Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

8 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.7K

Combined PnL

$75.27

Smart Money Signal

15 of 19 top traders (79%)8 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up15 traders

Total Value$6.0K

Total Shares5,968

Combined PnL+$459.89

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares784

Combined PnL-$384.62

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	74% 102628-36442 (139070)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$11.21	93% 23707-1785 (25492)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Upavg 54.4¢	$554.53	$590.45	+$35.92	55% 15568-12982 (28550)
└ Up leg	Upavg 54.4¢	$320.93	$590.45	+$269.52
└ Down leg	Downavg 55.3¢	$233.6	—	-$233.6
IM ImgonnadoitCTR	Downavg 44.5¢	$300	—	-$300	39% 191-302 (493)
machinelearned	Upavg 85¢	$352.36	$409.86	+$57.5	55% 8705-7167 (15872)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cARB<$100	Upavg 69.7¢	$385.56	$351.38	-$34.19	59% 23251-16346 (39597)
└ Up leg	Upavg 69.7¢	$244.9	$351.38	+$106.48
└ Down leg	Downavg 58.1¢	$140.67	—	-$140.67
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Downavg 59.7¢	$318.8	$182.59	-$136.21	56% 13825-10973 (24798)
└ Up leg	Upavg 65.6¢	$119.7	$182.59	+$62.9
└ Down leg	Downavg 59.7¢	$199.1	—	-$199.1
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Upavg 68.7¢	$221.39	$210	-$11.39	50% 5330-5421 (10751)
└ Up leg	Upavg 68.7¢	$144.3	$210	+$65.7
└ Down leg	Downavg 43¢	$77.09	—	-$77.09
BO BonereaperARB<$100	Upavg 75.6¢	$211.88	$170.28	-$41.6	66% 99251-51446 (150697)
└ Up leg	Upavg 75.6¢	$128.73	$170.28	+$41.55
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.2¢	$83.15	—	-$83.15
FairValueMachineARB<$100	Downavg 53.3¢	$212.65	$106.11	-$106.53	57% 12538-9643 (22181)
└ Down leg	Downavg 53.3¢	$148.47	—	-$148.47
└ Up leg	Upavg 60.5¢	$64.17	$106.11	+$41.94
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 54.3¢	$106.65	$192.35	+$85.7	60% 12308-8144 (20452)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 47.9¢	$143.63	$300	+$156.37	48% 23338-25669 (49007)
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100	Upavg 77.4¢	$146.49	$99.99	-$46.5	57% 12094-9077 (21171)
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.4¢	$77.39	$99.99	+$22.6
└ Down leg	Downavg 62.8¢	$69.1	—	-$69.1
pspspsps5ARB<$100	Upavg 92¢	$35.09	$35.29	+$0.2	46% 38184-45085 (83269)
└ Down leg	Downavg 1¢	$2.63	—	-$2.63
└ Up leg	Upavg 92¢	$32.47	$35.29	+$2.82
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 49.9¢	$62.35	$125	+$62.65	57% 7978-6132 (14110)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 73¢	$77.66	$53.08	-$12.27	64% 23528-12966 (36494)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 40.3¢	$22.23	$47.09	+$24.86	55% 17960-14549 (32509)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 96¢	$48	$50	+$2	58% 60661-44284 (104945)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100	Downavg 68.8¢	$71.27	—	-$69.42	55% 7508-6166 (13674)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 96.2¢	$42.58	$44.24	+$1.66	52% 90518-85062 (175580)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 96.5¢	$39.58	$41	+$1.42	61% 95112-60031 (155143)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 72¢	$46.8	$65	+$18.2	64% 40197-22999 (63196)
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100	Downavg 76¢	$15.19	—	-$15.19	55% 23956-19344 (43300)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 40¢	$4.76	$11.9	+$7.14	66% 112280-58767 (171047)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 22¢	$1.68	$7.64	+$5.96	66% 126030-64913 (190943)

BoneOhio

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

74%

102628-36442 (139070)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,109.79

