Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$4.6K
-$693.9
Smart Money Signal
18 of 28 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.31 | 93% 23498-1772 (25270) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 82.6¢ | $944.93 | $961.53 | +$16.6 | 56% 14487-11403 (25890) |
WE well18 | Upavg 80.6¢ | $535 | $657.24 | +$122.24 | — |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 18.3¢ | $517.44 | — | -$517.44 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
NE never-stop-clickingCTR | Downavg 47.5¢ | $350 | — | -$350 | 31% 92-201 (293) |
SP spartacray | Upavg 88¢ | $234.06 | $263.71 | +$29.65 | 53% 27227-24200 (51427) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $294.48 | $256.32 | -$38.16 | 54% 8039-6745 (14784) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 75.7¢ | $193.2 | $223 | +$29.8 | 57% 7900-6063 (13963) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 76.4¢ | $136.57 | $144.5 | +$7.93 | 49% 5273-5385 (10658) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 87¢ | $130.49 | $149.99 | +$19.5 | 58% 60561-44221 (104782) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 95.8¢ | $123.73 | $129.2 | +$5.47 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Downavg 58.3¢ | $136.78 | $73.9 | -$62.88 | 59% 6793-4756 (11549) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.3¢ | $100.88 | — | -$100.88 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48.6¢ | $35.89 | $73.9 | +$38.01 | |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 82.3¢ | $112.69 | $137 | +$24.31 | 60% 12253-8106 (20359) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 48.8¢ | $100.86 | $206.82 | +$105.95 | 58% 51007-37153 (88160) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 92.3¢ | $89.89 | $97.38 | +$7.49 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 43.6¢ | $133.61 | — | -$133.61 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 69.9¢ | $35.1 | $50.23 | +$15.13 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 82.7¢ | $24.79 | $29.99 | +$5.2 | 57% 12034-9042 (21076) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.1¢ | $23.6 | $23.11 | -$0.49 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $12.86 | $17.86 | +$5 | 56% 58095-44840 (102935) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $8 | $13.11 | +$5.11 | 57% 12662-9360 (22022) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $10.02 | — | -$10.02 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $3.66 | — | -$3.66 | 55% 23901-19309 (43210) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.6¢ | $38.32 | — | -$38.32 | 55% 8656-7122 (15778) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.6¢ | $7.25 | — | -$7.25 | 55% 7460-6120 (13580) |
Invested
$1,119.69
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.31
Record
93%
23498-1772 (25270)
Invested
$944.93
Value
$961.53
PnL
+$16.6
Record
56%
14487-11403 (25890)
Invested
$535
Value
$657.24
PnL
+$122.24
Record
—
Invested
$517.44
Value
—
PnL
-$517.44
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Invested
$350
Value
—
PnL
-$350
Record
31%
92-201 (293)
Invested
$234.06
Value
$263.71
PnL
+$29.65
Record
53%
27227-24200 (51427)
Invested
$294.48
Value
$256.32
PnL
-$38.16
Record
54%
8039-6745 (14784)
Invested
$193.2
Value
$223
PnL
+$29.8
Record
57%
7900-6063 (13963)
Invested
$136.57
Value
$144.5
PnL
+$7.93
Record
49%
5273-5385 (10658)
Invested
$130.49
Value
$149.99
PnL
+$19.5
Record
58%
60561-44221 (104782)
pspspsps5Invested
$123.73
Value
$129.2
PnL
+$5.47
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
Invested
$136.78
Value
$73.9
PnL
-$62.88
Record
59%
6793-4756 (11549)
Both legs:
Invested
$112.69
Value
$137
PnL
+$24.31
Record
60%
12253-8106 (20359)
Invested
$100.86
Value
$206.82
PnL
+$105.95
Record
58%
51007-37153 (88160)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$89.89
Value
$97.38
PnL
+$7.49
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$133.61
Value
—
PnL
-$133.61
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
Invested
$35.1
Value
$50.23
PnL
+$15.13
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
Invested
$24.79
Value
$29.99
PnL
+$5.2
Record
57%
12034-9042 (21076)
Invested
$23.6
Value
$23.11
PnL
-$0.49
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$12.86
Value
$17.86
PnL
+$5
Record
56%
58095-44840 (102935)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$8
Value
$13.11
PnL
+$5.11
Record
57%
12662-9360 (22022)
Invested
$10.02
Value
—
PnL
-$10.02
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
Invested
$3.66
Value
—
PnL
-$3.66
Record
55%
23901-19309 (43210)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$38.32
Value
—
PnL
-$38.32
Record
55%
8656-7122 (15778)
Invested
$7.25
Value
—
PnL
-$7.25
Record
55%
7460-6120 (13580)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $961.53
well18
Up — $657.24
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
never-stop-clicking
CTRDown — $0
spartacray
Up — $263.71
sfkjbsr457
Up — $256.32
wzbbb
Up — $223
ply-pm0
Up — $144.5
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $149.99