Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 79%
$3.0K
$271.8
Smart Money Signal
20 of 25 top traders (80%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 83.5¢ | $850.21 | $934.87 | +$84.65 | 56% 14441-11352 (25793) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 85.5¢ | $294.99 | $344.82 | +$49.83 | 55% 17762-14385 (32147) |
SP spartacray | Upavg 90.5¢ | $215.69 | $213.53 | -$2.16 | 53% 27196-24172 (51368) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 81.6¢ | $174.81 | $195.92 | +$21.12 | 54% 8009-6715 (14724) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 56.7¢ | $195.72 | $224.94 | +$29.22 | 59% 6765-4727 (11492) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Upavg 85¢ | $153.58 | $160.4 | +$6.82 | 62% 28550-17836 (46386) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Upavg 82.4¢ | $107.62 | $130.67 | +$23.05 | 55% 44849-37309 (82158) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 75.7¢ | $105.36 | $139.14 | +$33.78 | 57% 12011-9005 (21016) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 81.7¢ | $112.69 | $132.23 | +$19.53 | 55% 7431-6093 (13524) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 88.8¢ | $118.33 | $133.33 | +$15 | 51% 17087-16626 (33713) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 80.4¢ | $85.31 | $90.62 | +$5.31 | 49% 5238-5365 (10603) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $65.09 | $61 | -$4.09 | 57% 7855-6024 (13879) |
ST std0<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $59.97 | $57 | -$2.97 | 67% 53242-26652 (79894) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.7¢ | $45.43 | $60 | +$14.58 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.7¢ | $43.36 | $50.59 | +$7.23 | 66% 125490-64588 (190078) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $34.81 | $33.18 | +$2.72 | 61% 94821-59772 (154593) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $10.15 | — | -$10.15 | 59% 62205-43384 (105589) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.4¢ | $15.75 | — | -$15.75 | 55% 8635-7085 (15720) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $6.72 | $7 | +$0.28 | 93% 23399-1767 (25166) |
NO Nobey1<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $7.4 | $10 | +$2.6 | 40% 489-723 (1212) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 55% 23872-19288 (43160) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.3¢ | $5.66 | — | -$5.66 | 52% 90236-84735 (174971) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.4¢ | $3.78 | — | -$3.78 | 60% 12220-8081 (20301) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112118-58522 (170640) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3642-2827 (6469) |
Invested
$850.21
Value
$934.87
PnL
+$84.65
Record
56%
14441-11352 (25793)
Invested
$294.99
Value
$344.82
PnL
+$49.83
Record
55%
17762-14385 (32147)
Invested
$215.69
Value
$213.53
PnL
-$2.16
Record
53%
27196-24172 (51368)
Invested
$174.81
Value
$195.92
PnL
+$21.12
Record
54%
8009-6715 (14724)
Invested
$195.72
Value
$224.94
PnL
+$29.22
Record
59%
6765-4727 (11492)
Invested
$153.58
Value
$160.4
PnL
+$6.82
Record
62%
28550-17836 (46386)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$107.62
Value
$130.67
PnL
+$23.05
Record
55%
44849-37309 (82158)
Invested
$105.36
Value
$139.14
PnL
+$33.78
Record
57%
12011-9005 (21016)
Invested
$112.69
Value
$132.23
PnL
+$19.53
Record
55%
7431-6093 (13524)
Invested
$118.33
Value
$133.33
PnL
+$15
Record
51%
17087-16626 (33713)
Invested
$85.31
Value
$90.62
PnL
+$5.31
Record
49%
5238-5365 (10603)
Invested
$65.09
Value
$61
PnL
-$4.09
Record
57%
7855-6024 (13879)
Invested
$59.97
Value
$57
PnL
-$2.97
Record
67%
53242-26652 (79894)
Invested
$45.43
Value
$60
PnL
+$14.58
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
Invested
$43.36
Value
$50.59
PnL
+$7.23
Record
66%
125490-64588 (190078)
Invested
$34.81
Value
$33.18
PnL
+$2.72
Record
61%
94821-59772 (154593)
Invested
$10.15
Value
—
PnL
-$10.15
Record
59%
62205-43384 (105589)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$15.75
Value
—
PnL
-$15.75
Record
55%
8635-7085 (15720)
Invested
$6.72
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.28
Record
93%
23399-1767 (25166)
Invested
$7.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.6
Record
40%
489-723 (1212)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
55%
23872-19288 (43160)
Invested
$5.66
Value
—
PnL
-$5.66
Record
52%
90236-84735 (174971)
Invested
$3.78
Value
—
PnL
-$3.78
Record
60%
12220-8081 (20301)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112118-58522 (170640)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3642-2827 (6469)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $934.87
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $344.82
spartacray
Up — $213.53
sfkjbsr457
Up — $195.92
13897651
Up — $224.94
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
Up — $160.4

MayorMamdani
Up — $130.67
EZTRADENL2
Up — $139.14
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $132.23
gansinimen
Up — $133.33