Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 72%
$8.8K
-$849.51
Smart Money Signal
18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 51.5¢ | $1.8K | $2.0K | +$233.1 | 54% 15499-12945 (28444) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 71.4¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$15.45 | 49% 5201-5342 (10543) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 95.4¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$51.1 | 77% 9380-2814 (12194) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 49.1¢ | $794.21 | $992.13 | +$197.92 | 56% 13759-10934 (24693) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.3¢ | $681.94 | $700.77 | +$18.82 | 93% 23285-1761 (25046) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 55.7¢ | $479.4 | $480 | +$0.6 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
TE TelawinCTR | Downavg 52.9¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 51% 342-335 (677) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 73.4¢ | $612.63 | — | -$612.63 | 55% 50404-41003 (91407) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 61.3¢ | $431.15 | $454.98 | +$23.82 | 57% 12473-9602 (22075) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 77.8¢ | $326.92 | $399.97 | +$73.05 | 55% 8611-7050 (15661) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 61.8¢ | $257.43 | $300.33 | +$46.7 | 55% 7397-6067 (13464) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 71.4¢ | $332.31 | $272.55 | -$59.76 | 60% 12187-8053 (20240) |
SI sir-upalotCTR | Downavg 74.1¢ | $330.76 | — | -$330.76 | 55% 23844-19265 (43109) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $135.59 | $245.26 | +$109.67 | 59% 6727-4700 (11427) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 79.7¢ | $112.83 | $126 | +$13.17 | 55% 44783-37243 (82026) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 42.4¢ | $113.32 | $196.7 | +$83.38 | 57% 11978-8978 (20956) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 58.6¢ | $42.4 | $72.32 | +$29.92 | 57% 7798-5980 (13778) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $73.03 | $61.73 | -$11.3 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
AA aaa221 | Upavg 60.7¢ | $104.08 | $57.48 | -$13.42 | 64% 22926-12644 (35570) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR | Downavg 42.1¢ | $104.2 | — | -$104.2 | 57% 10301-7732 (18033) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89.8¢ | $61.09 | $43 | -$13.09 | 61% 94725-59677 (154402) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.7¢ | $39.25 | — | -$39.25 | 50% 7811-7833 (15644) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.2¢ | $61.49 | — | -$61.49 | 66% 112064-58449 (170513) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $8.69 | $8.96 | +$0.27 | 63% 51801-30522 (82323) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Downavg 45.4¢ | $677.38 | — | -$0.58 | 54% 7981-6681 (14662) |
Invested
$1,809.58
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$233.1
Record
54%
15499-12945 (28444)
Invested
$1,208.18
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$15.45
Record
49%
5201-5342 (10543)
NIULAI4Invested
$1,048.36
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$51.1
Record
77%
9380-2814 (12194)
Invested
$794.21
Value
$992.13
PnL
+$197.92
Record
56%
13759-10934 (24693)
Invested
$681.94
Value
$700.77
PnL
+$18.82
Record
93%
23285-1761 (25046)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$479.4
Value
$480
PnL
+$0.6
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
51%
342-335 (677)
Invested
$612.63
Value
—
PnL
-$612.63
Record
55%
50404-41003 (91407)
FairValueMachineInvested
$431.15
Value
$454.98
PnL
+$23.82
Record
57%
12473-9602 (22075)
machinelearnedInvested
$326.92
Value
$399.97
PnL
+$73.05
Record
55%
8611-7050 (15661)
Invested
$257.43
Value
$300.33
PnL
+$46.7
Record
55%
7397-6067 (13464)
Invested
$332.31
Value
$272.55
PnL
-$59.76
Record
60%
12187-8053 (20240)
Invested
$330.76
Value
—
PnL
-$330.76
Record
55%
23844-19265 (43109)
Invested
$135.59
Value
$245.26
PnL
+$109.67
Record
59%
6727-4700 (11427)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$112.83
Value
$126
PnL
+$13.17
Record
55%
44783-37243 (82026)
Invested
$113.32
Value
$196.7
PnL
+$83.38
Record
57%
11978-8978 (20956)
Invested
$42.4
Value
$72.32
PnL
+$29.92
Record
57%
7798-5980 (13778)
Invested
$73.03
Value
$61.73
PnL
-$11.3
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
Invested
$104.08
Value
$57.48
PnL
-$13.42
Record
64%
22926-12644 (35570)
Invested
$104.2
Value
—
PnL
-$104.2
Record
57%
10301-7732 (18033)
Invested
$61.09
Value
$43
PnL
-$13.09
Record
61%
94725-59677 (154402)
Invested
$39.25
Value
—
PnL
-$39.25
Record
50%
7811-7833 (15644)
Invested
$61.49
Value
—
PnL
-$61.49
Record
66%
112064-58449 (170513)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.69
Value
$8.96
PnL
+$0.27
Record
63%
51801-30522 (82323)
Invested
$677.38
Value
—
PnL
-$0.58
Record
54%
7981-6681 (14662)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $2.0K
ply-pm0
Up — $1.2K
NIULAI4
Up — $1.1K
GoodFallen
Up — $992.13
hoodquant
Up — $700.77
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $480
Telawin
CTRDown — $0
mo-money
CTRDown — $0
FairValueMachine
Up — $454.98
machinelearned
Up — $399.97