Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 86%

Total Value

$26.4K

Combined PnL

$1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Down

30 of 36 top traders (83%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down30 traders

Total Value$26.4K

Total Shares26,380

Combined PnL+$1.4K

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares672

Combined PnL-$203.73

Down — 83%Up — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$9.0K	$9.0K	+$9.01	59% 62251-43417 (105668)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 77.7¢	$4.6K	$5.4K	+$841	57% 70901-53981 (124882)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.9¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$19.99	93% 23467-1770 (25237)
MO mo-money	Downavg 99.5¢	$2.0K	$1.7K	-$280.03	55% 50491-41087 (91578)
GA gansinimen	Downavg 80.4¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	-$6.68	51% 17100-16638 (33738)
MayorMamdani	Downavg 96.7¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$36.76	55% 44917-37366 (82283)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Downavg 78.3¢	$704.94	$899.99	+$195.05	48% 23276-25616 (48892)
machinelearned	Downavg 77.8¢	$526.79	$651.67	+$124.88	55% 8650-7109 (15759)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 85¢	$526.46	$546.16	+$19.7	49% 5258-5381 (10639)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 69.6¢	$554.76	$445.41	-$109.35	56% 14444-11357 (25801)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 75.6¢	$427.12	$412.13	-$14.99	60% 12241-8099 (20340)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 77¢	$356.14	$375	+$18.86	57% 7881-6054 (13935)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 68.9¢	$380.2	$371.99	-$8.22	58% 37847-27088 (64935)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 82.3¢	$332.02	$314.2	-$17.83	55% 7453-6109 (13562)
AN antsaslyku	Downavg 59.7¢	$131.36	$219.85	+$88.49	66% 112173-58591 (170764)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Downavg 74.3¢	$202.09	$241.5	+$39.41	55% 17781-14392 (32173)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Downavg 71.8¢	$166.24	$170.33	+$4.09	57% 12026-9030 (21056)
ohioism	Downavg 62.1¢	$128.42	$206.84	+$78.42	64% 40110-22937 (63047)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Downavg 76¢	$143.79	$187.07	+$43.28	58% 60547-44207 (104754)
BoneOhio	Downavg 67.3¢	$118.36	$175.84	+$57.48	74% 102458-36400 (138858)
TR trdyugiolkw	Downavg 67.7¢	$117.18	$157.32	+$40.14	57% 10339-7761 (18100)
LI Little-big	Downavg 51.5¢	$128.61	$249.61	+$121	34% 18806-35806 (54612)
G-Penis-Monster	Downavg 58.7¢	$58.86	$100.29	+$41.43	62% 43835-26840 (70675)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 68.2¢	$70.36	$71.28	+$0.92	66% 125811-64748 (190559)
SP spartacrayCTR<$100	Upavg 37.1¢	$70.6	—	-$70.6	53% 27215-24192 (51407)

0x50f7

Down

Invested

$8,999

Value

$9.0K

PnL

+$9.01

Record

59%

62251-43417 (105668)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$4,577.08

Value

$5.4K

PnL

+$841

Record

57%

70901-53981 (124882)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$1,757.6

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$19.99

Record

93%

23467-1770 (25237)

mo-money

Down

Invested

$1,992.74

Value

$1.7K

PnL

-$280.03

Record

55%

50491-41087 (91578)

gansinimen

Down

Invested

$1,298.05

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$6.68

Record

51%

17100-16638 (33738)

MayorMamdani

Down

Invested

$1,085.2

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$36.76

Record

55%

44917-37366 (82283)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down

Invested

$704.94

Value

$899.99

PnL

+$195.05

Record

48%

23276-25616 (48892)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$526.79

Value

$651.67

PnL

+$124.88

Record

55%

8650-7109 (15759)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$526.46

Value

$546.16

PnL

+$19.7

Record

49%

5258-5381 (10639)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$554.76

Value

$445.41

PnL

-$109.35

Record

56%

14444-11357 (25801)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$427.12

Value

$412.13

PnL

-$14.99

Record

60%

12241-8099 (20340)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$356.14

Value

$375

PnL

+$18.86

Record

57%

7881-6054 (13935)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$380.2

Value

$371.99

PnL

-$8.22

Record

58%

37847-27088 (64935)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$332.02

Value

$314.2

PnL

-$17.83

Record

55%

7453-6109 (13562)

antsaslyku

Down

Invested

$131.36

Value

$219.85

PnL

+$88.49

Record

66%

112173-58591 (170764)

Kathod-Shi-14

Down

Invested

$202.09

Value

$241.5

PnL

+$39.41

Record

55%

17781-14392 (32173)

EZTRADENL2

Down

Invested

$166.24

Value

$170.33

PnL

+$4.09

Record

57%

12026-9030 (21056)

ohioism

Down

Invested

$128.42

Value

$206.84

PnL

+$78.42

Record

64%

40110-22937 (63047)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down

Invested

$143.79

Value

$187.07

PnL

+$43.28

Record

58%

60547-44207 (104754)

BoneOhio

Down

Invested

$118.36

Value

$175.84

PnL

+$57.48

Record

74%

102458-36400 (138858)

trdyugiolkw

Down

Invested

$117.18

Value

$157.32

PnL

+$40.14

Record

57%

10339-7761 (18100)

Little-big

Down

Invested

$128.61

Value

$249.61

PnL

+$121

Record

34%

18806-35806 (54612)

G-Penis-Monster

Down

Invested

$58.86

Value

$100.29

PnL

+$41.43

Record

62%

43835-26840 (70675)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$70.36

Value

$71.28

PnL

+$0.92

Record

66%

125811-64748 (190559)

spartacrayCTR<$100

Invested

$70.6

Value

—

PnL

-$70.6

Record

53%

27215-24192 (51407)

Smart Money Signal

Down

30 of 36 top traders (83%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x890583a0...46ca06

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793367000

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Down — $9.0K

+$9.01

uninformedfloww

Down — $5.4K

+$841

hoodquant

Down — $1.8K

+$19.99

mo-money

Down — $1.7K

-$280.03

gansinimen

Down — $1.3K

-$6.68

MayorMamdani

Down — $1.1K

+$36.76

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $899.99

+$195.05

machinelearned

Down — $651.67

+$124.88

ply-pm0

Down — $546.16

+$19.7

CrouchPredictions

Down — $445.41

-$109.35

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