Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 80%

Total Value

$21.3K

Combined PnL

$1.7K

Smart Money Signal

32 of 40 top traders (80%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up32 traders

Total Value$21.3K

Total Shares21,284

Combined PnL+$1.9K

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,168

Combined PnL-$197.46

Up — 80%Down — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AR arcsine-barrister	Up	$7.8K	$7.8K	+$234.1	56% 3651-2837 (6488)
BO borderlocket	Upavg 80¢	$3.4K	$4.2K	+$850.26	49% 68-71 (139)
OX oxe78sh4w98	Upavg 79¢	$1.2K	$1.5K	+$251.07	52% 403-368 (771)
31 3123123121313	Upavg 81.8¢	$980.39	$1.1K	+$161.38	56% 672-535 (1207)
machinelearned	Upavg 88.3¢	$987.27	$988.48	+$1.21	55% 8705-7167 (15872)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 96.8¢	$763.84	$789	+$25.16	93% 23707-1785 (25492)
0X 0xd6c1c24846e0187f38c74497620ad7e	Upavg 79.2¢	$456.47	$543.27	+$86.8	50% 635-639 (1274)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 86¢	$488.91	$523.31	+$34.4	55% 7508-6166 (13674)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 86.2¢	$493.95	$479.53	-$14.42	50% 5330-5421 (10751)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 62.4¢	$261.36	$406.22	+$144.86	58% 37996-27224 (65220)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 87.2¢	$392.65	$349.11	-$43.54	60% 12308-8144 (20452)
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a	Upavg 74¢	$294.1	$359.53	+$65.43	53% 2013-1816 (3829)
pspspsps5	Upavg 88.8¢	$315.3	$324.55	+$9.25	46% 38184-45085 (83269)
BoneOhio	Upavg 98.4¢	$297.97	$302.89	+$4.92	74% 102628-36442 (139070)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 84.8¢	$199.96	$207.84	+$7.88	57% 12094-9077 (21171)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 83.3¢	$191.62	$174	-$17.62	55% 15568-12982 (28550)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 89.6¢	$127.65	$131	+$3.35	49% 78059-81564 (159623)
DV dvasdkasodk	Upavg 95.2¢	$128.01	$129.87	+$1.86	52% 90518-85062 (175580)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 85.7¢	$135.44	$129.99	-$5.45	56% 13825-10973 (24798)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 80.1¢	$111.13	$103.73	-$7.4	59% 23251-16346 (39597)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 94¢	$93.95	$100	+$6.05	51% 17149-16668 (33817)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 75.5¢	$93.51	$98	+$4.49	62% 43883-26903 (70786)
BO Bonereaper<$100	Upavg 89.2¢	$96.91	$62.26	-$34.65	66% 99251-51446 (150697)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 84.4¢	$67.27	$78.91	+$11.64	57% 12538-9643 (22181)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 93¢	$64.54	$66.75	+$2.89	61% 95112-60031 (155143)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$7,781.26

Value

$7.8K

PnL

+$234.1

Record

56%

3651-2837 (6488)

borderlocket

Invested

$3,391.25

Value

$4.2K

PnL

+$850.26

Record

49%

68-71 (139)

oxe78sh4w98

Invested

$1,199

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$251.07

Record

52%

403-368 (771)

3123123121313

Invested

$980.39

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$161.38

Record

56%

672-535 (1207)

machinelearned

Invested

$987.27

Value

$988.48

PnL

+$1.21

Record

55%

8705-7167 (15872)

hoodquant

Invested

$763.84

Value

$789

PnL

+$25.16

Record

93%

23707-1785 (25492)

0xd6c1c24846e0187f38c74497620ad7e

Invested

$456.47

Value

$543.27

PnL

+$86.8

Record

50%

635-639 (1274)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$488.91

Value

$523.31

PnL

+$34.4

Record

55%

7508-6166 (13674)

ply-pm0

Invested

$493.95

Value

$479.53

PnL

-$14.42

Record

50%

5330-5421 (10751)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$261.36

Value

$406.22

PnL

+$144.86

Record

58%

37996-27224 (65220)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$392.65

Value

$349.11

PnL

-$43.54

Record

60%

12308-8144 (20452)

0xdc27...afdd9a

Invested

$294.1

Value

$359.53

PnL

+$65.43

Record

53%

2013-1816 (3829)

pspspsps5

Invested

$315.3

Value

$324.55

PnL

+$9.25

Record

46%

38184-45085 (83269)

BoneOhio

Invested

$297.97

Value

$302.89

PnL

+$4.92

Record

74%

102628-36442 (139070)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$199.96

Value

$207.84

PnL

+$7.88

Record

57%

12094-9077 (21171)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$191.62

Value

$174

PnL

-$17.62

Record

55%

15568-12982 (28550)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$127.65

Value

$131

PnL

+$3.35

Record

49%

78059-81564 (159623)

dvasdkasodk

Invested

$128.01

Value

$129.87

PnL

+$1.86

Record

52%

90518-85062 (175580)

GoodFallen

Invested

$135.44

Value

$129.99

PnL

-$5.45

Record

56%

13825-10973 (24798)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$111.13

Value

$103.73

PnL

-$7.4

Record

59%

23251-16346 (39597)

gansinimen

Invested

$93.95

Value

$100

PnL

+$6.05

Record

51%

17149-16668 (33817)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$93.51

Value

$98

PnL

+$4.49

Record

62%

43883-26903 (70786)

Bonereaper<$100

Invested

$96.91

Value

$62.26

PnL

-$34.65

Record

66%

99251-51446 (150697)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$67.27

Value

$78.91

PnL

+$11.64

Record

57%

12538-9643 (22181)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$64.54

Value

$66.75

PnL

+$2.89

Record

61%

95112-60031 (155143)

Smart Money Signal

32 of 40 top traders (80%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x50a1adb1...97789d

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793404500

Traders in this Market

arcsine-barrister

Up — $7.8K

+$234.1

borderlocket

Up — $4.2K

+$850.26

oxe78sh4w98

Up — $1.5K

+$251.07

3123123121313

Up — $1.1K

+$161.38

machinelearned

Up — $988.48

+$1.21

hoodquant

Up — $789

+$25.16

0xd6c1c24846e0187f38c74497620ad7e

Up — $543.27

+$86.8

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $523.31

+$34.4

ply-pm0

Up — $479.53

-$14.42

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $406.22

+$144.86

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