinimen<$100	Upavg 91¢	$7.14	$7.85	+$0.71	51% 17149-16668 (33817)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 1.6¢	$7.29	—	-$7.29	49% 78059-81564 (159623)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 5.4¢	$17.23	—	-$17.23	46% 38184-45085 (83269)

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489

Invested

$1,906.88

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$3.91

Record

78%

180-50 (230)

hoodquant

Invested

$990.94

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$18.23

Record

93%

23707-1785 (25492)

BoneOhio

Invested

$510.98

Value

$516.14

PnL

+$5.16

Record

74%

102628-36442 (139070)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$264.9

Value

$349.35

PnL

+$84.45

Record

55%

15568-12982 (28550)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$132.44

Value

$188.52

PnL

+$56.08

Record

57%

12538-9643 (22181)

GoodFallen

Invested

$118.4

Value

$163.13

PnL

+$44.73

Record

56%

13825-10973 (24798)

ply-pm0

Invested

$133.09

Value

$139.92

PnL

+$6.83

Record

50%

5330-5421 (10751)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$122.98

Value

—

PnL

-$122.98

Record

58%

37996-27224 (65220)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$54.4

Value

$87.98

PnL

+$33.58

Record

55%

7508-6166 (13674)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$76.12

Value

$88

PnL

+$11.88

Record

60%

12308-8144 (20452)

Bonereaper<$100

Invested

$59.49

Value

$80.11

PnL

+$20.62

Record

66%

99251-51446 (150697)

wzbbb

Invested

$75.81

Value

$150

PnL

+$74.19

Record

57%

7978-6132 (14110)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$55.58

Value

$69.25

PnL

+$13.67

Record

57%

12094-9077 (21171)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$60.17

Value

$76.67

PnL

+$16.5

Record

64%

23528-12966 (36494)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$62.71

Value

$59

PnL

-$3.71

Record

52%

90518-85062 (175580)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Invested

$54.02

Value

$60

PnL

+$5.98

Record

59%

23251-16346 (39597)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$45.26

Value

$63.25

PnL

+$17.99

Record

55%

23956-19344 (43300)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$42.53

Value

$50.47

PnL

+$7.94

Record

66%

126030-64913 (190943)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$27.32

Value

$30.33

PnL

+$3.01

Record

61%

95112-60031 (155143)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$22.75

Value

$25.06

PnL

+$2.31

Record

55%

17960-14549 (32509)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$21.32

Value

$26.32

PnL

+$5

Record

64%

40197-22999 (63196)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$11.65

Value

—

PnL

-$11.65

Record

55%

8705-7167 (15872)

gansinimen<$100

Invested

$7.14

Value

$7.85

PnL

+$0.71

Record

51%

17149-16668 (33817)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$7.29

Value

—

PnL

-$7.29

Record

49%

78059-81564 (159623)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$17.23

Value

—

PnL

-$17.23

Record

46%

38184-45085 (83269)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 28 top traders (82%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2bc95051...0e3952

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793405700

Traders in this Market

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489

Up — $1.9K

+$3.91

hoodquant

Up — $1.0K

+$18.23

BoneOhio

Up — $516.14

+$5.16

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $349.35

+$84.45

FairValueMachine

Up — $188.52

+$56.08

GoodFallen

Up — $163.13

+$44.73

ply-pm0

Up — $139.92

+$6.83

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$122.98

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $87.98

+$33.58

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $88

+$11.88

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