Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Down 81%
$6.1K
$238.78
Smart Money Signal
22 of 28 top traders (79%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 96.7¢ | $1.6K | $1.7K | +$56.02 | 93% 23541-1774 (25315) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $961.54 | $962.5 | +$0.96 | 59% 62273-43446 (105719) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 90.1¢ | $658.19 | $676.75 | +$18.56 | 54% 8051-6754 (14805) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $520.17 | $525.42 | +$5.25 | 74% 102568-36422 (138990) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 85.8¢ | $434.24 | $506.05 | +$71.81 | 55% 8670-7127 (15797) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $327.9 | $351.51 | +$23.61 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 86.2¢ | $241.72 | $280.27 | +$38.55 | 55% 17859-14473 (32332) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 76.4¢ | $133.55 | $153.67 | +$20.12 | 55% 15538-12969 (28507) |
SP spartacray | Downavg 89.9¢ | $119.1 | $132.5 | +$13.4 | 53% 27238-24207 (51445) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 90.5¢ | $113.74 | $120 | +$6.26 | 59% 23182-16303 (39485) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 90¢ | $91 | $100 | +$9 | 51% 17112-16648 (33760) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 90.7¢ | $95.22 | $105 | +$9.78 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $71.4 | $90 | +$18.6 | 49% 5284-5393 (10677) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $84.58 | — | -$84.58 | 59% 6804-4763 (11567) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $72.16 | $87.99 | +$15.84 | 55% 7468-6132 (13600) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $58.09 | $69.98 | +$11.9 | 57% 12048-9048 (21096) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 74.4¢ | $57.71 | $61 | +$3.29 | 56% 13796-10960 (24756) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $49.37 | $63.57 | +$14.2 | 57% 12511-9627 (22138) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $24.08 | $27.57 | +$3.49 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $31.95 | $24.19 | +$4.92 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92.2¢ | $17.71 | $19.21 | +$1.5 | 61% 94986-59906 (154892) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.4¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 51% 20092-19247 (39339) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.4¢ | $6.98 | — | -$6.98 | 58% 37890-27130 (65020) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $8.99 | $9.99 | +$1 | 52% 90403-84904 (175307) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.2¢ | $9.51 | — | -$9.51 | 57% 7914-6084 (13998) |
Invested
$1,624.97
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$56.02
Record
93%
23541-1774 (25315)
Invested
$961.54
Value
$962.5
PnL
+$0.96
Record
59%
62273-43446 (105719)
Invested
$658.19
Value
$676.75
PnL
+$18.56
Record
54%
8051-6754 (14805)
BoneOhioInvested
$520.17
Value
$525.42
PnL
+$5.25
Record
74%
102568-36422 (138990)
machinelearnedInvested
$434.24
Value
$506.05
PnL
+$71.81
Record
55%
8670-7127 (15797)
pspspsps5Invested
$327.9
Value
$351.51
PnL
+$23.61
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
Invested
$241.72
Value
$280.27
PnL
+$38.55
Record
55%
17859-14473 (32332)
Invested
$133.55
Value
$153.67
PnL
+$20.12
Record
55%
15538-12969 (28507)
Invested
$119.1
Value
$132.5
PnL
+$13.4
Record
53%
27238-24207 (51445)
Invested
$113.74
Value
$120
PnL
+$6.26
Record
59%
23182-16303 (39485)
Invested
$91
Value
$100
PnL
+$9
Record
51%
17112-16648 (33760)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$95.22
Value
$105
PnL
+$9.78
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$71.4
Value
$90
PnL
+$18.6
Record
49%
5284-5393 (10677)
Invested
$84.58
Value
—
PnL
-$84.58
Record
59%
6804-4763 (11567)
Invested
$72.16
Value
$87.99
PnL
+$15.84
Record
55%
7468-6132 (13600)
Invested
$58.09
Value
$69.98
PnL
+$11.9
Record
57%
12048-9048 (21096)
Invested
$57.71
Value
$61
PnL
+$3.29
Record
56%
13796-10960 (24756)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$49.37
Value
$63.57
PnL
+$14.2
Record
57%
12511-9627 (22138)
Invested
$24.08
Value
$27.57
PnL
+$3.49
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
Invested
$31.95
Value
$24.19
PnL
+$4.92
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
Invested
$17.71
Value
$19.21
PnL
+$1.5
Record
61%
94986-59906 (154892)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
51%
20092-19247 (39339)
Invested
$6.98
Value
—
PnL
-$6.98
Record
58%
37890-27130 (65020)
Invested
$8.99
Value
$9.99
PnL
+$1
Record
52%
90403-84904 (175307)
Invested
$9.51
Value
—
PnL
-$9.51
Record
57%
7914-6084 (13998)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.7K
0x50f7
Down — $962.5
sfkjbsr457
Down — $676.75
BoneOhio
Down — $525.42
machinelearned
Down — $506.05
pspspsps5
Down — $351.51
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $280.27
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $153.67
spartacray
Down — $132.5
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $120