Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Down 74%
$3.9K
-$226.38
Smart Money Signal
20 of 28 top traders (71%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $1.6K | $1.7K | +$28.65 | 93% 23585-1776 (25361) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $386.56 | $389.23 | +$2.67 | 54% 8064-6763 (14827) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 73.2¢ | $305.94 | $328.3 | +$22.36 | 55% 15538-12969 (28507) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 95.2¢ | $278.45 | $292.34 | +$13.89 | 46% 38138-45037 (83175) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 95.3¢ | $145.69 | $152.91 | +$7.22 | 49% 78011-81515 (159526) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 62¢ | $93 | $150 | +$57 | 56% 58145-44880 (103025) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 52¢ | $117.88 | $141.38 | +$23.5 | 59% 6816-4772 (11588) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 51.9¢ | $81.9 | $135.28 | +$53.38 | 57% 7932-6096 (14028) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $86.5 | $90 | +$3.5 | 57% 12511-9627 (22138) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 77.1¢ | $69.48 | $87.43 | +$17.95 | 57% 12059-9056 (21115) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 88.6¢ | $77.82 | $86.07 | +$8.25 | 53% 27246-24218 (51464) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 82.9¢ | $87.96 | $85 | -$2.97 | 50% 5297-5400 (10697) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $75.87 | $85.35 | +$9.48 | 59% 23182-16303 (39485) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 9.3¢ | $146.01 | — | -$146.01 | 55% 8680-7137 (15817) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79.4¢ | $38.17 | $44.7 | +$6.53 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $65.04 | $44 | -$21.04 | 60% 12278-8121 (20399) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 70.8¢ | $24.72 | $34.93 | +$10.21 | 66% 112233-58692 (170925) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.8¢ | $19.36 | $21.1 | +$1.74 | 66% 125935-64835 (190770) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $16.29 | $20 | +$3.71 | 55% 23926-19323 (43249) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $9.03 | $17.04 | +$8.01 | 58% 37915-27161 (65076) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $7.92 | $11.82 | +$3.9 | 55% 7477-6143 (13620) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 21.3¢ | $262.59 | — | -$262.59 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.5¢ | $59.35 | — | -$59.35 | 56% 13796-10960 (24756) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 51% 20108-19252 (39360) |
 BossgirlCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $5.68 | — | -$5.68 | 54% 4631-3934 (8565) |
Invested
$1,626.35
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$28.65
Record
93%
23585-1776 (25361)
Invested
$386.56
Value
$389.23
PnL
+$2.67
Record
54%
8064-6763 (14827)
Invested
$305.94
Value
$328.3
PnL
+$22.36
Record
55%
15538-12969 (28507)
pspspsps5Invested
$278.45
Value
$292.34
PnL
+$13.89
Record
46%
38138-45037 (83175)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$145.69
Value
$152.91
PnL
+$7.22
Record
49%
78011-81515 (159526)
Invested
$93
Value
$150
PnL
+$57
Record
56%
58145-44880 (103025)
Invested
$117.88
Value
$141.38
PnL
+$23.5
Record
59%
6816-4772 (11588)
Invested
$81.9
Value
$135.28
PnL
+$53.38
Record
57%
7932-6096 (14028)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$86.5
Value
$90
PnL
+$3.5
Record
57%
12511-9627 (22138)
Invested
$69.48
Value
$87.43
PnL
+$17.95
Record
57%
12059-9056 (21115)
Invested
$77.82
Value
$86.07
PnL
+$8.25
Record
53%
27246-24218 (51464)
Invested
$87.96
Value
$85
PnL
-$2.97
Record
50%
5297-5400 (10697)
Invested
$75.87
Value
$85.35
PnL
+$9.48
Record
59%
23182-16303 (39485)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$146.01
Value
—
PnL
-$146.01
Record
55%
8680-7137 (15817)
Invested
$38.17
Value
$44.7
PnL
+$6.53
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
Invested
$65.04
Value
$44
PnL
-$21.04
Record
60%
12278-8121 (20399)
Invested
$24.72
Value
$34.93
PnL
+$10.21
Record
66%
112233-58692 (170925)
Invested
$19.36
Value
$21.1
PnL
+$1.74
Record
66%
125935-64835 (190770)
Invested
$16.29
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.71
Record
55%
23926-19323 (43249)
Invested
$9.03
Value
$17.04
PnL
+$8.01
Record
58%
37915-27161 (65076)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$11.82
PnL
+$3.9
Record
55%
7477-6143 (13620)
Invested
$262.59
Value
—
PnL
-$262.59
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
Invested
$59.35
Value
—
PnL
-$59.35
Record
56%
13796-10960 (24756)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
51%
20108-19252 (39360)
BossgirlCTR<$100Invested
$5.68
Value
—
PnL
-$5.68
Record
54%
4631-3934 (8565)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.7K
sfkjbsr457
Down — $389.23
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $328.3
pspspsps5
Down — $292.34
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $152.91
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $150
13897651
Down — $141.38
wzbbb
Down — $135.28
FairValueMachine
Down — $90
EZTRADENL2
Down — $87.43