Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 78%
$4.4K
$170.68
Smart Money Signal
19 of 25 top traders (76%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$2.19 | 59% 62172-43352 (105524) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 60.5¢ | $291.56 | $323.76 | +$32.2 | 54% 15499-12945 (28444) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 72.5¢ | $314.44 | $282.14 | -$32.3 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 82.6¢ | $221.99 | $210.21 | -$11.77 | 54% 7981-6681 (14662) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 63.6¢ | $131.55 | $161.1 | +$29.55 | 56% 13759-10934 (24693) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 90¢ | $149.07 | $150.08 | +$1.01 | 58% 60468-44149 (104617) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 46¢ | $128.42 | $224.65 | +$96.23 | 59% 6727-4700 (11427) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 84.6¢ | $124.52 | $114.99 | -$9.52 | 49% 5201-5342 (10543) |
AN antsaslyku | Downavg 62.7¢ | $111.09 | $169.51 | +$58.42 | 66% 112064-58449 (170513) |
 ohioism | Downavg 80.2¢ | $81.82 | $101.13 | +$19.31 | 64% 40024-22885 (62909) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 70.3¢ | $70.38 | $71.94 | +$1.56 | 60% 12187-8053 (20240) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 58.2¢ | $60.65 | $93.38 | +$32.73 | 57% 12473-9602 (22075) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 61.4¢ | $38.4 | $60.55 | +$22.15 | 65% 124927-66830 (191757) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 81¢ | $81.23 | $100.29 | +$19.06 | 56% 57965-44765 (102730) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.5¢ | $42.35 | — | -$42.35 | 55% 8611-7050 (15661) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.1¢ | $54.94 | $56 | +$1.06 | 93% 23285-1761 (25046) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 94.1¢ | $47.42 | $46.63 | -$0.79 | 55% 7397-6067 (13464) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.9¢ | $44.02 | — | -$44.02 | 57% 7798-5980 (13778) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.8¢ | $20.46 | — | -$20.46 | 57% 11978-8978 (20956) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $19.2 | $40 | +$20.8 | 34% 18750-35751 (54501) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92.2¢ | $46.7 | $17.63 | +$3.6 | 61% 94725-59677 (154402) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 48% 23247-25525 (48772) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.7¢ | $6.92 | — | -$6.92 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
NO Nobey1CTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 40% 469-701 (1170) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3642-2826 (6468) |
Invested
$2,189.11
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$2.19
Record
59%
62172-43352 (105524)
Invested
$291.56
Value
$323.76
PnL
+$32.2
Record
54%
15499-12945 (28444)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$314.44
Value
$282.14
PnL
-$32.3
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
Invested
$221.99
Value
$210.21
PnL
-$11.77
Record
54%
7981-6681 (14662)
Invested
$131.55
Value
$161.1
PnL
+$29.55
Record
56%
13759-10934 (24693)
Invested
$149.07
Value
$150.08
PnL
+$1.01
Record
58%
60468-44149 (104617)
Invested
$128.42
Value
$224.65
PnL
+$96.23
Record
59%
6727-4700 (11427)
Invested
$124.52
Value
$114.99
PnL
-$9.52
Record
49%
5201-5342 (10543)
Invested
$111.09
Value
$169.51
PnL
+$58.42
Record
66%
112064-58449 (170513)
ohioismInvested
$81.82
Value
$101.13
PnL
+$19.31
Record
64%
40024-22885 (62909)
Invested
$70.38
Value
$71.94
PnL
+$1.56
Record
60%
12187-8053 (20240)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$60.65
Value
$93.38
PnL
+$32.73
Record
57%
12473-9602 (22075)
Invested
$38.4
Value
$60.55
PnL
+$22.15
Record
65%
124927-66830 (191757)
Invested
$81.23
Value
$100.29
PnL
+$19.06
Record
56%
57965-44765 (102730)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$42.35
Value
—
PnL
-$42.35
Record
55%
8611-7050 (15661)
Invested
$54.94
Value
$56
PnL
+$1.06
Record
93%
23285-1761 (25046)
Invested
$47.42
Value
$46.63
PnL
-$0.79
Record
55%
7397-6067 (13464)
Invested
$44.02
Value
—
PnL
-$44.02
Record
57%
7798-5980 (13778)
Invested
$20.46
Value
—
PnL
-$20.46
Record
57%
11978-8978 (20956)
Invested
$19.2
Value
$40
PnL
+$20.8
Record
34%
18750-35751 (54501)
Invested
$46.7
Value
$17.63
PnL
+$3.6
Record
61%
94725-59677 (154402)
Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
48%
23247-25525 (48772)
Invested
$6.92
Value
—
PnL
-$6.92
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
469-701 (1170)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3642-2826 (6468)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $2.2K
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $323.76
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $282.14
sfkjbsr457
Down — $210.21
GoodFallen
Down — $161.1
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $150.08
13897651
Down — $224.65
ply-pm0
Down — $114.99
antsaslyku
Down — $169.51
ohioism
Down — $101.13