Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 79%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.9K

Combined PnL

$733.55

Smart Money Signal

20 of 26 top traders (77%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up20 traders

Total Value$7.4K

Total Shares7,379

Combined PnL+$858.53

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares347

Combined PnL-$124.98

Up — 77%Down — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 62.5¢	$1.9K	$2.6K	+$612.75	57% 70965-54043 (125008)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 56.6¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	-$40.13	55% 15538-12969 (28507)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 62.2¢	$501.35	$544.61	+$43.26	56% 13796-10960 (24756)
NIULAI4	Upavg 90.5¢	$426.45	$471.31	+$44.86	77% 9417-2836 (12253)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 56.8¢	$314.3	$360.06	+$45.76	57% 12511-9627 (22138)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 66¢	$325.22	$330.35	+$5.13	49% 5284-5393 (10677)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Upavg 66.5¢	$217.16	$326.43	+$109.27	55% 17859-14473 (32332)
SP spartacray	Upavg 71.3¢	$219.69	$253.47	+$33.78	53% 27238-24207 (51445)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Upavg 66.3¢	$247.58	$303.68	+$56.1	59% 6804-4763 (11567)
└ Up leg	Upavg 66.3¢	$201.46	$303.68	+$102.22
└ Down leg	Downavg 27.3¢	$46.12	—	-$46.12
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 69.3¢	$214.22	$238.28	+$24.06	55% 7468-6132 (13600)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 71.1¢	$228.94	$182.87	-$46.07	59% 23182-16303 (39485)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 74.7¢	$143.34	$180.81	+$37.47	54% 8051-6754 (14805)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 84.6¢	$172.63	$160.48	-$12.16	60% 12263-8116 (20379)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 92.6¢	$137.97	$132.36	-$5.61	66% 125885-64811 (190696)
AS asidjasiodja	Upavg 95.1¢	$124.52	$109.83	-$5.93	61% 94986-59906 (154892)
DV dvasdkasodk	Upavg 96.6¢	$111.58	$106.41	-$5.17	52% 90403-84904 (175307)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100	Upavg 51.1¢	$75.07	$105.25	+$30.18	58% 37890-27130 (65020)
└ Up leg	Upavg 51.1¢	$53.79	$105.25	+$51.46
└ Down leg	Downavg 30.8¢	$21.28	—	-$21.28
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 66.8¢	$73.07	$88.66	+$15.59	57% 7914-6084 (13998)
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100	Upavg 62.3¢	$99.39	$111.21	+$11.81	57% 12048-9048 (21096)
└ Up leg	Upavg 62.3¢	$69.29	$111.21	+$41.91
└ Down leg	Downavg 60.2¢	$30.1	—	-$30.1
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 65.2¢	$68.01	$69.02	+$1.01	66% 112214-58657 (170871)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 38¢	$57	—	-$57	64% 40142-22964 (63106)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 61.6¢	$34.9	$32.9	-$0.8	64% 23325-12863 (36188)
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100	Downavg 44¢	$30.8	—	-$30.8	55% 23916-19315 (43231)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Downavg 24.9¢	$31.07	—	-$31.07	55% 8670-7127 (15797)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Downavg 41.5¢	$4.15	—	-$4.15	50% 7850-7871 (15721)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$1,937.59

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$612.75

Record

57%

70965-54043 (125008)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$1,275.51

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$40.13

Record

55%

15538-12969 (28507)

GoodFallen

Invested

$501.35

Value

$544.61

PnL

+$43.26

Record

56%

13796-10960 (24756)

NIULAI4

Invested

$426.45

Value

$471.31

PnL

+$44.86

Record

77%

9417-2836 (12253)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$314.3

Value

$360.06

PnL

+$45.76

Record

57%

12511-9627 (22138)

ply-pm0

Invested

$325.22

Value

$330.35

PnL

+$5.13

Record

49%

5284-5393 (10677)

Kathod-Shi-14

Invested

$217.16

Value

$326.43

PnL

+$109.27

Record

55%

17859-14473 (32332)

spartacray

Invested

$219.69

Value

$253.47

PnL

+$33.78

Record

53%

27238-24207 (51445)

13897651ARB<$100

Invested

$247.58

Value

$303.68

PnL

+$56.1

Record

59%

6804-4763 (11567)

Both legs:

Up$201.4666.3¢+$102.22

Down$46.1227.3¢-$46.12

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$214.22

Value

$238.28

PnL

+$24.06

Record

55%

7468-6132 (13600)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$228.94

Value

$182.87

PnL

-$46.07

Record

59%

23182-16303 (39485)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$143.34

Value

$180.81

PnL

+$37.47

Record

54%

8051-6754 (14805)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$172.63

Value

$160.48

PnL

-$12.16

Record

60%

12263-8116 (20379)

asdaefef

Invested

$137.97

Value

$132.36

PnL

-$5.61

Record

66%

125885-64811 (190696)

asidjasiodja

Invested

$124.52

Value

$109.83

PnL

-$5.93

Record

61%

94986-59906 (154892)

dvasdkasodk

Invested

$111.58

Value

$106.41

PnL

-$5.17

Record

52%

90403-84904 (175307)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100

Invested

$75.07

Value

$105.25

PnL

+$30.18

Record

58%

37890-27130 (65020)

Both legs:

Up$53.7951.1¢+$51.46

Down$21.2830.8¢-$21.28

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$73.07

Value

$88.66

PnL

+$15.59

Record

57%

7914-6084 (13998)

EZTRADENL2ARB<$100

Invested

$99.39

Value

$111.21

PnL

+$11.81

Record

57%

12048-9048 (21096)

Both legs:

Up$69.2962.3¢+$41.91

Down$30.160.2¢-$30.1

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$68.01

Value

$69.02

PnL

+$1.01

Record

66%

112214-58657 (170871)

ohioismCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$57

Value

—

PnL

-$57

Record

64%

40142-22964 (63106)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$34.9

Value

$32.9

PnL

-$0.8

Record

64%

23325-12863 (36188)

sir-upalotCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$30.8

Value

—

PnL

-$30.8

Record

55%

23916-19315 (43231)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$31.07

Value

—

PnL

-$31.07

Record

55%

8670-7127 (15797)

RLWGCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.15

Value

—

PnL

-$4.15

Record

50%

7850-7871 (15721)

Smart Money Signal

20 of 26 top traders (77%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x478f4443...4a4a72

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793382300

Traders in this Market

uninformedfloww

Up — $2.6K

+$612.75

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $1.2K

-$40.13

GoodFallen

Up — $544.61

+$43.26

NIULAI4

Up — $471.31

+$44.86

FairValueMachine

Up — $360.06

+$45.76

ply-pm0

Up — $330.35

+$5.13

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $326.43

+$109.27

spartacray

Up — $253.47

+$33.78

13897651

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$56.1

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $238.28

+$24.06

Trade on Polymarket