Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$15.0K

Combined PnL

$821.41

Smart Money Signal

23 of 29 top traders (79%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up23 traders

Total Value$14.9K

Total Shares14,886

Combined PnL+$843.48

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares918

Combined PnL-$22.08

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$9.0K	$9.0K	+$7.99	59% 62333-43508 (105841)
BoneOhio	Upavg 97.7¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$34.08	74% 102628-36442 (139070)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 97.7¢	$691.05	$707.33	+$16.28	93% 23707-1785 (25492)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Upavg 83.8¢	$463.43	$553.09	+$89.65	55% 17960-14549 (32509)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 55.2¢	$344.66	$472.74	+$128.08	58% 37996-27224 (65220)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 82.7¢	$334.24	$380.28	+$46.04	66% 99251-51446 (150697)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 70.8¢	$286.1	$348.24	+$62.14	55% 15568-12982 (28550)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 82¢	$194.71	$233.79	+$39.08	51% 17149-16668 (33817)
machinelearned	Upavg 72.7¢	$188.48	$187.1	-$1.38	55% 8705-7167 (15872)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 78.9¢	$178.17	$209.56	+$31.38	55% 7508-6166 (13674)
BO bosona	Upavg 47¢	$100.28	$191.63	+$91.35	55% 49771-39994 (89765)
PB PBot-6	Upavg 44.6¢	$143.63	$300	+$156.37	58% 51036-37181 (88217)
FairValueMachineARB<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$118.46	$131.64	+$13.18	57% 12538-9643 (22181)
└ Up leg	Upavg 69.5¢	$91.55	$131.64	+$40.09
└ Down leg	Downavg 17.2¢	$26.91	—	-$26.91
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 69.8¢	$121.32	$159.48	+$38.15	56% 13825-10973 (24798)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 75.5¢	$77.73	$93	+$15.27	60% 12308-8144 (20452)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 70.4¢	$75.04	$106.6	+$31.57	59% 23251-16346 (39597)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 82¢	$82	$100	+$18	58% 60661-44284 (104945)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 98¢	$76.96	$60	-$16.96	50% 5330-5421 (10751)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 79.9¢	$55.9	$69.99	+$14.09	64% 23528-12966 (36494)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 85.3¢	$51.2	$60	+$8.8	55% 23956-19344 (43300)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 83.4¢	$30.93	$37.09	+$6.16	61% 95112-60031 (155143)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 84.2¢	$30.58	$36.3	+$5.72	52% 90518-85062 (175580)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Downavg 29.8¢	$33.07	—	-$33.07	57% 12094-9077 (21171)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.8¢	$13.67	—	-$13.67	46% 38184-45085 (83269)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 79.5¢	$26.81	$33.72	+$6.91	66% 126030-64913 (190943)

0x50f7

Invested

$8,998.03

Value

$9.0K

PnL

+$7.99

Record

59%

62333-43508 (105841)

BoneOhio

Invested

$1,475.77

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$34.08

Record

74%

102628-36442 (139070)

hoodquant

Invested

$691.05

Value

$707.33

PnL

+$16.28

Record

93%

23707-1785 (25492)

Kathod-Shi-14

Invested

$463.43

Value

$553.09

PnL

+$89.65

Record

55%

17960-14549 (32509)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$344.66

Value

$472.74

PnL

+$128.08

Record

58%

37996-27224 (65220)

Bonereaper

Invested

$334.24

Value

$380.28

PnL

+$46.04

Record

66%

99251-51446 (150697)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$286.1

Value

$348.24

PnL

+$62.14

Record

55%

15568-12982 (28550)

gansinimen

Invested

$194.71

Value

$233.79

PnL

+$39.08

Record

51%

17149-16668 (33817)

machinelearned

Invested

$188.48

Value

$187.1

PnL

-$1.38

Record

55%

8705-7167 (15872)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$178.17

Value

$209.56

PnL

+$31.38

Record

55%

7508-6166 (13674)

bosona

Invested

$100.28

Value

$191.63

PnL

+$91.35

Record

55%

49771-39994 (89765)

PBot-6

Invested

$143.63

Value

$300

PnL

+$156.37

Record

58%

51036-37181 (88217)

FairValueMachineARB<$100

Invested

$118.46

Value

$131.64

PnL

+$13.18

Record

57%

12538-9643 (22181)

Both legs:

Up$91.5569.5¢+$40.09

Down$26.9117.2¢-$26.91

GoodFallen

Invested

$121.32

Value

$159.48

PnL

+$38.15

Record

56%

13825-10973 (24798)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$77.73

Value

$93

PnL

+$15.27

Record

60%

12308-8144 (20452)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$75.04

Value

$106.6

PnL

+$31.57

Record

59%

23251-16346 (39597)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$82

Value

$100

PnL

+$18

Record

58%

60661-44284 (104945)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$76.96

Value

$60

PnL

-$16.96

Record

50%

5330-5421 (10751)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$55.9

Value

$69.99

PnL

+$14.09

Record

64%

23528-12966 (36494)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$51.2

Value

$60

PnL

+$8.8

Record

55%

23956-19344 (43300)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$30.93

Value

$37.09

PnL

+$6.16

Record

61%

95112-60031 (155143)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$30.58

Value

$36.3

PnL

+$5.72

Record

52%

90518-85062 (175580)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$33.07

Value

—

PnL

-$33.07

Record

57%

12094-9077 (21171)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$13.67

Value

—

PnL

-$13.67

Record

46%

38184-45085 (83269)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$26.81

Value

$33.72

PnL

+$6.91

Record

66%

126030-64913 (190943)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 29 top traders (79%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2c42debf...68fdd8

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793401500

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $9.0K

+$7.99

BoneOhio

Up — $1.5K

+$34.08

hoodquant

Up — $707.33

+$16.28

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $553.09

+$89.65

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $472.74

+$128.08

Bonereaper

Up — $380.28

+$46.04

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $348.24

+$62.14

gansinimen

Up — $233.79

+$39.08

machinelearned

Up — $187.1

-$1.38

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $209.56

+$31.38

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