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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

31

Up 86%

Total Value

$17.9K

Combined PnL

$669.52

Smart Money Signal

Up

26 of 31 top traders (84%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up26 traders
Total Value$17.9K
Total Shares17,907
Combined PnL+$765.86
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,639
Combined PnL-$96.34
Up — 84%Down — 16%
AR
arcsine-barrister
Up

Invested

$7,983.36

Value

$8.0K

PnL

+$39.71

Record

56%

3644-2827 (6471)

TH
THG.
Up

Invested

$3,256.11

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$32.89

Record

56%

29365-23030 (52395)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$1,365.91

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$16.09

Record

93%

23498-1772 (25270)

CR
CrouchPredictions
Up

Invested

$1,188.57

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$112.66

Record

56%

14487-11403 (25890)

WE
well18
Up

Invested

$900

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$362.76

Record

—

SF
sfkjbsr457
Up

Invested

$575.46

Value

$603.84

PnL

+$28.39

Record

54%

8039-6745 (14784)

MayorMamdani
Up

Invested

$490.47

Value

$519.19

PnL

+$28.72

Record

55%

44953-37390 (82343)

pspspsps5
Up

Invested

$486.04

Value

$508.18

PnL

+$22.15

Record

46%

38121-45024 (83145)

SP
spartacray
Up

Invested

$194.51

Value

$188.71

PnL

-$5.8

Record

53%

27227-24200 (51427)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14
Up

Invested

$94.5

Value

$110.44

PnL

+$15.94

Record

55%

17817-14432 (32249)

WZ
wzbbb<$100
Up

Invested

$74.14

Value

$87

PnL

+$12.86

Record

57%

7900-6063 (13963)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$76.67

Value

$84.11

PnL

+$7.44

Record

49%

77987-81500 (159487)

RE
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100
Up

Invested

$68.22

Value

$74.11

PnL

+$5.89

Record

60%

12253-8106 (20359)

machinelearned<$100
Up

Invested

$60.49

Value

$50

PnL

-$10.49

Record

55%

8656-7122 (15778)

13
13897651
Up

Invested

$60.29

Value

$109.65

PnL

+$49.36

Record

59%

6793-4756 (11549)

0X
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100
Up

Invested

$46.65

Value

$49

PnL

+$2.35

Record

55%

7460-6120 (13580)

GA
gansinimen<$100
Up

Invested

$72.82

Value

$93.55

PnL

+$20.73

Record

51%

17106-16642 (33748)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$36.15

Value

$40.88

PnL

+$4.73

Record

66%

125851-64777 (190628)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$32.86

Value

—

PnL

-$32.86

Record

59%

62257-43437 (105694)

EZ
EZTRADENL2<$100
Up

Invested

$46.7

Value

$60

PnL

+$13.3

Record

57%

12034-9042 (21076)

PL
ply-pm0<$100
Up

Invested

$25.77

Value

$30

PnL

+$4.23

Record

49%

5273-5385 (10658)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$31.95

Value

$28

PnL

-$3.95

Record

52%

90356-84870 (175226)

SI
sir-upalot<$100
Up

Invested

$17.2

Value

$20

PnL

+$2.8

Record

55%

23901-19309 (43210)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$41.08

Value

—

PnL

-$41.08

Record

57%

70922-54007 (124929)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$13.37

Value

$13.78

PnL

+$0.41

Record

64%

23273-12819 (36092)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x162d5eab...fac543
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1793375400

Traders in this Market

AR

arcsine-barrister

Up — $8.0K

+$39.71
TH

THG.

Up — $3.3K

+$32.89
HO

hoodquant

Up — $1.4K

+$16.09
CR

CrouchPredictions

Up — $1.3K

+$112.66
WE

well18

Up — $1.3K

+$362.76
SF

sfkjbsr457

Up — $603.84

+$28.39

MayorMamdani

Up — $519.19

+$28.72

pspspsps5

Up — $508.18

+$22.15
SP

spartacray

Up — $188.71

-$5.8
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $110.44

+$15.94
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