Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 70%
$825.92
$72.77
Smart Money Signal
15 of 25 top traders (60%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 machinelearned | Downavg 80.6¢ | $196.94 | $218.61 | +$21.66 | 55% 8705-7167 (15872) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 82.7¢ | $136.3 | $145.05 | +$8.75 | 54% 8100-6790 (14890) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 92.2¢ | $129.76 | $140.66 | +$10.91 | 55% 7508-6166 (13674) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 80.6¢ | $124.72 | $125.92 | +$1.2 | 59% 23251-16346 (39597) |
 ohioism | Downavg 69¢ | $69.23 | $100.33 | +$31.1 | 64% 40197-22999 (63196) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $35.58 | $60.27 | +$24.69 | 57% 12094-9077 (21171) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $32.62 | $35.08 | +$2.46 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $10.8 | — | -$10.8 | 51% 20141-19302 (39443) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.9¢ | $11.8 | — | -$11.8 | 60% 12308-8144 (20452) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15568-12982 (28550) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13825-10973 (24798) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3651-2837 (6488) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 99251-51446 (150697) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12538-9643 (22181) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 62333-43508 (105841) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 7978-6132 (14110) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5330-5421 (10751) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 78059-81564 (159623) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 38184-45085 (83269) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 60.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 6846-4795 (11641) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 72.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
TE teacherbaiCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $20 | — | -$5.4 | 54% 209-180 (389) |
machinelearnedInvested
$196.94
Value
$218.61
PnL
+$21.66
Record
55%
8705-7167 (15872)
Invested
$136.3
Value
$145.05
PnL
+$8.75
Record
54%
8100-6790 (14890)
Invested
$129.76
Value
$140.66
PnL
+$10.91
Record
55%
7508-6166 (13674)
Invested
$124.72
Value
$125.92
PnL
+$1.2
Record
59%
23251-16346 (39597)
ohioismInvested
$69.23
Value
$100.33
PnL
+$31.1
Record
64%
40197-22999 (63196)
Invested
$35.58
Value
$60.27
PnL
+$24.69
Record
57%
12094-9077 (21171)
Invested
$32.62
Value
$35.08
PnL
+$2.46
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
Invested
$10.8
Value
—
PnL
-$10.8
Record
51%
20141-19302 (39443)
Invested
$11.8
Value
—
PnL
-$11.8
Record
60%
12308-8144 (20452)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15568-12982 (28550)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13825-10973 (24798)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3651-2837 (6488)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
99251-51446 (150697)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12538-9643 (22181)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
62333-43508 (105841)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
7978-6132 (14110)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5330-5421 (10751)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78059-81564 (159623)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
38184-45085 (83269)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
6846-4795 (11641)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
54%
209-180 (389)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
machinelearned
Down — $218.61
sfkjbsr457
Down — $145.05
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $140.66
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $125.92
ohioism
Down — $100.33
EZTRADENL2
Down — $60.27
dvasdkasodk
Down — $35.08
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
CTRUp — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRUp — $0