Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 86%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$14.2K

Combined PnL

$507.07

Smart Money Signal

26 of 31 top traders (84%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up26 traders

Total Value$14.0K

Total Shares14,049

Combined PnL+$1.4K

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,569

Combined PnL-$894.07

Up — 84%Down — 16%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$8.1K	$8.1K	+$8.08	59% 62257-43437 (105694)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 97.7¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$34.12	93% 23498-1772 (25270)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 71.9¢	$833.97	$1.2K	+$326.41	57% 70922-54007 (124929)
IM ImgonnadoitCTR	Downavg 45.6¢	$800	—	-$800	37% 169-284 (453)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 65.4¢	$281.28	$410.85	+$129.56	56% 14487-11403 (25890)
WE well18	Upavg 50¢	$300	$600	+$300	—
SP spartacray	Upavg 77.6¢	$272.13	$292.24	+$20.11	53% 27227-24200 (51427)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 85¢	$228.74	$261.52	+$32.78	54% 8039-6745 (14784)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Upavg 74.9¢	$165.25	$220.62	+$55.37	55% 17817-14432 (32249)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 78.1¢	$139.81	$178.97	+$39.16	55% 44953-37390 (82343)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 78.3¢	$125.32	$159.99	+$34.68	57% 7900-6063 (13963)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 67.3¢	$113.72	$122.94	+$9.22	67% 99557-47950 (147507)
└ Up leg	Upavg 67.3¢	$82.72	$122.94	+$40.22
└ Down leg	Downavg 20.7¢	$31	—	-$31
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 53¢	$127.61	$228	+$100.39	58% 37856-27105 (64961)
machinelearned	Upavg 70.1¢	$94.91	$135.33	+$40.42	55% 8656-7122 (15778)
13 13897651	Upavg 50.3¢	$89.19	$176.49	+$87.31	59% 6793-4756 (11549)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 59¢	$50.9	$72.54	+$21.64	49% 5273-5385 (10658)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 61¢	$53.68	$88	+$34.32	55% 7460-6120 (13580)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 59¢	$59	$100	+$41	51% 17106-16642 (33748)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 67¢	$43.55	$65	+$21.45	57% 12034-9042 (21076)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 74.8¢	$41.19	$55.05	+$13.86	55% 23901-19309 (43210)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 80.3¢	$33.84	$42.14	+$8.3	66% 125851-64777 (190628)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 78¢	$36.85	$44	+$7.15	60% 12253-8106 (20359)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 84.3¢	$33.69	$39.99	+$6.3	61% 94946-59871 (154817)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 87.3¢	$34.83	$38.05	+$3.22	52% 90356-84870 (175226)
BO bosona<$100	Upavg 78¢	$23.14	$29.67	+$6.53	55% 49717-39929 (89646)

0x50f7

Invested

$8,069.17

Value

$8.1K

PnL

+$8.08

Record

59%

62257-43437 (105694)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,480.88

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$34.12

Record

93%

23498-1772 (25270)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$833.97

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$326.41

Record

57%

70922-54007 (124929)

ImgonnadoitCTR

Down

Invested

$800

Value

—

PnL

-$800

Record

37%

169-284 (453)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$281.28

Value

$410.85

PnL

+$129.56

Record

56%

14487-11403 (25890)

well18

Invested

$300

Value

$600

PnL

+$300

Record

—

spartacray

Invested

$272.13

Value

$292.24

PnL

+$20.11

Record

53%

27227-24200 (51427)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$228.74

Value

$261.52

PnL

+$32.78

Record

54%

8039-6745 (14784)

Kathod-Shi-14

Invested

$165.25

Value

$220.62

PnL

+$55.37

Record

55%

17817-14432 (32249)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$139.81

Value

$178.97

PnL

+$39.16

Record

55%

44953-37390 (82343)

wzbbb

Invested

$125.32

Value

$159.99

PnL

+$34.68

Record

57%

7900-6063 (13963)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Invested

$113.72

Value

$122.94

PnL

+$9.22

Record

67%

99557-47950 (147507)

Both legs:

Up$82.7267.3¢+$40.22

Down$3120.7¢-$31

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$127.61

Value

$228

PnL

+$100.39

Record

58%

37856-27105 (64961)

machinelearned

Invested

$94.91

Value

$135.33

PnL

+$40.42

Record

55%

8656-7122 (15778)

13897651

Invested

$89.19

Value

$176.49

PnL

+$87.31

Record

59%

6793-4756 (11549)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$50.9

Value

$72.54

PnL

+$21.64

Record

49%

5273-5385 (10658)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$53.68

Value

$88

PnL

+$34.32

Record

55%

7460-6120 (13580)

gansinimen

Invested

$59

Value

$100

PnL

+$41

Record

51%

17106-16642 (33748)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$43.55

Value

$65

PnL

+$21.45

Record

57%

12034-9042 (21076)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$41.19

Value

$55.05

PnL

+$13.86

Record

55%

23901-19309 (43210)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$33.84

Value

$42.14

PnL

+$8.3

Record

66%

125851-64777 (190628)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$36.85

Value

$44

PnL

+$7.15

Record

60%

12253-8106 (20359)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$33.69

Value

$39.99

PnL

+$6.3

Record

61%

94946-59871 (154817)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$34.83

Value

$38.05

PnL

+$3.22

Record

52%

90356-84870 (175226)

bosona<$100

Invested

$23.14

Value

$29.67

PnL

+$6.53

Record

55%

49717-39929 (89646)

Smart Money Signal

26 of 31 top traders (84%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x07e2d728...f742b7

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793373300

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $8.1K

+$8.08

hoodquant

Up — $1.5K

+$34.12

uninformedfloww

Up — $1.2K

+$326.41

Imgonnadoit

CTR

Down — $0

-$800

CrouchPredictions

Up — $410.85

+$129.56

well18

Up — $600

+$300

spartacray

Up — $292.24

+$20.11

sfkjbsr457

Up — $261.52

+$32.78

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $220.62

+$55.37

MayorMamdani

Up — $178.97

+$39.16

Trade on Polymarket