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$11.21

Record

93%

23707-1785 (25492)

dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100

Invested

$554.53

Value

$590.45

PnL

+$35.92

Record

55%

15568-12982 (28550)

Both legs:

Up$320.9354.4¢+$269.52

Down$233.655.3¢-$233.6

ImgonnadoitCTR

Down

Invested

$300

Value

—

PnL

-$300

Record

39%

191-302 (493)

machinelearned

Invested

$352.36

Value

$409.86

PnL

+$57.5

Record

55%

8705-7167 (15872)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cARB<$100

Invested

$385.56

Value

$351.38

PnL

-$34.19

Record

59%

23251-16346 (39597)

Both legs:

Up$244.969.7¢+$106.48

Down$140.6758.1¢-$140.67

GoodFallenARB<$100

Down

Invested

$318.8

Value

$182.59

PnL

-$136.21

Record

56%

13825-10973 (24798)

Both legs:

Up$119.765.6¢+$62.9

Down$199.159.7¢-$199.1

ply-pm0ARB<$100

Invested

$221.39

Value

$210

PnL

-$11.39

Record

50%

5330-5421 (10751)

Both legs:

Up$144.368.7¢+$65.7

Down$77.0943¢-$77.09

BonereaperARB<$100

Invested

$211.88

Value

$170.28

PnL

-$41.6

Record

66%

99251-51446 (150697)

Both legs:

Up$128.7375.6¢+$41.55

Down$83.1548.2¢-$83.15

FairValueMachineARB<$100

Down

Invested

$212.65

Value

$106.11

PnL

-$106.53

Record

57%

12538-9643 (22181)

Both legs:

Down$148.4753.3¢-$148.47

Up$64.1760.5¢+$41.94

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$106.65

Value

$192.35

PnL

+$85.7

Record

60%

12308-8144 (20452)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$143.63

Value

$300

PnL

+$156.37

Record

48%

23338-25669 (49007)

EZTRADENL2ARB<$100

Invested

$146.49

Value

$99.99

PnL

-$46.5

Record

57%

12094-9077 (21171)

Both legs:

Up$77.3977.4¢+$22.6

Down$69.162.8¢-$69.1

pspspsps5ARB<$100

Invested

$35.09

Value

$35.29

PnL

+$0.2

Record

46%

38184-45085 (83269)

Both legs:

Down$2.631¢-$2.63

Up$32.4792¢+$2.82

wzbbb

Invested

$62.35

Value

$125

PnL

+$62.65

Record

57%

7978-6132 (14110)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$77.66

Value

$53.08

PnL

-$12.27

Record

64%

23528-12966 (36494)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$22.23

Value

$47.09

PnL

+$24.86

Record

55%

17960-14549 (32509)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$48

Value

$50

PnL

+$2

Record

58%

60661-44284 (104945)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$71.27

Value

—

PnL

-$69.42

Record

55%

7508-6166 (13674)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$42.58

Value

$44.24

PnL

+$1.66

Record

52%

90518-85062 (175580)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$39.58

Value

$41

PnL

+$1.42

Record

61%

95112-60031 (155143)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$46.8

Value

$65

PnL

+$18.2

Record

64%

40197-22999 (63196)

sir-upalotCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15.19

Value

—

PnL

-$15.19

Record

55%

23956-19344 (43300)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.76

Value

$11.9

PnL

+$7.14

Record

66%

112280-58767 (171047)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$1.68

Value

$7.64

PnL

+$5.96

Record

66%

126030-64913 (190943)

Smart Money Signal

15 of 19 top traders (79%)8 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xee19eb72...fa31b9

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793401200

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Up — $3.5K

+$35

hoodquant

Up — $1.1K

+$11.21

dangerously-skip-permissions

Arbitrage — excluded

Imgonnadoit

Down — $0

machinelearned

Up — $409.86

+$57.5

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Arbitrage — excluded

GoodFallen

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm0

Arbitrage — excluded

Bonereaper

Arbitrage — excluded

FairValueMachine

Arbitrage — excluded