Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Up 71%
$3.1K
-$185.18
Smart Money Signal
23 of 32 top traders (72%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 35.3¢ | $400 | — | -$400 | 38% 184-298 (482) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 69.7¢ | $342.85 | $319.17 | -$23.68 | 55% 15558-12981 (28539) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 75¢ | $251.57 | $266.31 | +$14.75 | 50% 5323-5411 (10734) |
![]() FairValueMachine | Upavg 69.6¢ | $247.27 | $272.58 | +$25.31 | 57% 12528-9642 (22170) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 84.6¢ | $217.19 | $220.2 | +$3.01 | 54% 8088-6779 (14867) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 69.2¢ | $187.26 | $217.08 | +$29.82 | 56% 13818-10969 (24787) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 77.3¢ | $183.75 | $226.73 | +$42.97 | 59% 23240-16339 (39579) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 72¢ | $216 | $300 | +$84 | 48% 23324-25663 (48987) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 75.2¢ | $121.08 | $152.7 | +$31.62 | 60% 12299-8135 (20434) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 79.1¢ | $153.3 | $146.35 | -$6.95 | 55% 7496-6159 (13655) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $136.65 | $161.24 | +$24.59 | 55% 17960-14547 (32507) |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 72.4¢ | $106.43 | $134.87 | +$28.44 | 55% 8696-7157 (15853) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 69.6¢ | $76.8 | $99.99 | +$23.2 | 57% 12084-9068 (21152) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 67¢ | $89.71 | $123.93 | +$34.22 | 34% 18852-35845 (54697) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $71.11 | $90.01 | +$18.9 | 51% 17143-16661 (33804) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.2¢ | $11.15 | — | -$11.15 | 63% 52032-30695 (82727) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 70.8¢ | $46.3 | $51.21 | +$4.91 | 52% 90492-85022 (175514) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $42.86 | — | -$42.86 | 57% 7965-6118 (14083) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 75.7¢ | $40.44 | $53.39 | +$12.95 | 66% 126008-64883 (190891) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $45.03 | $61.72 | +$16.7 | 64% 23481-12947 (36428) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $38.15 | — | -$38.15 | 58% 37968-27204 (65172) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 87.7¢ | $39.45 | $45 | +$5.55 | 64% 40191-22989 (63180) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $29 | $33.64 | +$4.64 | 61% 95091-59995 (155086) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $28.8 | $40 | +$11.2 | 55% 23945-19338 (43283) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 67.6¢ | $38.69 | $57.24 | +$18.55 | 59% 6836-4788 (11624) |
Invested
$400
Value
—
PnL
-$400
Record
38%
184-298 (482)
Invested
$342.85
Value
$319.17
PnL
-$23.68
Record
55%
15558-12981 (28539)
Invested
$251.57
Value
$266.31
PnL
+$14.75
Record
50%
5323-5411 (10734)
FairValueMachineInvested
$247.27
Value
$272.58
PnL
+$25.31
Record
57%
12528-9642 (22170)
Invested
$217.19
Value
$220.2
PnL
+$3.01
Record
54%
8088-6779 (14867)
Invested
$187.26
Value
$217.08
PnL
+$29.82
Record
56%
13818-10969 (24787)
Invested
$183.75
Value
$226.73
PnL
+$42.97
Record
59%
23240-16339 (39579)
Invested
$216
Value
$300
PnL
+$84
Record
48%
23324-25663 (48987)
Invested
$121.08
Value
$152.7
PnL
+$31.62
Record
60%
12299-8135 (20434)
Invested
$153.3
Value
$146.35
PnL
-$6.95
Record
55%
7496-6159 (13655)
Invested
$136.65
Value
$161.24
PnL
+$24.59
Record
55%
17960-14547 (32507)
machinelearnedInvested
$106.43
Value
$134.87
PnL
+$28.44
Record
55%
8696-7157 (15853)
Invested
$76.8
Value
$99.99
PnL
+$23.2
Record
57%
12084-9068 (21152)
Invested
$89.71
Value
$123.93
PnL
+$34.22
Record
34%
18852-35845 (54697)
Invested
$71.11
Value
$90.01
PnL
+$18.9
Record
51%
17143-16661 (33804)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$11.15
Value
—
PnL
-$11.15
Record
63%
52032-30695 (82727)
Invested
$46.3
Value
$51.21
PnL
+$4.91
Record
52%
90492-85022 (175514)
Invested
$42.86
Value
—
PnL
-$42.86
Record
57%
7965-6118 (14083)
Invested
$40.44
Value
$53.39
PnL
+$12.95
Record
66%
126008-64883 (190891)
Invested
$45.03
Value
$61.72
PnL
+$16.7
Record
64%
23481-12947 (36428)
Invested
$38.15
Value
—
PnL
-$38.15
Record
58%
37968-27204 (65172)
ohioism<$100Invested
$39.45
Value
$45
PnL
+$5.55
Record
64%
40191-22989 (63180)
Invested
$29
Value
$33.64
PnL
+$4.64
Record
61%
95091-59995 (155086)
Invested
$28.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$11.2
Record
55%
23945-19338 (43283)
Invested
$38.69
Value
$57.24
PnL
+$18.55
Record
59%
6836-4788 (11624)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Imgonnadoit
CTRDown — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $319.17
ply-pm0
Up — $266.31

FairValueMachine
Up — $272.58
sfkjbsr457
Up — $220.2
GoodFallen
Up — $217.08
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $226.73
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $300
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $152.7
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $146.35