Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 62%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$10.5K

Combined PnL

$562.9

Smart Money Signal

18 of 29 top traders (62%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up18 traders

Total Value$9.5K

Total Shares9,513

Combined PnL+$999.16

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,275

Combined PnL-$436.27

Up — 62%Down — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99¢	$3.9K	$3.9K	+$39.48	59% 62201-43367 (105568)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.9¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	+$17.5	93% 23362-1766 (25128)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 74.9¢	$723.82	$761.33	+$37.51	49% 5226-5356 (10582)
TE Telawin	Upavg 52¢	$500	$961.54	+$461.54	50% 342-337 (679)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bARB<$100	Upavg 65.4¢	$473.14	$509.22	+$36.08	62% 28482-17797 (46279)
└ Up leg	Upavg 65.4¢	$332.96	$509.22	+$176.26
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.5¢	$140.18	—	-$140.18
MayorMamdani	Upavg 98.6¢	$367.61	$372.78	+$5.17	55% 44823-37286 (82109)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 47.4¢	$216.18	$248.05	+$31.87	54% 8003-6700 (14703)
SP spartacray	Upavg 66.3¢	$257.19	$326.74	+$69.55	53% 27153-24147 (51300)
NIULAI4	Upavg 79.4¢	$283.45	$327.66	+$44.21	77% 9393-2818 (12211)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 57.6¢	$199.39	$192.97	-$6.42	55% 7423-6081 (13504)
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingARB<$100	Upavg 61.3¢	$174.07	$203.91	+$29.84	60% 12206-8074 (20280)
└ Up leg	Upavg 61.3¢	$125	$203.91	+$78.92
└ Down leg	Downavg 53.6¢	$49.07	—	-$49.07
ST std0ARB<$100	Upavg 48.7¢	$116.44	$150.38	+$33.95	67% 53242-26652 (79894)
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.7¢	$73.31	$150.38	+$77.08
└ Down leg	Downavg 28.2¢	$43.13	—	-$43.13
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 54¢	$123.12	$228	+$104.88	48% 23255-25558 (48813)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR	Downavg 46.6¢	$116.62	—	-$116.62	56% 58006-44794 (102800)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 22¢	$52.04	—	-$52.04	64% 40063-22906 (62969)
PB PBot-6	Upavg 50¢	$99.55	$199.1	+$99.55	58% 50978-37126 (88104)
DR drfc4eybh7i8ARB<$100	Downavg 25.6¢	$63.1	$67	+$3.9	65% 125105-66947 (192052)
└ Down leg	Downavg 25.6¢	$34.96	—	-$34.96
└ Up leg	Upavg 42¢	$28.14	$67	+$38.86
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 43.8¢	$95.53	—	-$95.53	57% 7832-6013 (13845)
AN antsaslykuARB<$100	Downavg 43.9¢	$84.24	$55.67	-$28.57	66% 112105-58496 (170601)
└ Down leg	Downavg 43.9¢	$51.89	—	-$51.89
└ Up leg	Upavg 58.1¢	$32.35	$55.67	+$23.32
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 50.5¢	$54.89	—	-$54.89	59% 6754-4717 (11471)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 49.2¢	$67.21	$136.53	+$69.32	57% 12004-8991 (20995)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 97¢	$58.4	$51	-$7.4	66% 125488-64588 (190076)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Downavg 15.8¢	$81.96	—	-$81.96	55% 8627-7074 (15701)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Upavg 83¢	$49.8	$60	+$10.2	57% 10305-7738 (18043)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 91¢	$48.3	$53.08	+$4.78	58% 60496-44176 (104672)

0x50f7

Invested

$3,908.53

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$39.48

Record

59%

62201-43367 (105568)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,588.95

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$17.5

Record

93%

23362-1766 (25128)

ply-pm0

Invested

$723.82

Value

$761.33

PnL

+$37.51

Record

49%

5226-5356 (10582)

Telawin

Invested

$500

Value

$961.54

PnL

+$461.54

Record

50%

342-337 (679)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bARB<$100

Invested

$473.14

Value

$509.22

PnL

+$36.08

Record

62%

28482-17797 (46279)

Both legs:

Up$332.9665.4¢+$176.26

Down$140.1849.5¢-$140.18

MayorMamdani

Invested

$367.61

Value

$372.78

PnL

+$5.17

Record

55%

44823-37286 (82109)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$216.18

Value

$248.05

PnL

+$31.87

Record

54%

8003-6700 (14703)

spartacray

Invested

$257.19

Value

$326.74

PnL

+$69.55

Record

53%

27153-24147 (51300)

NIULAI4

Invested

$283.45

Value

$327.66

PnL

+$44.21

Record

77%

9393-2818 (12211)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$199.39

Value

$192.97

PnL

-$6.42

Record

55%

7423-6081 (13504)

Repentant-Dealer-GlidingARB<$100

Invested

$174.07

Value

$203.91

PnL

+$29.84

Record

60%

12206-8074 (20280)

Both legs:

Up$12561.3¢+$78.92

Down$49.0753.6¢-$49.07

std0ARB<$100

Invested

$116.44

Value

$150.38

PnL

+$33.95

Record

67%

53242-26652 (79894)

Both legs:

Up$73.3148.7¢+$77.08

Down$43.1328.2¢-$43.13

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$123.12

Value

$228

PnL

+$104.88

Record

48%

23255-25558 (48813)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR

Down

Invested

$116.62

Value

—

PnL

-$116.62

Record

56%

58006-44794 (102800)

ohioismCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$52.04

Value

—

PnL

-$52.04

Record

64%

40063-22906 (62969)

PBot-6

Invested

$99.55

Value

$199.1

PnL

+$99.55

Record

58%

50978-37126 (88104)

drfc4eybh7i8ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$63.1

Value

$67

PnL

+$3.9

Record

65%

125105-66947 (192052)

Both legs:

Down$34.9625.6¢-$34.96

Up$28.1442¢+$38.86

wzbbbCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$95.53

Value

—

PnL

-$95.53

Record

57%

7832-6013 (13845)

antsaslykuARB<$100

Down

Invested

$84.24

Value

$55.67

PnL

-$28.57

Record

66%

112105-58496 (170601)

Both legs:

Down$51.8943.9¢-$51.89

Up$32.3558.1¢+$23.32

13897651CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$54.89

Value

—

PnL

-$54.89

Record

59%

6754-4717 (11471)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$67.21

Value

$136.53

PnL

+$69.32

Record

57%

12004-8991 (20995)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$58.4

Value

$51

PnL

-$7.4

Record

66%

125488-64588 (190076)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$81.96

Value

—

PnL

-$81.96

Record

55%

8627-7074 (15701)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Invested

$49.8

Value

$60

PnL

+$10.2

Record

57%

10305-7738 (18043)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$48.3

Value

$53.08

PnL

+$4.78

Record

58%

60496-44176 (104672)

Smart Money Signal

18 of 29 top traders (62%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xff39c170...400339

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793351400

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $3.9K

+$39.48

hoodquant

Up — $1.6K

+$17.5

ply-pm0

Up — $761.33

+$37.51

Telawin

Up — $961.54

+$461.54

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$36.08

MayorMamdani

Up — $372.78

+$5.17

sfkjbsr457

Up — $248.05

+$31.87

spartacray

Up — $326.74

+$69.55

NIULAI4

Up — $327.66

+$44.21

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $192.97

-$6.42

Trade on Polymarket