Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 61%

Total Value

$4.5K

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

20 of 33 top traders (61%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,261

Combined PnL$-2.1K

Up20 traders

Total Value$4.5K

Total Shares4,496

Combined PnL+$452.18

Down — 39%Up — 61%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Downavg 36.3¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.5K	57% 70901-53981 (124882)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$13.15	93% 23467-1770 (25237)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 60.7¢	$1.1K	$920.64	-$140.74	56% 14444-11357 (25801)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 58.2¢	$365.41	$409.49	+$44.09	60% 12241-8099 (20340)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 82¢	$246.3	$300.36	+$54.06	56% 58073-44827 (102900)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 89.1¢	$421.69	$269	-$152.69	55% 44917-37366 (82283)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 34.3¢	$138.02	—	-$138.02	68% 99525-47913 (147438)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 61¢	$91.64	$150.26	+$58.62	58% 60547-44207 (104754)
WZ wzbbbCTR	Downavg 59¢	$130.26	—	-$130.26	57% 7881-6054 (13935)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 63.3¢	$152.63	$129.99	-$22.64	49% 5258-5381 (10639)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 66.9¢	$121.52	$107.17	-$14.35	66% 125811-64748 (190559)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 31.3¢	$57.97	$185.09	+$127.12	58% 37847-27088 (64935)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 84.9¢	$85.09	$100.25	+$15.16	51% 17100-16638 (33738)
SP spartacrayCTR	Downavg 56.3¢	$158.43	—	-$158.43	53% 27215-24192 (51407)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100	Downavg 53.3¢	$94.08	—	-$94.08	55% 7453-6109 (13562)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 76.3¢	$63.75	—	-$63.75	55% 17781-14392 (32173)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 82¢	$81.12	$50	-$31.12	55% 8650-7109 (15759)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 80.6¢	$78.69	$50	-$28.69	57% 12026-9030 (21056)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 36.9¢	$25.61	$44.18	+$18.57	52% 90329-84819 (175148)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 90¢	$36.78	—	-$36.78	49% 77987-81500 (159487)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 71.7¢	$60.59	$58.18	-$0.98	61% 94915-59834 (154749)
BoneOhio	Upavg 67.3¢	$151.72	$225.35	+$73.64	74% 102458-36400 (138858)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Upavg 47¢	$17.39	$37	+$19.61	57% 10339-7761 (18100)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 52.8¢	$50.16	—	-$50.16	66% 112173-58591 (170764)
ohioism	Upavg 59.8¢	$74.87	$125.23	+$50.36	64% 40110-22937 (63047)

uninformedflowwCTR

Down

Invested

$1,450.21

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

57%

70901-53981 (124882)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,301.85

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$13.15

Record

93%

23467-1770 (25237)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,061.38

Value

$920.64

PnL

-$140.74

Record

56%

14444-11357 (25801)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$365.41

Value

$409.49

PnL

+$44.09

Record

60%

12241-8099 (20340)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$246.3

Value

$300.36

PnL

+$54.06

Record

56%

58073-44827 (102900)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$421.69

Value

$269

PnL

-$152.69

Record

55%

44917-37366 (82283)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Down

Invested

$138.02

Value

—

PnL

-$138.02

Record

68%

99525-47913 (147438)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$91.64

Value

$150.26

PnL

+$58.62

Record

58%

60547-44207 (104754)

wzbbbCTR

Down

Invested

$130.26

Value

—

PnL

-$130.26

Record

57%

7881-6054 (13935)

ply-pm0

Invested

$152.63

Value

$129.99

PnL

-$22.64

Record

49%

5258-5381 (10639)

asdaefef

Invested

$121.52

Value

$107.17

PnL

-$14.35

Record

66%

125811-64748 (190559)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$57.97

Value

$185.09

PnL

+$127.12

Record

58%

37847-27088 (64935)

gansinimen

Invested

$85.09

Value

$100.25

PnL

+$15.16

Record

51%

17100-16638 (33738)

spartacrayCTR

Down

Invested

$158.43

Value

—

PnL

-$158.43

Record

53%

27215-24192 (51407)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$94.08

Value

—

PnL

-$94.08

Record

55%

7453-6109 (13562)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$63.75

Value

—

PnL

-$63.75

Record

55%

17781-14392 (32173)

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$81.12

Value

$50

PnL

-$31.12

Record

55%

8650-7109 (15759)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$78.69

Value

$50

PnL

-$28.69

Record

57%

12026-9030 (21056)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$25.61

Value

$44.18

PnL

+$18.57

Record

52%

90329-84819 (175148)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$36.78

Value

—

PnL

-$36.78

Record

49%

77987-81500 (159487)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$60.59

Value

$58.18

PnL

-$0.98

Record

61%

94915-59834 (154749)

BoneOhio

Invested

$151.72

Value

$225.35

PnL

+$73.64

Record

74%

102458-36400 (138858)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Invested

$17.39

Value

$37

PnL

+$19.61

Record

57%

10339-7761 (18100)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$50.16

Value

—

PnL

-$50.16

Record

66%

112173-58591 (170764)

ohioism

Invested

$74.87

Value

$125.23

PnL

+$50.36

Record

64%

40110-22937 (63047)

Smart Money Signal

20 of 33 top traders (61%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf7011f2c...c578e8

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793370900

Traders in this Market

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

$-1.5K

hoodquant

Up — $1.3K

+$13.15

CrouchPredictions

Up — $920.64

-$140.74

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $409.49

+$44.09

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $300.36

+$54.06

MayorMamdani

Up — $269

-$152.69

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$138.02

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $150.26

+$58.62

wzbbb

CTR

Down — $0

-$130.26

ply-pm0

Up — $129.99

-$22.64

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