Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$5.5K
-$194.81
Smart Money Signal
19 of 28 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | -$2.09 | 59% 62290-43460 (105750) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.7¢ | $843.16 | $854 | +$10.84 | 93% 23585-1776 (25361) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 62.2¢ | $307.6 | — | -$307.6 | 59% 6816-4772 (11588) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 62.8¢ | $219.73 | $218.51 | -$1.22 | 55% 15538-12969 (28507) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 99¢ | $215.62 | $217.8 | +$2.18 | 46% 38138-45037 (83175) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 76.6¢ | $138.02 | $173.99 | +$35.97 | 55% 17905-14498 (32403) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 69.9¢ | $133.77 | $147.92 | +$14.15 | 59% 23182-16303 (39485) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 78.5¢ | $114.22 | $139.77 | +$25.54 | 60% 12278-8121 (20399) |
GO GoodFallenARB<$100 | Upavg 61.3¢ | $126.66 | $120.88 | -$5.78 | 56% 13796-10960 (24756) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61.3¢ | $74.08 | $120.88 | +$46.79 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.4¢ | $52.58 | — | -$52.58 | |
SP spartacray | Upavg 79.8¢ | $87.26 | $105.36 | +$18.09 | 53% 27246-24218 (51464) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.1¢ | $90.5 | — | -$90.5 | 58% 37915-27161 (65076) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94.7¢ | $73.03 | $68.09 | -$4.94 | 66% 125935-64835 (190770) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 50¢ | $62.54 | $125.08 | +$62.54 | 58% 51009-37160 (88169) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 96.5¢ | $78.46 | $60 | -$18.46 | 50% 5297-5400 (10697) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 69.7¢ | $43.44 | $49 | +$5.56 | 57% 7932-6096 (14028) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.4¢ | $47.5 | — | -$47.5 | 57% 12511-9627 (22138) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 55.5¢ | $35.88 | $64.68 | +$28.8 | 57% 12059-9056 (21115) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $30.6 | $60 | +$29.4 | 57% 10363-7780 (18143) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 88.3¢ | $47.89 | $30.06 | +$6.19 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.8¢ | $19.86 | — | -$19.86 | 66% 112233-58692 (170925) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $14.8 | $12.5 | -$2.3 | 55% 7477-6143 (13620) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $8.38 | — | -$8.38 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $5.98 | — | -$5.98 | 61% 95030-59937 (154967) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.1¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $53.85 | — | +$67.92 | 48% 23309-25643 (48952) |
Invested
$3,010.1
Value
$3.0K
PnL
-$2.09
Record
59%
62290-43460 (105750)
Invested
$843.16
Value
$854
PnL
+$10.84
Record
93%
23585-1776 (25361)
Invested
$307.6
Value
—
PnL
-$307.6
Record
59%
6816-4772 (11588)
Invested
$219.73
Value
$218.51
PnL
-$1.22
Record
55%
15538-12969 (28507)
pspspsps5Invested
$215.62
Value
$217.8
PnL
+$2.18
Record
46%
38138-45037 (83175)
Invested
$138.02
Value
$173.99
PnL
+$35.97
Record
55%
17905-14498 (32403)
Invested
$133.77
Value
$147.92
PnL
+$14.15
Record
59%
23182-16303 (39485)
Invested
$114.22
Value
$139.77
PnL
+$25.54
Record
60%
12278-8121 (20399)
Invested
$126.66
Value
$120.88
PnL
-$5.78
Record
56%
13796-10960 (24756)
Both legs:
Invested
$87.26
Value
$105.36
PnL
+$18.09
Record
53%
27246-24218 (51464)
Invested
$90.5
Value
—
PnL
-$90.5
Record
58%
37915-27161 (65076)
Invested
$73.03
Value
$68.09
PnL
-$4.94
Record
66%
125935-64835 (190770)
Invested
$62.54
Value
$125.08
PnL
+$62.54
Record
58%
51009-37160 (88169)
Invested
$78.46
Value
$60
PnL
-$18.46
Record
50%
5297-5400 (10697)
Invested
$43.44
Value
$49
PnL
+$5.56
Record
57%
7932-6096 (14028)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$47.5
Value
—
PnL
-$47.5
Record
57%
12511-9627 (22138)
Invested
$35.88
Value
$64.68
PnL
+$28.8
Record
57%
12059-9056 (21115)
Invested
$30.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$29.4
Record
57%
10363-7780 (18143)
Invested
$47.89
Value
$30.06
PnL
+$6.19
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
Invested
$19.86
Value
—
PnL
-$19.86
Record
66%
112233-58692 (170925)
Invested
$14.8
Value
$12.5
PnL
-$2.3
Record
55%
7477-6143 (13620)
Invested
$8.38
Value
—
PnL
-$8.38
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
Invested
$5.98
Value
—
PnL
-$5.98
Record
61%
95030-59937 (154967)
Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
Invested
$53.85
Value
—
PnL
+$67.92
Record
48%
23309-25643 (48952)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $3.0K
hoodquant
Up — $854
13897651
CTRDown — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $218.51
pspspsps5
Up — $217.8
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $173.99
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $147.92
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $139.77
GoodFallen
ARBArbitrage — excluded
spartacray
Up — $105.36