Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$4.9K
-$460.87
Smart Money Signal
18 of 29 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$12.79 | 93% 23498-1772 (25270) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 65.2¢ | $497.22 | $757.18 | +$259.96 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 38.5¢ | $650 | — | -$650 | 37% 169-284 (453) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 38.9¢ | $804.43 | — | -$804.43 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $487.46 | $516.27 | +$28.81 | 54% 8039-6745 (14784) |
WE well18 | Upavg 46.8¢ | $300 | $641.09 | +$341.09 | — |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 70¢ | $177.2 | $223.99 | +$46.79 | 57% 7900-6063 (13963) |
38 38791873984189 | Upavg 48.2¢ | $169.61 | $352.08 | +$182.47 | 46% 7951-9381 (17332) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 91.4¢ | $146.29 | $160 | +$13.71 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
SP spartacray | Upavg 69.5¢ | $137.44 | $156.06 | +$18.62 | 53% 27227-24200 (51427) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 62.1¢ | $137.13 | $190.64 | +$53.52 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 60.5¢ | $102.51 | $120.68 | +$18.18 | 49% 5273-5385 (10658) |
GA gansinimenARB<$100 | Upavg 52.1¢ | $100.02 | $111.43 | +$11.41 | 51% 17106-16642 (33748) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 52.1¢ | $58.03 | $111.43 | +$53.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42¢ | $41.99 | — | -$41.99 | |
 machinelearned | Upavg 72.5¢ | $83.07 | $107.16 | +$24.09 | 55% 8656-7122 (15778) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 58.2¢ | $105.73 | $181.62 | +$75.89 | 60% 12253-8106 (20359) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 68¢ | $81.6 | $120 | +$38.4 | 57% 10352-7769 (18121) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.9¢ | $60.99 | — | -$60.99 | 57% 12034-9042 (21076) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74.9¢ | $26.77 | $35.76 | +$8.99 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.2¢ | $24.45 | — | -$24.45 | 55% 7460-6120 (13580) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $21.59 | — | -$21.59 | 58% 51007-37153 (88160) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $16.48 | $20 | +$3.52 | 55% 23901-19309 (43210) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $18.52 | — | -$18.52 | 58% 60561-44221 (104782) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.9¢ | $6.89 | — | -$6.89 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $8 | $12.31 | +$4.31 | 57% 12662-9360 (22022) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 76.6¢ | $26.29 | $6.73 | +$1.62 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
Invested
$1,115.21
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$12.79
Record
93%
23498-1772 (25270)
Invested
$497.22
Value
$757.18
PnL
+$259.96
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Invested
$650
Value
—
PnL
-$650
Record
37%
169-284 (453)
Invested
$804.43
Value
—
PnL
-$804.43
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
Invested
$487.46
Value
$516.27
PnL
+$28.81
Record
54%
8039-6745 (14784)
Invested
$300
Value
$641.09
PnL
+$341.09
Record
—
Invested
$177.2
Value
$223.99
PnL
+$46.79
Record
57%
7900-6063 (13963)
Invested
$169.61
Value
$352.08
PnL
+$182.47
Record
46%
7951-9381 (17332)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$146.29
Value
$160
PnL
+$13.71
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
Invested
$137.44
Value
$156.06
PnL
+$18.62
Record
53%
27227-24200 (51427)
Invested
$137.13
Value
$190.64
PnL
+$53.52
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
Invested
$102.51
Value
$120.68
PnL
+$18.18
Record
49%
5273-5385 (10658)
Invested
$100.02
Value
$111.43
PnL
+$11.41
Record
51%
17106-16642 (33748)
Both legs:
machinelearnedInvested
$83.07
Value
$107.16
PnL
+$24.09
Record
55%
8656-7122 (15778)
Invested
$105.73
Value
$181.62
PnL
+$75.89
Record
60%
12253-8106 (20359)
Invested
$81.6
Value
$120
PnL
+$38.4
Record
57%
10352-7769 (18121)
Invested
$60.99
Value
—
PnL
-$60.99
Record
57%
12034-9042 (21076)
Invested
$26.77
Value
$35.76
PnL
+$8.99
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$24.45
Value
—
PnL
-$24.45
Record
55%
7460-6120 (13580)
Invested
$21.59
Value
—
PnL
-$21.59
Record
58%
51007-37153 (88160)
Invested
$16.48
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.52
Record
55%
23901-19309 (43210)
Invested
$18.52
Value
—
PnL
-$18.52
Record
58%
60561-44221 (104782)
Invested
$6.89
Value
—
PnL
-$6.89
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$8
Value
$12.31
PnL
+$4.31
Record
57%
12662-9360 (22022)
Invested
$26.29
Value
$6.73
PnL
+$1.62
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
uninformedfloww
Up — $757.18
Imgonnadoit
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
sfkjbsr457
Up — $516.27
well18
Up — $641.09
wzbbb
Up — $223.99
38791873984189
Up — $352.08
MayorMamdani
Up — $160
spartacray
Up — $156.06